Predictive Skill and Predictability of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis in Different Synoptic Flow Regimes

Zhuo Wang1, Weiwei LI1, Melinda Peng2, Xianan Jiang3, Ron McTaggart-Cowan4 and Christopher A Davis5, (1)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, (2)Naval Research Lab, Monterey, CA, United States, (3)JIFRESSE/UCLA, Pasadena, CA, United States, (4)Numerical Weather Prediction Research Section, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada, (5)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States