GC013:
Climate change and fire regimes in mountain ecosystems: toward actionable predictions and projections


Possible Alternate Format: If this session is allocated an oral session, the convener can choose to have lightning style presentations that are quicker and more focused than a traditional session. Learn more


Session ID#: 26067

Session Description:

Climate change will affect future wildfire regimes, both directly and indirectly through effects on vegetation. Changes in area burned and fire severity will affect ecosystem services such as hydrology, productivity, and habitat connectivity for wildlife.  Projecting future scenarios at scales relevant to resource managers is complex, because drivers such as climate, vegetation change, and fire suppression operate at different scales. This session focuses on quantifying the nature of climate-driven future fire scenarios and their consequences for resource management across vegetation types, but especially in mountain ecosystems.  We invite papers from diverse methodological approaches (statistical models, dynamical process models, and others) that focus on outcomes at the spatial scales involved in landscape management.  Of particular interest are approaches that incorporate uncertainty into both future projections of ecosystem responses and alternative strategies for resource management under future fire scenarios.

Primary Convener:  Jeremy S Littell, USGS Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, United States
Conveners:  Donald McKenzie, US Forest Service, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Samuel A Cushman, US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Flagstaff, AZ, United States and Connie Millar, US Forest Service Pacific Southwest Region Vallejo, Vallejo, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Alfonso Fernandez1, Rodrigo Fuentes2, Edilia Jaque2 and Sandra Fernandez2, (1)Universidad de Concepción, Geography, Concepción, Chile, (2)Universidad de Concepción, Concepción, Chile
Dalei Hao1, Jianguang Wen2 and Qing Xiao1, (1)RADI Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)CAS Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of remote sensing and digital earth, Beijng, China
Erin J Hanan, Washington State University, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, Christina (Naomi) Tague, UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Ryan R Bart, University of California Berkeley, Environmental Science, Policy and Management, Berkeley, CA, United States, Maureen C Kennedy, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, John T Abatzoglou, University of Idaho, Department of Geography, Moscow, ID, United States, Crystal Kolden, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, United States and Jennifer C Adam, Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States
Robert Scheller, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Raleigh, NC, United States and Alec Kretchun, Portland State University, Environmental Sciences and Management, Portland, OR, United States
Evgenii I. Ponomarev1, Viacheslav Kharuk2 and Olga Antamoshkina1, (1)V.N.Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, Krasnoyarsk, Russia, (2)Sukachev Institute of Forests, Krasnoyarsk, Russia
Ryan R Bart1, Maureen C Kennedy2, Christina (Naomi) Tague3 and Erin J Hanan1, (1)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (2)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (3)UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Joseph Crockett, University of New Mexico Main Campus, Albuquerque, NM, United States and Anthony Leroy Westerling, University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States
Sandra Olivia Brügger1, Erika Gobet1, Michael Sigl2, Dimitri Osmont3, Tatjana Papina4, Natalia Rudaya5, Margit Schwikowski6 and Willy Tinner1, (1)University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, (2)Paul Scherrer Institut, Villigen, Switzerland, (3)Paul Scherrer Institute, Villigen, Switzerland, (4)IWEP, Barnaul, Russia, (5)Institute of Archaeology & Ethnography SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia, (6)Paul Scherrer Inst, Villigen, Switzerland
Paul Daniel Henne1, Todd J Hawbaker2 and Erin Berryman1, (1)US Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, Denver, CO, United States, (2)US Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, Lakewood, CO, United States
Anthony Leroy Westerling1, Alisa Keyser1, Gavin Jones2 and M Zach Peery2, (1)University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States, (2)University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Michael Gbenga Ogungbuyi, University of Cape Town, Electrical Engineering /Space Studies, Ibadan, Nigeria; University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria, Peter Martinez, Redlands, CA, United States and Frank D Eckardt, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
Jeremy S Littell, USGS Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, United States, Donald McKenzie, US Forest Service, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States, Samuel A Cushman, Carlsbad, NM, United States and Ho Yi Wan, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, United States