A020:
Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Theory, Modeling, and Observations





Session ID#: 24528

Session Description:
There is a growing need to understand how extreme weather phenomena will change in the future under climate change. Such a goal requires insight into how such phenomena, including but not limited to severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme precipitation,  emerge within the climate system in general. This session seeks novel research bridging the gap between climate and extreme weather with an emphasis on understanding both the underlying climate physics that generate such events and the mechanisms by which their statistics vary across climate states, including global warming. Analyses employing a wide range of methodologies are welcome, including idealized and high-resolution climate modeling, observational and historical data analysis, and theory.
Primary Convener:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Convener:  Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3329 Mesoscale meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States and John G Dwyer, Dia&Co, New York, United States
Chengeng MA, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States and Edmund K M Chang, Stony Brook Univ St Univ NY, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Aaron D Kennedy, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND, United States and Alex Trellinger, University of North Dakota, Atmospheric Sciences, Grand Forks, ND, United States
Suzana J Camargo1,2, Adam H Sobel2, Lorenzo M Polvani2, Kerry Emanuel3 and Michael J Previdi4, (1)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Columbia University, New York, NY, United States, (3)MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States, (4)Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Arielle J Catalano1, Anthony J Broccoli1, Sarah B Kapnick2 and Tyler P Janoski1, (1)Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, (2)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States and Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Qi Liu1, Congbin Fu1 and Tianjun Zhou2, (1)Nanjing University, Nanjing, China, (2)Inst of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
Daniel Johannes Befort, University of Birmingham, School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom, Kevin Hodges, University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom and Gregor C Leckebusch, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom
Romain Pilon1, Fabrice Chauvin2, Philippe Palany1 and Ali Belmadani3, (1)Météo-France, DIRAG/ECMPF, Fort-de-France, Martinique, (2)Météo-France, CNRM/GMGEC/AMACS, Toulouse, France, (3)Instituto Milenio de Oceanografia (IMO), Concepcion, Chile
Kalim Mikhail Bahbahani, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada and Michael Josef Pidwirny, Univ of British Columbia, Kelowna, BC, Canada
Christina Aragon, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States, Paul C Loikith, Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States, Benjamin R Lintner, Rutgers, New Brunswick, NJ, United States and Max Pike, Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, NJ, United States
Summer Dean, Portland State University, Environmental Science and Management, Portland, OR, United States and Paul C Loikith, Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States
Benjamin A Schenkel1, Ning Lin1, Daniel Robert Chavas1, Gabriel A Vecchi2, Thomas R Knutson2 and Michael Oppenheimer3, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, United States
Angeline G Pendergrass1, Reto Knutti2, Flavio Lehner1, Clara Deser3 and Benjamin M Sanderson1, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, (3)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
Claudia Stephan, Nicholas P Klingaman, Pier Luigi Vidale, Andrew G Turner, Marie-Estelle Demory and Liang Guo, NCAS Climate, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Peter Hjort Lauritzen1, Ram D Nair1, Steve Goldhaber2, Julio T Bacmeister3, Mark Taylor4 and Adam R Herrington5, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)AMP/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States, (5)Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Colin M. Zarzycki, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate & Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States
Richard Grotjahn and Rui Zhang, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
Nkosi Mark Muse, SOARS/NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Colin M. Zarzycki, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate & Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States and Nan A Rosenbloom, NCAR/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States
Abilash Janardhanan, Humble, TX, United States
Joshua C Bregy1, Justin T. Maxwell1 and Scott M Robeson2, (1)Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, (2)Indiana Univ--Dept Geography, Bloomington, IN, United States
Hector Alejandro Inda Diaz1,2 and Travis Allen O'Brien1,2, (1)University of California Davis, Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States, (2)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, United States