Comparison of two statistical methods for probability prediction of monthly precipitation during summer over Huaihe River Basin in China, and applications in runoff prediction based on hydrological model

Luliu Liu, National Climate Center, Chinese Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China, Liangmin Du, Wuhan Regional Climate Centre, Chinese Meteoroligcal Adminitration, Wuhan, China and Yaoming Liao, National Climate Center, Chinese Meterological Administration, Beijing, China