GC13B:
Integrated Assessment Modeling, Coupled Human and Natural Systems, and Global Change Research II Posters

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 30511

Session Description:
The energy, land, water, and climate systems are intricately linked, with changes in one system leading to changes in the others. A new impetus is emerging for interdisciplinary research into the various and complex interactions between the human and Earth systems, and their improved representation in models. Integrated Assessment Models and Coupled Human-Earth System Models capture these interactions, representing each of these systems with different levels of detail but with a specific focus on the feedbacks between them.

This session aims to bring together researchers using these modeling framerowks for different science and policy applications and to highlight recent advances and research applications. We welcome contributions on topics including but not limited to: 1) the influence of climate change and variability on human systems; 2) interactions between energy, water, land, and climate; 3) the interplay between air pollution controls, climate change and health impacts; 4) multi-sectoral analysis of environmental policies.

Primary Convener:  Katherine V Calvin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States
Conveners:  Thomas W Hertel, Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States, Andrés Viña, Michigan State University, Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, East Lansing, United States and Erwan Monier, University of California Davis, Land, Air & Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States
Chairs:  Thomas W Hertel, Purdue University, West Lafayette, United States and Katherine V Calvin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Katherine V Calvin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States
Index Terms:

0402 Agricultural systems [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1632 Land cover change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4322 Health impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Implications of various land use change scenarios on global water scarcity over the 21st century (243583)
Yaling Liu, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States, Mohamad Issa Hejazi, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center at the University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, Chris R Vernon, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Xinya Li, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, WA, United States, Yannick Le Page, Centro de Estudos Florestais, Instituto Superior de Agronomia. Universidade de Lisboa, Department Tapada da Ajuda, Lisbon, Portugal and Katherine V Calvin, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Unveiled Risks in a Telecoupled Arena Dependent on Agricultural Commodity Trade (229924)
Mateus Batistella1, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva2, Jianguo Liu3, Emilio F Moran4, Sara Torres5 and Yue Dou5, (1)Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (Embrapa), Brasilia, DF, Brazil, (2)UNICAMP State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil, (3)Michigan State University, Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, East Lansing, United States, (4)Michigan State University, Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, East Lansing, MI, United States, (5)Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
Effects of the international soybean trade on the dynamics of Gross Primary Productivity in soybean-producing regions in China and Brazil (264590)
Andrés Viña1, Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva2, Hongbo Yang3 and Jianguo Liu1, (1)Michigan State University, Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, East Lansing, United States, (2)UNICAMP State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil, (3)Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
Vulnerability of social-ecological system to climate change in Mongolia (280355)
Kaoru Kakinuma, Shanghai University, Asian Demographic Research Institute, Shanghai, China; NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, Aki Yanagawa, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan, Takehiro Sasaki, Yokohama National University, Yokohama, Japan and Shinjiro Kanae, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tokyo, Japan
Impacts of aerosol mitigation on Chinese rice photosynthesis: An integrated modeling approach (210157)
Tianyi Zhang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China, Tao Li, International Rice Research Institute, Los Banos, Philippines, Xu Yue, Institute of atmospheric physics, Beijing, China and Xiaoguang Yang, CAU China Agricultural University, Beijing, China
The Relationship Between Emissions and Economic Growth for SO2，CO2, and BC (223994)
Muye Ru, Duke University, Earth and Ocean Science, Durham, NC, United States, Drew T Shindell, Duke University, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, United States, Shu Tao, Peking University, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China, Qirui Zhong, Peking University, Beijing, China and Karl Seltzer, US EPA, Durham, NC, United States
A paradigm shift toward a consistent modeling framework to assess climate impacts (227277)
Erwan Monier1, Sergey Paltsev2, Andrei P Sokolov3, Charles Fant1, Henry Chen4, Xiang Gao4, C Adam Schlosser5, Jeffery R Scott3, Stephanie Dutkiewicz6, Qudsia Ejaz5, Evan A Couzo1, Ronald G Prinn2 and Martin Haigh7, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, United States, (3)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT Center for Sustainability Science and Strategy, Cambridge, United States, (4)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States, (5)MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States, (6)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States, (7)Shell Iternational Ltd, Shell Scenarios Team, London, United Kingdom
Regional Responses to Constrained Water Availability (254659)
Yiyun Cui1, Katherine V Calvin2, Mohamad Issa Hejazi3, Leon Clarke2, Son H Kim4 and Pralit Patel4, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center at the University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (4)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Impacts of National Decarbonization Targets for Subnational Societal Priorities (257386)
Wei Peng, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States and Gokul Iyer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Socioeconomic Implications of Achieving 2.0 °C and 1.5 °C Climate Targets under Scientific Uncertainties (251397)
Xuanming Su1, Kiyoshi Takahashi1, Shinichiro Fujimori1,2, Tomoko Hasegawa1,3, Katsumasa Tanaka4, Hideo Shiogama5, Seita Emori5, Jingyu LIU1, Naota Hanasaki5, Yasuaki Hijioka6 and Toshihiko Masui1, (1)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Center for Social and Environmental Systems Research, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Energy Program, Laxenburg, Austria, (3)International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Ecosystem Services and Management Program, Laxenburg, Austria, (4)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (5)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Center for Global Environmental Research, Tsukuba, Japan, (6)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Center for Climate Change Adaptation, Tsukuba, Japan
Sustainable BECCS pathways evaluated by an integrated assessment model (269588)
Etsushi Kato, Institute of Applied Energy, Global Environment Program, Tokyo, Japan
A Spatial Allocation Procedure to Downscale Regional Crop Production Estimates from an Integrated Assessment Model (270994)
Simon Moulds, Slobodan Djordjevic and Dragan Savic, University of Exeter, Centre for Water Systems, Exeter, United Kingdom
Assessing the Energy and Emissions Implications of Alternative Population Scenarios Using a State-Level Integrated Assessment Model (274835)
Chris G Nolte1, Wenjing Shi1,2, Daniel H Loughlin3, Yang Ou1,2 and Steven Smith4, (1)US Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, Durham, NC, United States, (2)Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States, (3)Environmental Protection Agency Research Triangle Park, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States, (4)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Evaluation of additional biogeochemical impacts on mitigation pathways in an energy sytem integrated assessment model. (280137)
Olivier Dessens, University College London, London, United Kingdom

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