EP012:
Earthcasting: Geomorphic Prediction for Society





Session ID#: 24844

Session Description:
Over the last several decades, the study of Earth surface processes has progressed from a descriptive science to an increasingly quantitative and potentially predictive one. The importance of geomorphic predictions has never been greater, as development and global climate change threaten to reshape the landscapes that support human societies and natural ecosystems. This session explores the concept of earthcasting: socially relevant forecasting of Earth surface change. Such forecasts focus on human-relevant timescales (~1 to 100 years) and spatial scales (~10 to 10^4 meters), are testable, and make direct, predictive statements with quantitative uncertainties. Earthcasts can bridge gaps between Earth surface researchers and decision-makers, stakeholders, researchers from other disciplines, planners, engineers, and the general public. We welcome submissions that either (i) generate earthcasts, (ii) transform fundamental geomorphic research into earthcasts, or (iii) communicate earthcasts beyond the Earth surface processes and geomorphology research community.
Primary Convener:  Kimberly Litwin Miller, University of Wyoming, Department of Geology, Laramie, WY, United States; National Center for Earth-Surface Dynamics, Minneapolis, MN, United States
Conveners:  Kerri N Johnson1,2, Ajay B. Limaye2,3 and John Gartner2,4, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States(2)National Center for Earth-Surface Dynamics, Minneapolis, MN, United States(3)University of Minnesota, Department of Earth Sciences, Minneapolis, MN, United States(4)University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Geosciences, Amherst, MA, United States
Index Terms:

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Scott W McCoy1, Jonathan Jacquet1, Dan McGrath2, Robert Koschitzki3 and Jorge Okuinghttons4, (1)University of Nevada Reno, Reno, NV, United States, (2)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States, (3)Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany, (4)Ministry of Public Works, Santiago, Chile
Liz Miller1, Brent M Goehring2, Kay Birdsell1, Phil H Stauffer3, Emily S Schultz-Fellenz1, Sean French1 and Adam Lee Atchley1, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Tulane University of Louisiana, New Orleans, LA, United States, (3)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Division, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Laurel Larsen, Dino G. Bellugi, Hongxu Ma and Christopher Tennant, University of California Berkeley, Geography, Berkeley, CA, United States