H14B:
Drought: Monitoring, Prediction, and Links to Evapotranspiration and Evaporative Demand II

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Session ID#: 17019

Session Description:
Given the significant threats posed by drought to water supply, livestock health, agricultural productivity, and commerce, research is needed to better monitor its character and predict its development. Improving predictions of meteorological drivers for drought is an ongoing challenge. There is also a key gap for understanding drivers of agricultural and hydrological drought, especially learning how evapotranspiration and evaporative demand dynamics drive drought development and contribute to its severity. In this session we invite contributions on advances in the monitoring, early warning, and prediction of both long-term and “flash” droughts that can support better-informed management decisions for water and land resources, and also contributions focusing on evapotranspiration’s role in drought: on its modeling, prediction, and observation across time and space scales, on process-based approaches to determining drivers for past and future trends in evapotranspiration and evaporative demand, and on conceptual frameworks for characterizing and linking meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts.
Primary Convener:  Randal D Koster, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, Greenbelt, United States
Conveners:  Mike Hobbins, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Martin P Hoerling, NOAA Boulder, ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States and Michael L Roderick, The Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Chairs:  Michael L Roderick, The Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Mike Hobbins, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Mike Hobbins, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1818 Evapotranspiration [HYDROLOGY]
1836 Hydrological cycles and budgets [HYDROLOGY]
1843 Land/atmosphere interactions [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

The Application of ET/VI Products to Better Capture Flash Droughts in the U.S. Drought Monitor (Invited) (122355)
Mark D. Svoboda, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, United States
Clarify the role of evapotranspiration in improving the predictability of summer droughts over US Great Plains (163603)
Rong Fu, University of California, Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, Sudip Chakraborty, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States, Nelun Fernando, Texas Water Development Board, Water Availability, Austin, TX, United States, Ying Sun, Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou, China, Bing Pu, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, Yizhou Zhuang, Hong Kong Baptist University, Geography, Kowloon, Hong Kong and Wenqing Tang, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Using Radiative Signatures to Diagnose the Cause of Warming Associated with the Californian Drought (172839)
Sebastian Wolf, ETH Zurich, Department of Environmental Systems Science, Zurich, Switzerland, Dongqin Yin, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences and Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Canberra, Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Michael L Roderick, The Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, ACT, Australia
Monitoring and Forecasting Reference Evapotranspiration for Food Security Assessments (136742)
Shraddhanand Shukla1, Mike Hobbins2, Daniel McEvoy3, Gregory J Husak4, Candida Dewes2, Amy McNally5, Justin L Huntington6, Chris C Funk7 and James P Verdin8, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Western Regional Climate Center, Reno, United States, (4)University of California Santa Barbara, Department of Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (5)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (6)Desert Research Institute, Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Reno, United States, (7)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (8)University of Maryland, Boulder, United States
Utility of Satellite Remote Sensing for Land-Atmosphere Coupling and Drought Metrics (149554)
Dr. Joshua K Roundy, PhD, University of Kansas, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Lawrence, KS, United States and Joseph A Santanello Jr, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 617, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Defining Drought Characteristics for Natural Resource Management (178611)
Dennis S Ojima, Colorado State University, Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Gabriel B Senay, USGS Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center Sioux Falls, Fort Collins, United States, Shannon McNeeley, North Central Climate Adaptation Science Center, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States and Jeffrey T Morisette, Colorado State University/North Central Climate Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, United States
Drought and Fire in the Western United States: Contrasting the Causes, Distributions, and Effects of Drought in the 20th and 21st Centuries with a Multiyear Moisture Deficit Drought Index (193361)
Joseph Crockett, University of New Mexico Main Campus, Albuquerque, NM, United States and Anthony Leroy Westerling, University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States
The complementary relationship for estimating actual evaporation from heterogeneous land surfaces (134172)
Milad Aminzadeh, Hamburg University of Technology, Institute of Geo-Hydroinformatics, Hamburg, Germany and Dani Or, ETH Zurich, Department of Environmental Systems Science, Zürich, Switzerland

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