Detecting causal drivers and empirical prediction of the Indian Summer Monsoon

Giorgia Di Capua1, Ramesh Vellore2, Krishnan Raghavan2 and Dim Coumou3, (1)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, RD1 - Earth System Analysis, Potsdam, Germany, (2)Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, (3)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany