A044:
Extreme precipitation in past, present and future climates





Session ID#: 22503

Session Description:
Precipitation extremes, including heavy snowfall and rainfall, may occur on different time scales ranging from minutes, days to seasons. These extremes can be associated with severe impacts such as flooding, but are also important for water supply as individual events can substantially raise the levels of water reservoirs. This session will focus on precipitation extremes, including their driving dynamic and thermodynamic processes, external drivers, impacts, statistical properties, and changes in their occurrence related to climate variability and climate change.
Therefore contributions are invited that investigate precipitation extremes and their impacts under past, present and future climate conditions. This includes studies that aim to understand individual events, the spatial and temporal variability in the occurrence of precipitation extremes, and long term changes, based on observational data and climate models including atmospheric models at very high resolution. Contributions are also invited that link precipitation extremes with environmental and socio-economic impacts.
Primary Convener:  Markus Donat, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Conveners:  Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States and Erich M Fischer, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

Cross-Listed:
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1854 Precipitation [HYDROLOGY]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3354 Precipitation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Daniel L Swain, Baird Langenbrunner, J David Neelin and Alexander D Hall, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Susana Pereira1, Alexandre Miguel Ramos2, Ricardo M. Trigo2 and José Luís Zêzere3, (1)University of Lisbon, Center for Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Lisbon, Portugal, (2)Instituto Dom Luiz, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal, (3)Universidade de Lisboa, Center for Geographical Studies, Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Lisboa, Portugal
Kevin Hodges, University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, Matt Hawcroft, University of Exeter, CEMPS, Exeter, United Kingdom, Ella Walsh, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom and Giuseppe Zappa, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Boutheina Oueslati, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, Pascal Yiou, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France and Aglae Jezequel, LSCE, Gif Sur Yvette, France
Mohammed Magooda, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt and Muhammed samir Eltahan, Cairo University, Aerospace Engineering Department, Cairo, Egypt
Margot Bador1, Markus Donat2, Olivier Geoffroy3 and Lisa V. Alexander1, (1)Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, (2)University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (3)University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Raktima Dey1, Sophie C. Lewis1 and Nerilie J. Abram2, (1)Australian National University, Fenner School of Environment and Society, Canberra, Australia, (2)Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, Australia
Margarida L. R. Liberato1,2, Joaquim G. Pinto3, Victoria Gil4, Alexandre Miguel Ramos2 and Ricardo M. Trigo2, (1)Escola de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade de Trás-os-Montes e Alto Douro, Vila Real, Portugal, (2)Instituto Dom Luiz, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal, (3)Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe, Germany, (4)UCLM (University of Castilla-La Mancha), Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, Environmental Sciences, Toledo, Spain
Matthew Igel, University of California Davis, Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States and Joseph A Biello, University of California Davis, Department of Mathematics, Davis, CA, United States
James J Benedict1, Amy C Clement1 and Brian Medeiros2, (1)University of Miami, RSMAS, Miami, FL, United States, (2)NCAR/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States
Xin Rong Chua, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Yi Ming, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Angeline G Pendergrass, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Reto Knutti, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Jiehao Huang, CUNY New York City College of Technology, Mathematics, Brooklyn, NY, United States, Katherine Toway, The City College of New York, New York, United States, James F Booth, CUNY City College of New York, Earth and Atmospheric Science, New York, NY, United States and Sebastian D Baez, The Bronx High School of Science, Bronx, NY, United States
Xin Zhou, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States and Marat Khairoutdinov, Stony Brook University, School of Marine & Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Benjamin Fildier, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Hossein Parishani, University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States and William Drew Collins, Berkeley Lab and UC Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
Erma Yulihastin1,2, Tri Wahyu Hadi3 and Nining Sari Ningsih3, (1)Institut Teknologi Bandung, Doctoral Program in Earth Sciences, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Bandung, Indonesia, (2)National Institute of Aeronautics and Space, Center of Science and Technology of Atmosphere, Bandung, Indonesia, (3)Institut Teknologi Bandung, Earth Sciences, Bandung, Indonesia
Guojun Gu, ESSIC, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Robert F Adler, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States
Danqing Huang1, Jian Zhu2, Anning Huang1, Xiaowen Tang1 and Peiwen Yan1, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Wei Zhang1, Gabriele Villarini1, Enrico Scoccimarro2 and Gabriel A Vecchi3, (1)IIHR—Hydroscience and Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States, (2)Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici—CMCC, Bologna, Italy, (3)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Crystal Painter1, Adam Varble2 and Edward J Zipser1, (1)University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States, (2)University of Utah, Atmospheric Sciences, Salt Lake City, UT, United States
Qiaohong Sun, Beijing Normal University, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing, China, Chiyuan Miao, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China and Amir AghaKouchak, University of California, Irvine, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
Danielle E Touma, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, Anna M Michalak, Carnegie Institution for Science, Department of Global Ecology, Stanford, CA, United States, Daniel L Swain, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Noah S Diffenbaugh, Stanford University, Earth System Science and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, CA, United States
Nikolina Ban1, Nico Kröner1, David Leutwyler1, Daniel Lüthi1 and Christoph Schar2, (1)ETH Zurich, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)ETH Zurich, Atmospheric & Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland
Cristian Martinez-Villalobos and J David Neelin, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Emily A Slinskey1, Paul C Loikith1, Duane Edward Waliser2 and Alex Goodman3, (1)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Hayley J Fowler1, Elizabeth Lewis2, Selma Guerreiro2, Stephen Blenkinsop3, Renaud Barbero4, Seth Westra5, Geert Lenderink6 and Xiaofeng Li2, (1)Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom, (2)Newcastle University, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom, (3)Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom, (4)IRSTEA, Montpelier, France, (5)University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia, (6)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands
Ying Xu, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China and Xiaocheng Chen, HuNan province Climate Center, Changsha, China
Erika Leigh Cropp1, Pieter Hazenberg2, Christopher L Castro1 and Eleonora M. Demaria3, (1)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)University of Arizona, Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, (3)USDA-ARS, Southwest Watershed Research Center, Tucson, AZ, United States
Peihua Qin, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS, State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Beijing, China and Zhenghui Xie, LASG, IAP, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Fabian von Trentini1, Franz-Josef Schmid1, Marco Braun2, Francois Brisette3, Anne Frigon4, Martin Leduc2, Jean-Luc Martel5, Florian Willkofer1, Raul R. Wood1 and Ralf Ludwig1, (1)Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany, (2)Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)École de Technologie Supérieure, Montreal, QC, Canada, (4)Ouranos - Consortium on Regional Climatology and Adaptation to Climate Change, Montreal, QC, Canada, (5)École de Technologie Superieure, Montreal, QC, Canada
Steefan Contractor, Sydney, Australia, Markus Donat, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Lisa V. Alexander, Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Maofeng Liu1, Long Yang2, James A Smith2 and Gabriel A Vecchi3, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Princeton University, Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States
Suresh Marahatta, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal, Loknath Adhikari, Texas A & M University Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX, United States and Binod Pokharel, Utah State University, Plants, Soils and Climate, Logan, UT, United States
Jean-Luc Martel1, François Brissette2, Alain Mailhot3, Raul R. Wood4, Ralf Ludwig4, Anne Frigon5, Martin Leduc6 and Richard Turcotte7, (1)École de Technologie Supérieure, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)École de Technologie Supérieure, DRAME, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, Eau-Terre-Environnement, Québec, QC, Canada, (4)Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany, (5)Ouranos - Consortium on Regional Climatology and Adaptation to Climate Change, Montreal, QC, Canada, (6)Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada, (7)MDDELCC, Quebec, Canada
Huanping Huang1, Jonathan Winter1 and Erich C Osterberg2, (1)Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States, (2)Dartmouth College, Department of Earth Sciences, Hanover, NH, United States
Aleksandra Borodina1, Erich M Fischer2 and Reto Knutti2, (1)Zurich, Switzerland, (2)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Shahid Mehmood1, Moetasim Ashfaq1, Katherine J Evans1, Robert X Black2 and Huang-Hsiung Hsu3, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)Georgia Inst Tech School EAS, Atlanta, GA, United States, (3)Academia Sinica, Research Center for Environmental Changes, Taipei, Taiwan
Lei Wang and Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States
Daniel Walton, University of California Los Angeles, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Matthew Grieco, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Michael Earl DeVore, Self Employed, Washington, DC, United States
Yasuko Okada1, Masayoshi Ishii2, Hirokazu Endo3, Hiroaki Kawase4, Hidetaka Sasaki5, Izuru Takayabu6, Shingo Watanabe4, Mikiko Fujita4, Shiori Sugimoto4 and Sho Kawazoe4, (1)JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan, (2)Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan, (3)Meteorological Research Institute, Climate Reserach Department, Ibaraki, Japan, (4)Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan, (5)Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan, (6)Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan
Jonathan Mitchell, UCLA, Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences; Earth, Planetary & Space Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Qinghua Ding, UCSB, Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Guiling Wang, University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States, Kevin E Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Dagang Wang, Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou, China and Amir Erfanian, University of Connecticut, Civil & Environmental Engineerign, Storrs, CT, United States