H088:
Multi-hypothesis modeling of ecological and hydrological systems





Session ID#: 26617

Session Description:
Ecological and hydrological systems are composed of many inter-connected processes. Often there are multiple competing hypotheses concerning how these processes operate and how they are interconnected. Multiple hypotheses for multiple system processes can lead to many ways to simulate a given system. Systems modeling supports the critical scientific task of testing different hypotheses against data within the context of the system. However, when applied to such complex models, methods for understanding simulated dynamics, their interdependencies, and for comparing models to data are in their infancy. For example, in climate modeling, clear statements of what model differences produce the different results elude even the experts. Software tools and statistical methods are evolving that have the potential to make multi-hypothesis modeling more transparent. This session seeks contributions from those who are imagining, developing, and using tools and methods needed to realize more transparent multi-hypothesis modeling of ecological and hydrological systems.
Primary Convener:  Anthony P Walker, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Conveners:  Martyn P Clark, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Department of Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States and Martin Gerard De Kauwe, Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia
Co-Organized with:
Hydrology, and Biogeosciences
Index Terms:

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Ming Ye1, Zhuowei Chen2, Liangsheng Shi2, Yan Zhu3 and Jinzhong Yang2, (1)Florida State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (2)Wuhan University, Wuhan, China, (3)Wuhan University, State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Sciences, Wuhan, China
Hui Zheng1, Zong-Liang Yang2, Peirong Lin3, Jiangfeng Wei4, Lingcheng Li2, Wen-Ying Wu5, Long Zhao2 and Shu Wang6, (1)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (3)Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (4)Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, (5)University of Texas at Austin, Geological Sciences, Austin, TX, United States, (6)State Key Laboratory of Operation and Control of Renewable Energy and Storage Systems, Beijing, China
Heidi Needham, University of Hawaii at Manoa, C-MORE/SOEST, Honolulu, HI, United States, Thomas W Giambelluca, Univ Hawaii Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States and Ryan J Longman, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States
Heng Dai1, Xingyuan Chen2, Ming Ye3, Xuehang Song4 and John M Zachara4, (1)Jinan University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Florida State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Elizabeth Cowdery1, Michael Dietze1 and PEcAn, (1)Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Richard Essery, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Dan Lu1, Daniel M Ricciuto2 and Katherine J Evans1, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Chris Soulsby1, Sylvain Kuppel2, Marco P Maneta3 and Doerthe Tetzlaff2,4, (1)School of Geosciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom, (2)Northern Rivers Institute, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom, (3)University of Montana, Missoula, MT, United States, (4)Humboldt University of Berlin, Berlin, Germany
Stephen B Shaw, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Department of Environmental Resources Engineering, Syracuse, NY, United States and Christa Kelleher, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States
Anthony P Walker1, Dan Lu1, Daniel M Ricciuto2, Alistair Rogers3, Shawn Serbin4, Ming Ye5 and Xueming Zheng6, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Upton, NY, United States, (4)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental & Climate Sciences Department, Upton, NY, United States, (5)Florida State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (6)Florida State University, Tallahassee, United States
Shawn Serbin1, Anthony P Walker2, Jin Wu3, Kim Ely1 and Alistair Rogers3, (1)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental & Climate Sciences Department, Upton, NY, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Upton, NY, United States
Belinda Medlyn, Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, RIchmond, Australia, Mingkai Jiang, Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Richmond, Australia and Sönke Zaehle, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
Sina Khatami1, Murray Cameron Peel1, Tim J Peterson2 and Andrew William Western3, (1)University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, (2)The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia, (3)Melbourne University, Melbourne, Australia

See more of: Hydrology