Predictive Skill and Predictability of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis in Different Synoptic Flow Regimes

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Climate, Meteorology, & Atmospheric Sciences (CliMAS), Urbana, United States, Weiwei Li, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States, Melinda Peng, Naval Research Lab, Monterey, CA, United States, Xianan Jiang, JIFRESSE/UCLA, Pasadena, CA, United States, Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Numerical Weather Prediction Research Section, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada and Christopher A Davis, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States