C025:
Polar Climate: Processes & Predictability





Session ID#: 25613

Session Description:
Accurate polar climate prediction on seasonal to multidecadal timescales could benefit a wide range of stakeholders, from local residents to governmental policy makers. Yet few modeling studies have predicted recent changes in the Arctic or Antarctic with fidelity. In this session, we seek studies that identify sources of predictability, evaluate causes of variability, and characterize uncertainty in polar climate prediction. We also welcome studies that link polar climate predictability to extrapolar phenomena. This session aims to connect scientists across a wide range of disciplines – those studying land ice, sea ice, ocean, atmosphere, and their coupling – whose research has furthered our understanding of Arctic or Antarctic climates.
Primary Convener:  Hansi Alice Singh, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
Conveners:  Cecilia M Bitz1, Sarah Purkey1 and Jeremy Garmeson Fyke2, (1)University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States(2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Co-Organized with:
Cryosphere, Atmospheric Sciences, Global Environmental Change, and Ocean Sciences

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

0738 Ice [CRYOSPHERE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3349 Polar meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4207 Arctic and Antarctic oceanography [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Xianglei Huang1, Xiuhong Chen2, Mark Flanner3, Ping Yang4, Daniel Feldman5 and Chaincy Kuo5, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)Univ of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (3)University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (4)Texas A & M University, College Station, TX, United States, (5)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
Stephen Matthew Griffies, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, Paul Spence, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, Australia, Ryan Holmes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, Andrew M. Hogg, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Kial Douglas Stewart, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Matthew H England, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Sydney, Australia
Malte F Stuecker1, Cecilia M Bitz2 and Kyle Armour1, (1)University of Washington, Seattle, Seattle, WA, United States, (2)University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
Chang Hoon Jung1, Y.J. Yoon2, Seo Hee Ahn3, H.J. Kang2, Y. T. Gim2 and B.Y. Lee3, (1)Kyungin Womens College, Incheon, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, Korea, Republic of (South), (3)Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea
Gina R Henderson, US Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD, United States and Bradford Barrett, US Naval Academy, Oceanography, Annapolis, MD, United States
Sergio Sejas1, Patrick C Taylor1 and Ming Cai2, (1)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States, (2)Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
Marika M Holland, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Laura Landrum, Ceilandia, Bandeira do Distrito Federa, Brazil, John Mioduszewski, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, United States, Stephen J Vavrus, Univ Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States and Muyin Wang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States
Wei Liu, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States and Alexey V Fedorov, Yale Univ, New Haven, CT, United States
Karen L Smith, University of Toronto, Physical and Environmental Sciences, Toronto, ON, Canada; University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada, Lorenzo M Polvani, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States and Bruno Tremblay, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
Jhon Mojica1, Georges Djoumna1, Diana Karam Francis2 and David Holland3, (1)New York University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, (2)Research Scientist, Center for Global Sea Level Change, Abu Dhabi, NY, United Arab Emirates, (3)New York University, New York, NY, United States
Rudra Shrestha and Knut von Salzen, CCCma, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada
Sandra Barreira, Argentine Naval Hydrographic Service, Buenos Aires, Argentina and Federico Orquera, Argentine Naval Hydrographic Service, Ciudad Autónoma de, Argentina
Benjamin Birner1, Christo Buizert2, Till J.W. Wagner3 and Jeffrey P Severinghaus1, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States, (3)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
Christophe Bellisario1, Helen E Brindley1, Jonathan Murray1, Alan Last1, Juliet C Pickering1, Chawn Harlow2, Stuart Fox2, Cathryn Fox2, Maureen Smith3, Doug Anderson3, Xianglei Huang4 and Xiuhong Chen4, (1)Imperial College London, Space and Atmospheric Physics Group, London, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)Facility for Airborne Atmospheric Measurements, Cranfield, United Kingdom, (4)Univ of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
Andrew F Thompson1, Andrew Stewart2, Sophia Hines1 and Jess F Adkins1, (1)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Gleb Panteleev1, Oceana Puananilei Francis2, Max Yaremchuk1, Jinlun Zhang3, Mikhail Kulakov4 and Yaprak Onat5, (1)Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)University of Hawaii, Honolulu, United States, (3)Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Polar Science Center, Seattle, WA, United States, (4)Arctic Antarctic Research Institute, St.Petersburg, Russia, (5)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States
Chii-Yun Tsai, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States, Chris E Forest, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, PA, United States and David Pollard, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States
Young-Kwon Lim, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Richard I Cullather, NASA/GSFC Code 610.1, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Sophie Nowicki, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Kwang-Yul Kim, Seoul National University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
Paul J Kushner1, Stephanie Ella Hay1, Russell Blackport2, Kelly E McCusker3 and Thomas Oudar4, (1)University of Toronto, Physics, Toronto, ON, Canada, (2)University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (4)University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
Annalisa Cherchi, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy; Euro Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change, Bologna, Italy
Youngjoon Jang1, Jinho Ahn1, Christo Buizert2, Hun-Gyu Lee1, Sangbum Hong3, Yeongcheol Han3, Seong Joon Jun3 and Soon Do Hur3, (1)Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea, (2)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States, (3)Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea
Gianluca Meneghello, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, John Marshall, MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States, Sylvia T Cole, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA, United States and Mary-Louise Timmermans, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States
Julie Arblaster1,2, Guomin Wang3 and Harry Hendon3, (1)Monash University, Melbourne, Australia, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
Hyun-Deok Choi1, Amber Jeanine Soja2, Chris Polashenski3, Thomas Duncan Fairlie2, David M Winker2 and Charles R Trepte2, (1)National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA, United States, (2)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States, (3)Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States
Keith Haines1, Nathanael Melia1, Ed Hawkins2 and Jonathan J Day1, (1)University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Brooke Medley, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Elizabeth Ruth Thomas, NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Arlan Dirkson1, William J Merryfield2, Adam H Monahan3 and Woo-Sung Lee2, (1)University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, (2)Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment Canada, Victoria, BC, Canada, (3)Univ Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada
Dana E Veron1, Alex Schroth1, Christophe Genthon2 and Etienne Vignon2, (1)University of Delaware, Newark, DE, United States, (2)LGGE Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de l’Environnement, Saint Martin d'Hères, France
Christoph Sven Funke, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States and Vladimir A Alexeev, Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States
Brian E J Rose, University at Albany State University of New York, Albany, NY, United States
Daniel Watkins and Jennifer Hutchings, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States
Francis Codron1, Deborah Bardet1, Caroline Allouache2, Guillaume Gastineau3, Andrew Ronald Friedman4, Hervé Douville5 and Aurore Voldoire6, (1)University Pierre and Marie Curie Paris VI, Paris, France, (2)Météo-France, Toulouse Cedex 01, France, (3)LOCEAN-IPSL, Paris cedex 05, France, (4)Institut Pierre Simon Laplace, Paris, France, (5)CNRM (Météo-France/CNRS), Climate research group, Toulouse, France, (6)CNRM, Toulouse, France
Carmen Boening1, Nicole Schlegel2, Daniel Limonadi2, Michael Schodlok1, Helene L Seroussi1, Eric Y Larour1 and Michael M Watkins2, (1)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Bruno Tremblay1, Charles Brunette1 and Robert Newton2, (1)McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
Hannah Marie Horowitz1, Becky Alexander2, Cecilia M Bitz2, Lyatt Jaegle3 and Susannah M Burrows4, (1)Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)Univ Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Mitchell Bushuk1, Rym Msadek2, Michael Winton1, Gabriel Vecchi1, Rich Gudgel1, Anthony John Rosati1 and Xiaosong Yang1, (1)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)CNRS/CERFACS, Toulouse, France

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