PA51B:
Science to Action: Resilient Decision Making in the Midst of Uncertainty I

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Session ID#: 30613

Session Description:
Decision makers who manage natural resources, infrastructure, and emergency response systems to support water, energy, and food security face a myriad of uncertainties when assessing risk. These uncertainties are likely to increase in the future as infrastructure ages, temperatures increase, precipitation patterns change and intensify, populations grow, and economies change. While probabilistic information and uncertainty have always been an integral part of planning, design, and management decisions, future changes in natural and human systems are forcing a re-assessment of how we understand and interpret risk. This session focuses on approaches that embrace uncertainty and work in partnership with decision makers to uncover ways to support adaptive management and resilient planning in the midst of an uncertain world. We seek innovators who bridge research and operations and welcome examples focused on improving day-to-day operations (e.g., streamflow forecasting, flood risk management) and long-term planning (e.g., planning and infrastructure design for sea-level rise).
Primary Convener:  Anna Maria Wilson, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), La Jolla, United States
Conveners:  Thomas Adams, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Water Center (NWC), Tuscaloosa, AL, United States, Julie A Vano, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Francisco Munoz-Arriola, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States
Chairs:  Anna Maria Wilson, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes (CW3E), La Jolla, United States, Christopher Clavin, IDA Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, DC, United States, Julie A Vano, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Emily Sylak-Glassman, IDA Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Christopher Clavin, IDA Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, DC, United States
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1803 Anthropogenic effects [HYDROLOGY]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]
1884 Water supply [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Planning for Sea Level Rise: An AGU Talk in the Form of a Co-Production Experiment Exploring Recent Science (Invited) (246263)
Mr. David H Behar, San Francisco Public Utilities Commission and Practitioner Exchange for Effective Response to Sea Level Rise (PEERS), San Francisco, United States, Robert E Kopp, Rutgers University New Brunswick, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, Rob DeConto, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Earth, Geographic and Climate Sciences, Amherst, MA, United States, Christopher P Weaver, Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, United States, Kathleen D White, US Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville, FL, United States, Christine May, Silvestrum Climate Associates, San Francisco, CA, United States and Robert Bindschadler, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Adapting Infrastructure and Civil Engineering Practice to a Changing Climate: Developing a Manual of Practice (Invited) (259066)
Dan Walker, ClimateMonkeys, Damascus, MD, United States and Bilal M. Ayyub, University of Maryland College Park, Civil and Environmental Engineering, College Park, United States
Structuring Disaster Recovery Infrastructure Decisions: Lessons from Boulder County’s 2013 Flood Recovery (267739)
Christopher Clavin, Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, DC, United States and Zoe Petropoulos, IDA Science and Technology Policy Institute, Washington, DC, United States
Providing Flood Risk Science for Resilient Transportation Infrastructure Decisions in Connecticut (287143)
Rebecca French, University of Connecticut, Connecticut Institute for Resilience and Climate Adaptation, Groton, CT, United States, Alejandro Cifuentes-Lorenzen, University of Connecticut, Marine Sciences, Groton, United States, David Kooris, State of Connecticut, Department of Housing, Hartford, CT, United States and James O'Donnell, University of Connecticut, Department of Marine Sciences, Groton, CT, United States
Improved Storm Monitoring and Prediction for the San Francisco Bay Area (277760)
Robert Cifelli1, V Chandrasekar2, Michael Anderson3 and Grant Davis3, (1)NOAA, Physical Science Division, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, United States, (3)State of California, Water Resources, Sacramento, CA, United States
Managing air and water quality in the face of uncertain futures: perspectives, perceptions, reported action, and needs for climate adaptation at the local level (285725)
Julia Ekstrom, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Louise Wells Bedsworth, Governor's Office of Planning & Research, Sacramento, CA, United States

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