A12H:
Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability II

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 31042

Session Description:
Tropical cyclones are one of the most destructive weather systems on Earth and have significant social and economic impacts. In this session, we solicit abstracts on observational analysis and numerical modeling studies that help to advance our understanding of the physics, dynamics, and predictability of tropical cyclones. In particular, abstracts are encouraged on tropical cyclone formation, structure, intensity change and extratropical transition.
Primary Convener:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Climate, Meteorology, & Atmospheric Sciences (CliMAS), Urbana, United States
Conveners:  Melinda Peng, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, Patrick Harr, National Science Foundation, Arlington, United States and Scott A Braun, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chairs:  Scott A Braun, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States and Eric A Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

3315 Data assimilation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3360 Remote sensing [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Interdecadal Change of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Controlling Parameter in Western North Pacific (Invited) (212321)
Tim Li, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States
A Global Climatology of Extratropical Transition (229703)
Melanie Bieli, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, Suzana J. Camargo, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States, Jenni L Evans, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States and Timothy M Hall, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States
Is Tropical Cyclone Genesis Location in One Basin Tied to Another? (217267)
Chunzai Wang, State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, SCSIO, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, China
Seasonal Forecasts of Major Hurricanes and Landfalling Tropical Cyclones using a High-Resolution GFDL Coupled Climate Model (220584)
Hiroyuki Murakami1, Gabriel A Vecchi1, Gabriele Villarini2, Thomas L Delworth3, Rich Gudgel4, Seth Underwood4, Xiaosong Yang5, Wei Zhang6 and Shian-Jiann Lin6, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)IIHR—Hydroscience and Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States, (3)GFDL, NOAA, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)NOAA, GFDL, Princeton, United States, (6)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Variability of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency in a Large Ensemble of High-Resolution Climate Simulations (289064)
Wei Mei, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, United States, Youichi Kamae, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States; University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan and Shang-Ping Xie, UCSD, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
Estimating the Risk of Tropical Cyclone Characteristics Along the United States Gulf of Mexico Coastline Using Different Statistical Approaches (279926)
Jill C. Trepanier, Louisiana State University, Geography & Anthropology, Baton Rouge, LA, United States, Kelsey Ellis, University of Tennessee, Geography, Knoxville, TN, United States, Thomas Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, Hal Needham, Marine Weather and Climate, Galveston, TX, United States and Jianguo Yuan, Florida State University, Geography, Tallahassee, FL, United States

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