GC017:
CLIMATE EXTREMES: patterns, mechanisms and attribution





Session ID#: 25337

Session Description:
Although we are seeing more weather and climate extremes, individual events are very diverse, and generalization of trends is difficult. For example, mid-latitude and subtropical climate extremes such as heat waves, droughts and hurricanes have increased, and could have been caused by processes including arctic amplification, jet stream meandering and tropical expansion. This session explores various extreme events and associated changes through diagnostic, modeling and statistical approaches. The session focuses on presentations examining aspects of extreme event prediction, attribution, and mechanisms, as well as on evaluations of model accuracy and potentially controversial theories examining how climate extremes may become stronger or more frequent.
Primary Convener:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Conveners:  JinHo Yoon, GIST Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology, Gwangju, Korea, Republic of (South) and Catherine Pomposi, University of California, Santa Barbara , Department of Geography , Santa Barbara , CA , United States
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Tong Zhou1, Liang Ning2, Jian Liu2, Mi Yan3, Weiyi Sun2, Chunhan Jin3 and Lu Liu2, (1)Nanjing Normal University,Department of Geography Information Science, Nanjing, China, (2)Nanjing Normal University, School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing, China, (3)Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, China
Lu Liu1, Liang Ning1, Jian Liu1, Mi Yan2 and Weiyi Sun1, (1)Nanjing Normal University, School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing, China, (2)Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing, China
Scott Power, Francois Delage, Christine Chung, Hua Ye and Bradley Murphy, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
Siegfried D Schubert1,2, Hailan Wang1, Yehui Chang2, Randal D Koster3 and Andrea Molod2, (1)SSAI, Hampton, VA, United States, (2)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA Goddard SFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
David Keellings, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States and Johanna Engstrom, University of Florida, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
JinHo Yoon, GIST Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology, Gwangju, Korea, Republic of (South)
Koteswararao Kundeti, Climate Researcher, Vijayawada, India, Hoi HO Chang, Seoul National University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, South Korea, Lakshmi Kumar T V, SRM UNIVERSITY, Atmospheric Science Research Laboratory, Chennai, India, Srinivas Desamsetti, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia, Appala Ramu Dandi, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India and Chang-Hoi Ho, TV Lakshmi Kumar, Desamsetti Srinivas and Dandi Appala Ramu
Paul C Loikith, Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States, J David Neelin, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Joyce Meyerson, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Erik Tyler Smith, Kent State University Kent Campus, Kent, OH, United States
Sarah A O'Keefe1, Sihan Li2 and Friederike Elly Luise Otto1, (1)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (2)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
Andrew Verdin, Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Denver, CO, United States, Cameron Bracken, Bonneville Power Administration, Portland, OR, United States, Jason Caldwell, MetStat, Inc., Fort Collins, CO, United States, Rajagopalan Balaji, University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering and CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States and Chris C Funk, U.S. Geological Survey EROS Center / FEWS NET, Sioux Falls, United States
Shih-How Lo and Cheng-Ta Chen, NTNU National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan
Linh Nhat Luu1, Robert Vautard2 and Pascal Yiou2, (1)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (2)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France
Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Gandhinagar, India, Rohini Kumar, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, Sourav Mukherjee, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, India, Amir AghaKouchak, University of California, Irvine, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States, Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Computational Research Division, Berkeley, CA, United States and Matthew Huber, Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States
Chao Li1, Xuebin Zhang2 and Francis W Zwiers1, (1)University of Victoria, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada, (2)Environment Canada Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
Jeffrey C Mast, Texas A&M University College Station, Atmospheric Sciences, College Station, TX, United States and Andrew E Dessler, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX, United States
Deepti Singh1, Richard Seager2, Benjamin I Cook3, Mark A Cane4, Mingfang Ting2, Edward R Cook2 and Mike Davis5, (1)Columbia University of New York, New York, NY, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, United States, (4)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, (5)University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, United States
Prashant D Sardeshmukh1,2, Gilbert P Compo1,2, Chesley McColl1,2 and Cecile Penland1, (1)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)University of Colorado at Boulder, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Rachel Clemesha1, Kristen Guirguis1, Alexander Gershunov1, Ivory J Small2 and Alexander O Tardy2, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)NOAA, National Weather Service, San Diego, CA, United States
Shuangye Wu, University of Dayton, Dayton, OH, United States, Yanjuan Wu, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China and Jiahong Wen, Shanghai Normal University, Geography, Shanghai, China
Markus Donat, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Andy Pitman, University of New South Wales, ARCCSS, Sydney, Australia and Sonia I Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland
Mingfang Ting1, Richard Seager2, Cuihua Li1 and Haibo Liu3, (1)Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Davide Faranda1, Gabriele Messori2, James Doss-Gollin3, David J Farnham3, Upmanu Lall4 and Pascal Yiou5, (1)CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France, (2)Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, (3)Columbia University, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, NY, United States, (4)Columbia Univ, New York, NY, United States, (5)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France
Laurie L Trenary1, Timothy M DelSole1, Suzana Camargo2 and Michael Tippett3,4, (1)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric-Land Studies Fairfax, Atmospheric,Oceanic, and Earth Scinece, Fairfax, VA, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, (4)Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
Monika J Barcikowska, Environmental Defense Fund, New York, NY, United States, Scott J Weaver, Environmental Defense Fund, Washington, DC, United States, Frauke Feser, Institute for Coastal Research, Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany and Frederik Schenk, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Jitendra Singh1, Debasish Paimazumder2, Mohit PRAKASH Mohanty3, Subimal Ghosh4 and Subhankar Karmakar3, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, (2)NCAR, BOULDER, CO, United States, (3)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Centre for Environmental Science and Engineering, Mumbai, India, (4)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Civil Engineering, Mumbai, India
Mariana Alifa1, Fulden Batibeniz2, Deeksha Rastogi2, Katherine J Evans2, Moetasim Ashfaq2 and Jeremy S Pal1, (1)Loyola Marymount University, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Cheng-Ta Chen1, Shih-How Lo1, Chung-Chieh Wang1 and Kazuhisa Tsuboki2, (1)NTNU National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan, (2)Nagoya University, Institute for Space–Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya, Japan
Sebastian Bathiany, Wageningen University and Research Center, Wageningen, Netherlands, Vasilis Dakos, Université de Montpellier, Montpellier, France, Marten Scheffer, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands and Timothy M. Lenton, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Gwangyong Choi, Jeju National University, Jeju, South Korea and David A Robinson, Rutgers University, Department of Geography, Piscataway, NJ, United States
Xingcai Liu1, Qiuhong Tang2, Xuejun Zhang1, Pavel Ya Groisman3, Siao Sun4, Hui Lu5 and Zhe Li1, (1)IGSNRR Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, China, (2)Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (3)Hydrology Science and Services Corp, Asheville, NC, United States, (4)University of Lyon, INSA Lyon, Lyon, France, (5)Center for Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
Yochanan Kushnir, Columbia Univ, Palisades, NY, United States and Jennifer Nakamura, Lamont Doherty Earth Obs, Palisades, NY, United States
Cheng Qian1, Jun Wang2, Siyan Dong3, Hong Yin3, Claire Burke4, Andrew Ciavarella5, Buwen Dong6, Nicolas Freychet7, Fraser C Lott4 and Simon FB Tett8, (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Beijing, China, (3)National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China, Beijing, China, (4)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, Exeter, United Kingdom, (5)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom, (6)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (7)School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, (8)University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, Edinburgh, EH9, United Kingdom
Jinbo Xie, Insititute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China and Minghua Zhang, SUNY Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Aaron Studwell1, Xun Jiang1 and Liming Li2, (1)University of Houston, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Houston, TX, United States, (2)University of Houston, Physics Department, Houston, TX, United States
Park Williams1, Benjamin I Cook2, Jason E Smerdon3, Daniel A Bishop4, Richard Seager1 and Justin S Mankin1, (1)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, United States, (3)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, (4)Columbia University of New York, Earth and Environmental Sciences, New York, NY, United States
Wei Li, NUIST Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China and Zhihong Jiang, NUIST, Nanjing, China
Vikki Thompson1, Rosemary Eade2, Nick J Dunstone3, Adam A Scaife3 and Doug Smith3, (1)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom, (3)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
Hosmay Lopez1, Shenfu Dong2, Ben P Kirtman3, Gustavo Jorge Goni4, Sang-Ki Lee4, Robert M Atlas5 and Robert West6, (1)University of Miami, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Miami, FL, United States, (2)AOML/NOAA, Miami, FL, United States, (3)University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States, (4)Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States, (5)NOAA, Miami, FL, United States, (6)Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
Nakbin Choi1, Myong-In Lee2, Young-Kwon Lim3 and Kyu-Myong Kim3, (1)Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Urban and Environmental Engineering, Ulsan, Korea, Republic of (South), (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Arulalan Thanigachalam1, Krishna M Achutarao2 and Dileepkumar R1, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, 110, India
Armineh Barkhordarian, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States; University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Ali Behrangi, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States and Carlos R Mechoso, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Ethan Coffel, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States and Radley M Horton, CCSR, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Weilin Liao1, Xiaoping Liu1, Ming Luo2,3 and Dagang Wang1, (1)Sun Yat-Sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou, China, (2)The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Institute of Environment, Energy and Sustainability, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, (3)Sun Yat-sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou, China