GC51A:
Climate Change and Fire Regimes in Mountain Ecosystems: Toward Actionable Predictions and Projections Posters

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 26067

Session Description:
Climate change will affect future wildfire regimes, both directly and indirectly through effects on vegetation. Changes in area burned and fire severity will affect ecosystem services such as hydrology, productivity, and habitat connectivity for wildlife. Projecting future scenarios at scales relevant to resource managers is complex, because drivers such as climate, vegetation change, and fire suppression operate at different scales. This session focuses on quantifying the nature of climate-driven future fire scenarios and their consequences for resource management across vegetation types, but especially in mountain ecosystems. We invite papers from diverse methodological approaches (statistical models, dynamical process models, and others) that focus on outcomes at the spatial scales involved in landscape management. Of particular interest are approaches that incorporate uncertainty into both future projections of ecosystem responses and alternative strategies for resource management under future fire scenarios.
Primary Convener:  Jeremy S Littell, USGS Alaska Climate Adaptation Science Center, Anchorage, United States
Conveners:  Don McKenzie, US Forest Service, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences, Seattle, United States, Samuel A Cushman, US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Flagstaff, AZ, United States and Connie Millar, US Forest Service Pacific Southwest Region Vallejo, Vallejo, CA, United States
Chairs:  Don McKenzie, US Forest Service, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences, Seattle, United States and Jeremy S Littell, USGS Alaska Climate Adaptation Science Center, Anchorage, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jeremy S Littell, USGS Alaska Climate Adaptation Science Center, Anchorage, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

0439 Ecosystems, structure and dynamics [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4321 Climate impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

A Coupled Model for Simulating Future Wildfire Regimes in the Western U.S. (259419)
Ryan R Bart, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Maureen C Kennedy, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, Christina (Naomi) Tague, UC Santa Barbara, Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, Santa Barbara, United States and Erin J Hanan, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, United States
Simulating high spatial resolution high severity burned area in Sierra Nevada forests for California Spotted Owl habitat climate change risk assessment and management. (278567)
Anthony Leroy Westerling1, Alisa Keyser1, Gavin Jones2 and M Zach Peery2, (1)University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States, (2)University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Climate change and future wildfire in the western USA: what model projections do and don't tell us (295394)
Jeremy S Littell, USGS Alaska Climate Adaptation Science Center, Anchorage, United States, Don McKenzie, US Forest Service, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences, Seattle, United States, Samuel A Cushman, Carlsbad, NM, United States and Ho Yi Wan, University of Montana, School of Public and Community Health Sciences, Missoula, MT, United States
Can Complexity Science Help us Understand Fire Regimes in a Changing Climate? (301381)
Don McKenzie, USDA Forest Service, Vallejo, CA, United States
Effects of fire suppression under a changing climate in Pacific Northwest mixed-pine forests (225358)
Erin J Hanan, Washington State University, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, Christina (Naomi) Tague, UC Santa Barbara, Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, Santa Barbara, United States, Ryan R Bart, University of California Berkeley, Environmental Science, Policy and Management, Berkeley, CA, United States, Maureen C Kennedy, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, John T Abatzoglou, University of California Merced, Merced, United States, Crystal Kolden, University of California Merced, Management of Complex Systems, Merced, CA, United States and Jennifer C Adam, Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, United States
Future Wildfire and Managed Fire Interactions in the Lake Tahoe Basin (228614)
Robert Scheller, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States and Alec Kretchun, Portland State University, Environmental Sciences and Management, Portland, OR, United States
Climate-Driven Risk of Large Fire Occurrence in the Western United States, 1500 to 2003 (261206)
Joseph Crockett, University of New Mexico Main Campus, Albuquerque, NM, United States and Anthony Leroy Westerling, University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States
IMPACT OF LAND USE CHANGE ON THE TEMPERATE FOREST OF SOUTH CENTRAL CHILE (221617)
Alfonso Fernandez1, Rodrigo Fuentes2, Edilia Jaque1 and Sandra Fernandez3, (1)Universidad de Concepción, Geography, Concepción, Chile, (2)Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile, (3)Universidad de Concepción, Departamento de Geografía, Concepción, Chile

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