PA029:
Science to Action: Resilient Decision Making in the Midst of Uncertainty

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Session ID#: 27225

Session Description:
Decision makers who manage natural resources, infrastructure, and emergency response systems to support water, energy, and food security face a myriad of uncertainties when assessing risk. These uncertainties are likely to increase in the future as infrastructure ages, temperatures increase, precipitation patterns change and intensify, populations grow, and economies change.  While probabilistic information and uncertainty have always been an integral part of planning, design, and management decisions, future changes in natural and human systems are forcing a re-assessment of how we understand and interpret risk. This session focuses on approaches that embrace uncertainty and work in partnership with decision makers to uncover ways to support adaptive management and resilient planning in the midst of an uncertain world.  We seek innovators who bridge research and operations and welcome examples focused on improving day-to-day operations (e.g., streamflow forecasting, flood risk management) and long-term planning (e.g., planning and infrastructure design for sea-level rise).
Primary Convener:  Anna Maria Wilson, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), La Jolla, CA, United States
Conveners:  Thomas Adams, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Water Center (NWC), Tuscaloosa, AL, United States, Julie A Vano, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Francisco Munoz-Arriola, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Adam James Loch, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia
Guillaume S Mauger1, Raquel Lorente-Plazas2, Eric P Salathe Jr3, Todd P Mitchell4, Jim Simmonds5, Se-Yeun Lee1, Katherine Hegewisch6, Michael Warner7 and Jason Won1, (1)University of Washington, Climate Impacts Group, Seattle, WA, United States, (2)University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain, (3)University of Washington, Science and Technology Program, Bothell, WA, United States, (4)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, (5)King County, Water and Land Resources Division, Seattle, WA, United States, (6)University of Idaho, Department of Geography, Moscow, ID, United States, (7)University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States

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