PA028:
Science to Action: Research to Applications (R2A) to Enhance Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Water Supply and Drought Outlooks


Possible Alternate Format: If this session is allocated an oral session, the convener can choose to have lightning style presentations that are quicker and more focused than a traditional session. Learn more


Session ID#: 25219

Session Description:
Advances in the science of subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) climate forecasts are of critical importance to a wide range of decisionmakers for agriculture, water management, public lands and ecosystem management, who implement planning and preparedness at these time scales. The transition of S2S climate forecasts into applications is often augmented by sector-oriented information products such as drought and seasonal water supply or hydrologic outlooks, which help guide the management of water from local to regional scales. This session invites presentations from researchers, managers, and stakeholders that provide insight into efforts to improving operational S2S outlooks of drought, water supply, and streamflow, agricultural and other sectoral outcomes. Contributions might include studies of S2S predictability or forecast skill focussed on regions or seasons of interest for water or drought, predictability of drought indices or seasonal snow accumulation, or descriptions of stakeholder needs and decision challenges that would benefit from S2S forecast information.
Primary Convener:  Andrea J Ray, NOAA/Earth System Research Lab/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States
Conveners:  Andrew W Wood, National Center for Atmospheric Research, RAL/Hydrometeorological Applications Program, Boulder, CO, United States, Michelle Stokes, NOAA, Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, Salt Lake City, UT, United States; NOAA Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, Salt Lake City, UT, United States and Brian Fuchs, National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States
Co-Organized with:
Public Affairs, Hydrology, and Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1884 Water supply [HYDROLOGY]
4341 Early warning systems [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4343 Preparedness and planning [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Dave MacLeod and Tim Palmer, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Andrea J Ray, NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, CO, United States, Joseph J Barsugli, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, Heather Yocum, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, Michelle Stokes, NOAA, Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, Salt Lake City, UT, United States and David Miskus, NOAA/NWS, Climate Prediction Center OPB, College Park, MD, United States
Flavio Lehner1, Andrew Wood1, Dagmar Llewellyn2, Douglas B Blatchford3, Angus Graham Goodbody4 and Florian Pappenberger5, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Denver, CO, United States, (3)Bureau of Reclamation Boulder City, Boulder City, NV, United States, (4)Natural Resources Conservation Service, Portland, United States, (5)European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom
Benjamin Cash, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Eric F Wood1, Niko Wanders1, Ming Pan1, Justin Sheffield2, Luis E. Samaniego3, Stephan Thober4, Rohini Kumar3, Christel Prudhomme5 and Helen Houghton-Carr5, (1)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Southampton University, Southampton, United Kingdom, (3)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, (4)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany, (5)Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom
David S Gutzler, Univ New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, United States and Shaleene B Chavarria, University of New Mexico, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Albuquerque, NM, United States
Zhenchen Liu1, Guihua LU1, Hai He1, Zhiyong Wu1 and Jian He2, (1)Hohai University, Nanjing, China, (2)Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau of Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, China
Louise J. Slater, Loughborough University, Loughborough, United Kingdom and Gabriele Villarini, IIHR—Hydroscience and Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States
Shraddhanand Shukla1, Daniel McEvoy2, Mike Hobbins3, Gregory J Husak4, Justin L Huntington2, Christopher Funk5, James Verdin6 and Denis Macharia7, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (2)Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)USGS, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (5)USGS, Baltimore, MD, United States, (6)US Agency for International Development, Falls Church, VA, United States, (7)Regional Center for Mapping Resources for Development, Nairobi, Kenya
Colin A Penn, USGS Colorado Water Science Center Denver, Denver, CO, United States, David W Clow, USGS Central Region Offices Denver, Denver, CO, United States and Graham A Sexstone, Colorado State University, EASC - Watershed Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States
Lauren M Fry1, Andrew Gronewold2, Tim Hunter3, Lisi Pei3,4, Joeseph Smith3,5, Heather Lucier1,5 and Richard Mueller6, (1)US Army Corps of Engineers - Detroit District, Detroit, MI, United States, (2)NOAA-Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (3)Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (6)New York Power Authority, Marcy, NY, United States
Sarah Ann Baker1,2, Andrew Wood3, Balaji Rajagopalan1, Flavio Lehner3, Peitao Peng4, Andrea J Ray5, Joseph J Barsugli6 and Kevin Werner7, (1)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Bureau of Reclamation, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Climate Prediction Center College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (5)NOAA Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, (6)CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States, (7)NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States
Paul D. Micheletty1, Gerald N Day1, Danielle Perrot1, John Lhotak2, Jonathan Quebbeman1, Gi-Hyeon Park1,3 and Shaun Carney1, (1)RTI International, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)NOAA Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, Salt Lake City, UT, United States, (3)Riverside Technology Inc., Fort Collins, CO, United States
Chris Delaney1, Robert K Hartman2, John Mendoza1 and Brett Whitin3, (1)Sonoma County Water Agency, Santa Rosa, CA, United States, (2)California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA, United States, (3)NOAA/NWS California-Nevada River Forecast Center, Sacramento, CA, United States
Sarah B Kapnick1, Xiaosong Yang1, Gabriel A Vecchi2, Thomas L Delworth3, Rich Gudgel1, Sergey Malyshev4, Chris Milly5, Elena Shevliakova1, Seth Underwood1 and Steven A Margulis6, (1)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)GFDL, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)USGS Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, United States, (6)Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Kenneth Nowak, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Research and Development, Denver, CO, United States, Robert Cifelli, NOAA, Physical Science Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Levi D Brekke, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Denver, CO, United States
Mark D. Svoboda1, Brian Fuchs2, Chris Poulsen2, Jeff Nothwehr2 and John Swigart2, (1)National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, School of Natural Resources, Lincoln, NE, United States, (2)National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States
David G DeWitt, Intl Res Inst Climate Predict, Bowie, MD, United States
Adam Hutchinson, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, Greg Woodside, Orange County Water District, Fountain Valley, CA, United States and F Martin Ralph, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States

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