H071:
Hydrometeorological Forecasting of Atmospheric Rivers and their Impacts: Models, Methods and Observations





Session ID#: 26815

Session Description:
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are a major driver of floods, water resources and hydroclimate variability in many regions of the world, such as western North America. Reliable forecasting of precipitation, streamflow, soil moisture, snowfall and other impacts of ARs requires integrated observations and models of the coupled atmosphere, ocean and land systems. This session highlights recent developments in forecasting and observing the hydrometeorological impacts of ARs. Specific focus areas include coupled atmospheric-hydrologic modeling for streamflow prediction during ARs; impacts of ARs on modeled or observed water resources; evaluations of AR forecast skill and its impacts on operation of reservoirs and other infrastructure; near real-time data assimilation and parameter estimation techniques to improve forecasts; sensitivity of AR forecast skill to physical processes in the land-ocean-atmosphere system; comparisons of new forecasting tools with existing methods; and the use of forecasts in flood risk management and ecological and regulatory issues related to ARs.
Primary Convener:  Brian M Henn, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
Conveners:  Cary Alan Talbot, US Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville, FL, United States, Andrew Martin, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States and Charles W Downer, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
Index Terms:

1840 Hydrometeorology [HYDROLOGY]
1854 Precipitation [HYDROLOGY]
1860 Streamflow [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Alan D Snow, US Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville, FL, United States
Ali Mehran1, Qian Cao2, Kimberly Wang1, Forest Cannon3, Marty Ralph4 and Dennis P. Lettenmaier5, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (4)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, United States, (5)University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Qian Cao1, Ali Mehran2, Marty Ralph3, Forest Cannon4 and Dennis P Lettenmaier1, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Geography, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, United States, (4)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA, United States
Hisham Eldardiry, University of Washington, Seattle Campus, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA, United States and Faisal Hossain, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA, United States
Kara Kilpatrick Voss and Andrew Martin, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
F Martin Ralph, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, Jonathan J Rutz, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States, Jason M Cordeira, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH, United States, Michael D Dettinger, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, Michael Anderson, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA, United States, Lawrence J Schick, USACE, Seattle, WA, United States, Christopher Smallcomb, NOAA, Sparks, NV, United States and David Reynolds, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
Stephen J Turnbull, Engineer Research and Development Center Vicksburg, Vicksburg, MS, United States and Charles Downer, Drew Loney, Ahmad Tavakohly, Mark. D. Wahl, Nawa Raj Pradhan, Alan Snow, Clay LaHatte
William J Rudisill, Alejandro N Flores, Katelyn FitzGerald and Matthew T. Masarik, Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States
Alexander Gershunov1, Kristen Guirguis1, Tamara Shulgina1, Rachel Clemesha1 and Marty Ralph2, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, United States
Brian M Henn1, Anna Maria Wilson2, Maryam Asgari Lamjiri1 and Marty Ralph3, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), La Jolla, CA, United States, (3)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, United States
Chris Delaney1, John Mendoza1, Jay Jasperse2, Robert K Hartman3, Brett Whitin4 and Julie Kalansky5, (1)Sonoma County Water Agency, Santa Rosa, CA, United States, (2)Sonoma County Water, Santa Rosa, CA, United States, (3)California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA, United States, (4)NOAA/NWS California-Nevada River Forecast Center, Sacramento, CA, United States, (5)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States

See more of: Hydrology