H063:
Hydroclimatic Extremes: Drought





Session ID#: 29430

Session Description:
Drought is among the most costly natural hazards in the U.S. and around the world, and its recovery (e.g. in California in 2016/17) can be both disruptive and complex. Understanding the hydroclimatic causes, frequency and severity of drought development and recovery, and producing reliable predictions of these are critically important for impact assessments, disaster mitigation, and future projection. This session invites contributions from all aspects of monitoring, diagnostics, prediction, and projection of drought, including (1) understanding the physical mechanism and manifestation of drought occurrence, and propagation and termination of events, (2) estimation of frequency, spatial patterns, and intra-seasonal to inter-annual variability, (3) probabilistic and deterministic modeling and forecasting, (4) predictability of dynamic models and statistical methods in detection, (5) impacts of climate, landscape, and demand projections on the severity and frequency of future episodes, (6) indicators and assessment frameworks, and (7) diagnosis and attribution of events.
Primary Convener:  Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, Department of Geography, East Lansing, MI, United States
Conveners:  Simon Parry, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom; Loughborough University, Department of Geography, Loughborough, United Kingdom, Justin T. Maxwell, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States and Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1840 Hydrometeorology [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Benjamin Cash, George Mason University Fairfax, Fairfax, VA, United States
Lei Meng, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI, United States and Trent Ford, Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Carbondale, IL, United States
Justin Sheffield1, Xiaogang He2,3, Liqing Peng1, Ming Pan2, Colby K Fisher1 and Eric F Wood1, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
Maochuan HU1, Kenji Tanaka2, Takahiro Sayama1 and Temur Khujanazarov1, (1)Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, (2)Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
Yohei Sawada, Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan and Toshio Koike, ICHARM International Centre for Water Hazard And Risk Management, Tsukuba, Japan
Doug Richardson, Newcastle University, Tyne and Wear, United Kingdom, Hayley Fowler, Newcastle University, Newcastle, United Kingdom, Chris G Kilsby, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom and Rob Neal, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
Michael D Dettinger, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States
Won-Ho Nam1, Michael J. Hayes2, Mark D. Svoboda3, Brian Fuchs3, Tsegaye Tadesse3, Donald A Wilhite4, Eun-Mi Hong5 and Taegon Kim6, (1)Hankyong National University, Department of Bioresources and Rural Systems Engineering, Anseong, South Korea, (2)University of Nebraska-Lincoln, School of Natural Resources, Lincoln, NE, United States, (3)National Drought Mitigation Center, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States, (4)University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States, (5)USDA-ARS Environmental Microbial & Food Safety Laboratory, Beltsville Agricultural Research Center, Beltsville, MD, United States, (6)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Institute on the Environment, Minneapolis, MN, United States
Mariam Zachariah1, Arpita Mondal1, Krishna M Achutarao2 and Friederike Elly Luise Otto3, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, New Delhi, 110, India, (3)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Nakyoung Bang1, Won-Ho Nam1, Eun-Mi Hong2, Yakov A Pachepsky3, Kyung-Hwa Han4, Heerae Cho4, Junghun Ok4 and Suk-Young Hong4, (1)Hankyong National University, Department of Bioresources and Rural Systems Engineering, Anseong, South Korea, (2)USDA-ARS Environmental Microbial & Food Safety Laboratory, Beltsville Agricultural Research Center, Beltsville, MD, United States, (3)USDA ARS, BARC, ANRI, Beltsville, MD, United States, (4)National Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Rural Development Administration, Wanju, South Korea
Benjamin Cook1, Park Williams2, Justin S Mankin2, Richard Seager2, Jason E Smerdon3 and Deepti Singh2, (1)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States
Kurt Solander1, Katrina E Bennett2 and Richard Stephen Middleton1, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Julio Enrique Herrera-Estrada1, Justin Sheffield1,2, John Alejandro Martinez-Agudelo3, Francina Dominguez4 and Eric F Wood1, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)Universidad de Antioquia, School of Environment, Medellin, Colombia, (4)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL, United States
Noe Isaac Santos, Bureau of Reclamation Boulder City, Boulder City, NV, United States; University of Nevada, Las Vegas, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Construction, Las Vegas, NV, United States, Thomas C. Piechota, Chapman University, Orange, CA, United States, William P Miller, NOAA Colorado Basin River Forecast Center, Salt Lake City, UT, United States and Sajjad Ahmad, University of Nevada Las Vegas, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Construction, Las Vegas, NV, United States
Dimitris A. Herrera1, Toby Ault1, John Fasullo2 and Carlos M. Carrillo1, (1)Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, (2)NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States
Omid Mazdiyasni, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States and Amir AghaKouchak, University of California, Irvine, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
Justin T. Maxwell, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, Paul A Knapp, University of North Carolina Greensboro, Geography, Greensboro, NC, United States, Jason T Ortegren, University of West Florida, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Pensacola, FL, United States, Darren L Ficklin, Indiana University, Department of Geography, Bloomington, IN, United States and Peter T. Soulé, Appalachian State University, Geography and Planning, Boone, NC, United States
Craig Anderson, US Department of Interior, Sacramento, CA, United States
Feng Ma1, Aizhong Ye1, Lifeng Luo2 and Qingyun Duan3, (1)Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China, (2)Michigan State University, Department of Geography, East Lansing, MI, United States, (3)Beijing Normal University, Institute of Land Surface System and Sustainable Development, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Beijing, China
Euijin Chung1, Jonghoon Park2 and Nam C Woo1, (1)Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea, (2)Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
Bowen Zhu, Xianhong Xie and Kang Zhang, Beijing Normal University, Faculty of Geographical Science,State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Beijing, China
Mahkameh Zarekarizi, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States, Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland, OR, United States and Hongxiang Yan, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Charles Zogheib, Imperial College London, London, SW7, United Kingdom
Kai Xu1, Chuanhao Wu1, Bill Hu1 and Jie Niu2, (1)Jinan University, Institute of Groundwater and Earth Sciences, Guangzhou, China, (2)Jinan University, Institute of Groundwater and Earth Sciences, Berkeley, CA, United States
Dong-Hyeok Park1, Jin-Young Lee2, Joo-Heon Lee3 and Tae-woong KIm1, (1)Hanyang University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)Hanyang University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (3)Joongbu University, Civil Engineering, Goyang-si, South Korea
Joseph P. Rungee II and Roger C Bales, University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States
Junehyeong Park1, Yoon-Jin Lim1, Jang-Hyun Sung2 and Hyun-Suk Kang1, (1)National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Earth System Research Division, Seogwipo, South Korea, (2)Han River Flood Control Office, Seoul, South Korea
Zack Thomas Leasor and Steven M Quiring, Ohio State University Main Campus, Columbus, OH, United States
Jason E Smerdon1, Seung Hun Baek2, Richard Seager2 and Benjamin Cook2, (1)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States
Tushar Apurv, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States and Ximing Cai, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urbana, IL, United States
Amir Erfanian, University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Groton, CT, United States, Guiling Wang, University of Connecticut, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States and Lori Fomenko, University of Connecticut, Groton, CT, United States
Zhenchen Liu1, Guihua LU1, Hai He1, Zhiyong Wu1 and Jian He2, (1)Hohai University, Nanjing, China, (2)Hydrology and Water Resources Investigation Bureau of Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, China
Luis E. Samaniego1, Rohini Kumar1, Matthias Zink2, Ming Pan3, Niko Wanders3, Andreas Marx4, Justin Sheffield5, Eric F Wood6 and Stephan Thober2, (1)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Leipzig, Germany, (2)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Leipzig, Germany, (3)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, (5)Southampton University, Southampton, United Kingdom, (6)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Anne Fangmann, Leibniz University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany and Uwe Haberlandt, Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources Management - Leibniz University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany
Simon Parry1,2, Andrew McKenzie3, Christel Prudhomme2,4, Robert Wilby2 and Paul Wood2, (1)Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (2)Loughborough University, Department of Geography, Loughborough, United Kingdom, (3)British Geological Survey, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (4)European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom
Jamie Hannaford1, Katie Anne Smith1, John Bloomfield2, Mark McCarthy3, Simon Parry1, Lucy Jane Barker1, Cecilia Svensson4, Maliko Tanguy1, Benjamin Marchant5, Andrew McKenzie2, Tim Legg6 and Christel Prudhomme7,8, (1)Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (2)British Geological Survey, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (3)Met Office, National Climate Information Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (5)British Geological Survey Keyworth, Nottinghamshire, United Kingdom, (6)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (7)European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (8)Loughborough University, Department of Geography, Loughborough, United Kingdom
Davi Diniz Melo, USP University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil and Edson Wendland, USP University of Sao Paulo, Hydraulics and Sanitary Engineering, São Paulo, Brazil
Kabi RAJ Khatiwada, Center of Research for Environment, Energy and Water (CREEW), Research, Kathmandu, Nepal and Vishnu Prasad Pandey, International Water Management Institute (IWMI), Researcher - Hydro(geo)logy/Water Resources Management, Kathmandu, Nepal
Behzad Ahmadi1, Mahkameh Zarekarizi1 and Hamid Moradkhani2, (1)Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States, (2)Portland State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland, OR, United States
Furrukh Bashir1, Xubin Zeng2, Hoshin Vijai Gupta3 and Pieter Hazenberg1, (1)University of Arizona, Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)University of Arizona, Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, (3)Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Parmeshwar Digamber Udmale and Yutaka Ichikawa, Kyoto University, Department of Civil and Earth Resources Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering, Kyoto, Japan
Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini1,2, Lorenzo Alfieri3, Gustavo Naumann3 and Rene D Garreaud4,5, (1)Universidad de La Frontera, Department of Civil Engineering, Temuco, Chile, (2)Center for Climate and Resilience Research (CR2), Santiago, Chile, (3)European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra Vey, Italy, (4)University of Chile, Department of Geophysics, Santiago, Chile, (5)Center for Climate and Resilience Research, CR2, Santiago, Chile
Lixia Zhang, Beijing, China and Tianjun Zhou
Yunyun Li, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an, China, Jianxia Chang, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an, China and Lifeng Luo, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
Erhan Nuri Ersoy, Mehdi Hüsami Afşar, Burak Bulut, Alper Onen and M. Tugrul Yilmaz, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Turkey
Boris Po-Tsang Chen1, Chang-Hsian Chen1 and Feng Chia University, (1)Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan
Wouter Buytaert1, Boris Fernando Ochoa-Tocachi2, Dustin Caniglia3, Khaled Haibe4 and Adrian P Butler1, (1)Imperial College London, London, SW7, United Kingdom, (2)Imperial College London, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, SW7, United Kingdom, (3)Concern Worldwide, Nairobi, Kenya, (4)Concern Worldwide, Hargeisa, Somalia
Rene Orth, Stockholm University, Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm, Sweden and Georgia Destouni, Stockholm University, Physical Geography, Stockholm, Sweden
Alessio Sarigu, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy and Nicola Montaldo, ARRAY(0xe4d8888), Cagliari, Italy
Yonas Demissie, Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Richland, WA, United States, Md Rubayet Mortuza, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, United States and Hong-Yi Li, Montana State University, Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences, Bozeman, MT, United States
Carlee Loeser1, Hualan Rui2, William L Teng2, Bruce Vollmer3 and David M Mocko4, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)ADNET Systems Inc. Greenbelt, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (3)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, GES DISC, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (4)NASA GSFC/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chonggang Xu1, Minzi Wang2, Craig D Allen3, Nate G McDowell4 and Richard Stephen Middleton1, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Carbondale, IL, United States, (3)U.S.G.S. Fort Collins Science Center, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States
Annette E Hein1, Laura E Condon2 and Reed M Maxwell1, (1)Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO, United States, (2)Bureau of Reclamation Denver, Technical Service Center, Denver, CO, United States
Rong Fu, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States and Yizhou Zhuang, Peking University, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Beijing, China
Yuhan Rao and Shunlin Liang, University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States
Peng Wang III1, Chuanhao Wu2, Yanru Hao1 and Kai Xu2, (1)Jinan University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Jinan University, Institute of Groundwater and Earth Sciences, Guangzhou, China
Ashish Sharma, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Mohammad Rashid, UNSW, Sydney, Australia and Fiona Johnson, University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, Australia
Boksoon Myoung, Chapman University, CEESMO, Orange, CA, United States and Menas Kafatos, Chapman University, Center of Excellence in Earth Systems Modeling & Observations, Orange, CA, United States
Behzad Asadieh1, Nir Krakauer2 and Balazs M Fekete2, (1)CUNY City College of New York, New York, NY, United States, (2)CUNY City College, New York, NY, United States

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