OS015:
Numerical Model Performance Metrics





Session ID#: 26098

Session Description:
With advances in numerical modelling of ocean and atmosphere particularly for operational forecasting products, there is clearly a need to include model metrics that portray the certainty of these products.  The reality is that numerical prediction will never be perfect, but there are increasing demands from operational users on metrics of forecast accuracy.  This session addresses methods for assessing model state variables as well as derived products regarding predictions of a variety of conditions including weather, flooding, ocean surge, ocean surface waves, marine boundary layer effects, deep ocean structure, and ocean acoustics, just to name a few.  Time scales present its own challenges be it from a few hours to climate scales.  Spatial scales include littoral to global domains.  Metric methods may address deterministic and ensemble forecasting.   Attention may also be paid to the assessment of tightly coupled modelling systems (addressed in another session).
Primary Convener:  James D Dykes, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States
Conveners:  Andrea C Mask, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Maria K. Flatau, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States and Charles E Skupniewicz, Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center, Monterey, CA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
Index Terms:

0550 Model verification and validation [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
1922 Forecasting [INFORMATICS]
1932 High-performance computing [INFORMATICS]
4534 Hydrodynamic modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Ofer Shamir, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel, Nathan Paldor, Hebrew Univ. of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel and Pierre Bénard, Météo-France Toulouse, Toulouse Cedex 01, France
Ebenezer S Nyadjro, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA, United States, Tommy Jensen, Naval Research Lab Stennis Space Center, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, James G Richman, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States and Jay F Shriver, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Matthew Janiga, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, James A Ridout, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, Carl J Schreck III, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellite North Carolina State, Asheville, NC, United States, Maria K. Flatau, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States, Neil P Barton, Naval Research Lab, Monterey, CA, United States, William Komaromi, Naval Reserach Laboratory, Monterey, United States and Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA, United States
James D Dykes, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States and Philip Fanguy, Vencore, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Maria K. Flatau, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States, Darek Baranowski, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Neil Barton, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States, Sue Chen, Naval Resarch Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States, Piotr J Flatau, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States, Matthew Janiga, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA, United States and James A Ridout, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States
Osamu Isoguchi1, Kai Matsui2, Masafumi Kamachi3, Norihisa Usui4, Yasumasa Miyazawa5, Yoichi Ishikawa5 and Naoki Hirose6, (1)RESTEC Remote Sensing Technology Center of Japan, Tokyo, Japan, (2)JAXA, Tsukuba, Japan, (3)Champaign, IL, United States, (4)Meteorological Research Instit, Tsukuba, Japan, (5)JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan, (6)Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan
Jei-Kook Choi, NAVO, James D Dykes, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Max Yaremchuk, Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Paul Wittmann, FNMOC, Monerey, United States
Yonggang Liu and Robert H Weisberg, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL, United States
Elizabeth Douglass, Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Andrea C Mask, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Michail Manolidis1, Mark Orzech2 and Julian Simeonov2, (1)NRC Postdoc, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Kacey L Edwards1, Sunni Ann Siqueira2 and W. Erick Rogers1, (1)Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)Vencore Services and Solutions, Inc., Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Sunni Ann Siqueira1, Kacey L Edwards2 and W. Erick Rogers2, (1)Vencore Services and Solutions, Inc., Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
David W Wang, James D Dykes and Sergio deRada, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Patrick J Fitzpatrick1, Yee Lau1, Ghassan Alaka2 and Frank Marks2, (1)Mississippi State University, Geosystems Research Institute, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Key Biscayne, FL, United States
Peter S Gay, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Kacey L Edwards, Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Gordon Stephenson, University of Southern Mississippi, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Maarten C Buijsman, University of Southern Mississippi, Marine Science, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Fuchang Wang1, Xiaobiao Xu2 and Eric Chassignet1, (1)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (2)Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States

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