NG013:
Validation, Verification, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) in Earth and Space Sciences and Decision Making





Session ID#: 26303

Session Description:
VVUQ is an interdisciplinary research area that seeks to understand and quantify uncertainty flows through computational systems. Validation concerns how well computational outputs represent reality. Verification concerns how well mathematical formulas are represented in computational code. Uncertainty quantification is a set of tools and formalisms for quantifying sources and subsequent flows of uncertainty from all sources that affect the reliability of the output. In Earth and Space sciences this is especially important because outputs are often estimates used to test scientific hypotheses or make decisions that pose risk. This session invites talks from all areas of Earth and Space sciences that describe methods or conclusions from studies of: complex predictive scientific or decision support models; inverse problems including geophysical retrievals; the use of data assimilation as a means of UQ, or the subject of it; and current approaches that informally address VVUQ.
Primary Convener:  Carmen Boening, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Conveners:  Daniel Limonadi1, Amy J Braverman1 and Maggie Johnson2, (1)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States(2)Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • EP - Earth and Planetary Surface Processes
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • IN - Earth and Space Science Informatics
Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1990 Uncertainty [INFORMATICS]
4430 Complex systems [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Bruce R Barkstrom1, Norman G Loeb2 and Bruce A Wielicki2, (1)Self Employed, Washington, DC, United States, (2)NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA, United States
Jonathan Hobbs1, Michael Turmon2, Cedric H David1, John T Reager II3 and James S. Famiglietti3, (1)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)JPL, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States
Elena Garcia-Bustamante1, Fidel J González-Rouco2 and Jorge Navarro1, (1)Ciemat, Madrid, Spain, (2)Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Astrofísica y CC. Atmósfera, Madrid, Spain
Jochen Voss, Leeds, United Kingdom, Alan M Haywood, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, Aisling M Dolan, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom and Dario Domingo, University of Leeds, Department of Statistics, Leeds, United Kingdom
Mark Berliner, Columbus, OH, United States