SH13A:
Advances in Observations, Data-Constrained Modeling, and Predictions of Solar Activity from the Deep Interior to the Corona Posters

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 30758

Session Description:
Solar activity is a manifestation of magnetic self-organization processes that involve complex dynamical coupling of various layers of the Sun acting over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales. Recent advances in vector magnetic field measurements provide important clues to both the dynamo processes in the interior and the eruption processes in the corona. With the rapid increase in solar data and capability of MHD numerical models of the solar convection zone we are developing the ability to forecast the level of the next sunspot cycle. Synergy of observational, theoretical, and modeling efforts is a key to understanding solar activity variation, dynamics, and evolution and to developing reliable physics-based forecasts of long-term solar cycles and short-term activity manifestations, "seasons of solar activity", such as periods of enhanced flaring and CME activity. The session welcomes observers, modelers, and theoreticians to share their results and ideas and to discuss current challenges.
Primary Convener:  Irina Kitiashvili, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA, United States
Conveners:  Mausumi Dikpati, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, United States, William Dean Pesnell, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, United States and Xudong Sun, Stanford University, Stanford, United States
Chairs:  William Dean Pesnell, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Xudong Sun, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Institute for Astronomy, Honolulu, HI, United States and Irina Kitiashvili, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Xudong Sun, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Institute for Astronomy, Honolulu, HI, United States
Index Terms:

7524 Magnetic fields [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7536 Solar activity cycle [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7544 Stellar interiors and dynamo theory [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7959 Models [SPACE WEATHER]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Magnetic Topology of a Long-Lived Coronal Condensation Site Lasting Eight Months (235049)
Xudong Sun, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Institute for Astronomy, Honolulu, HI, United States; Stanford University, Stanford, United States, Sijie Yu, New Jersey Institute of Technology, Center for Solar-Terrestrial Research, Edison, NJ, United States and Wei Liu, Bay Area Environmental Research Institute Palo Alto, Palo Alto, CA, United States
Quantized Advantages to a Proposed Satellite at L5 from Simulated Synoptic Magnetograms (285367)
Andrew Michael Schwarz and Gordon J D Petrie, National Solar Observatory, Tucson, AZ, United States
Harmonizing Mangnetograph Data with end-to-end Instrument Simulations (290290)
Joseph Plowman1, Gordon J D Petrie1, Valentin Martinez Pillet1, Serena Criscuoli2, John W Harvey1, Andrew Marble1 and Han Uitenbroek1, (1)National Solar Observatory, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)National Solar Observatory, Boulder, United States
Casting the Coronal Magnetic Field Reconstructions with Magnetic Field Constraints above the Photosphere in 3D Using MHD Bifrost Model (297806)
Gregory D Fleishman1, Sergey Anfinogentov2, Maria Loukitcheva1, Ivan Mysh’yakov3 and Alexey Stupishin4, (1)New Jersey Institute of Technology, Edison, NJ, United States, (2)Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Irkutsk, Russia, (3)SSRT, Irkutsk, Russia, (4)Saint Petersburg State University, St. Petersburg, Russia
The Emergence of Kinked Flux Tubes as the Source of Delta-Spots on the Photosphere  (215935)
Kalman Joshua Knizhnik, National Research Council, Ottawa, ON, Canada; US National Research Council of the National Academies, Washington, DC, United States, Mark Linton, US Naval Research Laboratory, Space Science Division, Washington, DC, United States, Aimee Ann Norton, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and C Richard DeVore, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
MESSENGER Spacecraft Phase Scintillation due to Plasma ductting effect on RF beam propagation at Superior Solar Conjunction (228991)
Nelli Mosavi1, Hermann Sequeira1, David Copeland1 and Curtis Menyuk2, (1)Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, United States
Anomalous Surge of the White-Light Corona at the Onset of the Declining Phase of Solar Cycle 24 (261866)
Philippe Lamy, LATMOS Laboratoire Atmosphères Observations Spatiales, Guyancourt, France
Solar activity across the scales: from small-scale quiet-Sun dynamics to magnetic activity cycles (283695)
Irina Kitiashvili1, Nancy Collins2, Alexander G Kosovichev3, Nagi Nicolas Mansour1 and Alan A Wray1, (1)NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)New Jersey Institute of Technology, Center for Computational Heliophysics, Edison, NJ, United States
The Connection Between Solar Coronal Cavities and Solar Filaments (284758)
Brianna Zawadzki1, Nishu Karna2, Jakub Prchlik2, Katharine Reeves2, Dustin Kempton3 and Rafal Angryk4, (1)Lycoming College, Williamsport, PA, United States, (2)Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA, United States, (3)Georgia State University, Computer Science, Atlanta, United States, (4)Georgia State University, Computer Science, Atlanta, GA, United States
A Comparison of Coronal Dimming Behavior Between XRT and AIA Data (285141)
Carson Anderson King, Mark Weber and Patricia Jibben, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA, United States
A Two Dimensional Prediction of Solar Cycle 25 (290013)
Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo, Southwest Research Institute Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States and Petrus C Martens, Georgia State University, Physics & Astronomy, Atlanta, United States
A Grad-Shafranov Model of Solar Equilibrium (294911)
Lee Gunderson, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States and Amitava Bhattacharjee, Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
AFT: An Updated Solar Cycle 25 Prediction (280989)
Lisa Upton and David H Hathaway, Stanford University, Solar Observatoires Group, Stanford, CA, United States
Using the Solar Polar Magnetic Field for Longterm Predictions of Solar Activity, Solar Cycles 21-25 (283757)
William Dean Pesnell, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, United States and Kenneth H. Schatten, a.i. solutions, Inc., Lanham, MD, United States
Solar Surface Velocity in the Large Scale estimated by Magnetic Element Tracking Method (222890)
Masashi Fujiyama1, Shinsuke Imada2, Haruhisa Iijima2 and Shinobu Machida1, (1)Nagoya University, Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya, Japan, (2)Nagoya University, ISEE, Nagoya, Japan

See more of: SPA-Solar and Heliospheric Physics