H11J:
Water and Society: Implications of Climate and Hydrologic Forecasting in Risk Mitigation and Management I Posters

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Session ID#: 26848

Session Description:
Extreme hydrologic events are often treated as random events with stationary probabilities of occurrence that can be codified in strategic agreements and management plans. With current forecasting capabilities, however, additional information may be available to help water managers and stakeholders in taking proactive measures to reduce hazards and exposure to risk. Examples include pre-releases from surface water reservoirs to increase flood storage and water supply rationing to shore up diminishing storage. This session invites contributions that (i) discuss applications of short and long range climate forecasting in flood and drought risk estimation, (ii) account for the concerns that water agencies and operators would like the science community to address, (iii) bridge information gaps between science and practice to improve risk reduction planning and operations, and (iv) propose institutional frameworks that are flexible enough to incorporate seasonal forecast use, while mitigating residual risk and inequitable risk transfer among stakeholder groups.
Primary Convener:  David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houghton, United States
Conveners:  Paul J Block, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, United States, Ximing Cai, University of Illinois, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States and Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States
Chairs:  Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States and Ximing Cai, UIUC-Civil & Environ Engrg, Urbana, United States
OSPA Liaison:  David W Watkins Jr, Michigan Technological University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houghton, United States
Index Terms:

1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1833 Hydroclimatology [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Development and Evaluation of Season-ahead Precipitation and Streamflow Predictions for Sectoral Management in Western Ethiopia (234268)
Paul J Block1, Sarah Alexander2 and Shu WU2, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, United States, (2)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Determining Effective Forecast Horizon for Reservoir Operation (237819)
Qiankun Zhao, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, IL, United States and Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States
Balancing Flood Risk and Water Supply in California: Policy Search Combining Short-Term Forecast Ensembles and Groundwater Recharge (257649)
Jonathan D Herman, University of California Davis, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States, Scott Steinschneider, Cornell University, Ithaca, United States and Munir Ahmad Nayak, Cornell University, Biological & Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
Forecast Based Financing for Managing Weather and Climate Risks to Reduce Potential Disaster Impacts (266617)
Julie Arrighi, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, Netherlands; American Red Cross, Washington, DC, United States
Financial Risk Reduction and Management of Water Reservoirs Using Forecasts: A Case for Pernambuco, Brazil (285803)
Ipsita Kumar1, Laureline Josset2, Erik Cavalcanti e Silva3, Jose Marcelo Cordeiro Possas3, Marcelo Cauás Asfora3 and Upmanu Lall4, (1)Columbia University of New York, New York, NY, United States, (2)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Agência Pernambucana de Águas e Clima (APAC), Recife, Brazil, (4)Columbia University of New York, Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States

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