SH32B:
Space Weather Forecasting: Science, Operations, Future Missions, Missing Information, and the Economic Case II

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Session ID#: 31343

Session Description:
Society is ever-more reliant on energy supplies and technologies proving increasingly susceptible to everyday and extreme space weather (SW) (power grids, GNSS-positioning/timing, aviation/maritime/rail, communications, etc.).  The present solar cycle's SW has proven to be, perhaps surprisingly, mostly driven by solar-wind structures rather than CME events.

Following the highly-successful sessions at Fall-AGUs-2015/2016, this intends to follow-up and further expand/continue the assessment of state-of-the-art global SW forecasting capabilities and establish where additional-services/improvements are necessary to advance our SW forecast/prediction capabilities with a focus on Lagrange missions.

We solicit contributions of: provisions/justifications of suitable observations/measurements; model developments to utilize future missions' data; ongoing developments in SW forecasting; science from SW operational missions (SWFO/ESA-UK-L5/GOES/DSCOVR/etc.); and identifications of data/model gaps.  We also encourage submissions that quantify the economics of SW.  It is time to review the economic assessments status and identify the paths forward to further-improve the societal-economic case for SW research and operations.
Primary Convener:  Mario Mark Bisi, United Kingdom Research and Innovation - Science & Technology Facilities Council, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, RAL Space, Didcot, United Kingdom
Conveners:  Antti A Pulkkinen, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Heliophysics Science Division, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Edward J. Oughton, University of Cambridge, Judge Business School, Cambridge, United Kingdom and David F Webb, Boston College, ISR, Chestnut Hill, MA, United States
Chairs:  Antti A Pulkkinen, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Heliophysics Science Division, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Mario Mark Bisi, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Didcot, United Kingdom
OSPA Liaison:  Antti A Pulkkinen, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Heliophysics Science Division, Greenbelt, MD, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • P - Planetary Sciences
  • PA - Public Affairs
  • SA - SPA-Aeronomy
Index Terms:

4305 Space weather [NATURAL HAZARDS]
7594 Instruments and techniques [SOLAR PHYSICS, ASTROPHYSICS, AND ASTRONOMY]
7924 Forecasting [SPACE WEATHER]
7999 General or miscellaneous [SPACE WEATHER]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Irfan Azeem, National Science Foundation, Arlington, VA, United States
Maria M Kuznetsova, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Community Coordinated Modeling Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Daniel Heynderickz, DH Consultancy, Leuven, Belgium, Manuel Grande, Univ Wales Aberystwyth, Ceredigion, United Kingdom and Hermann J Opgenoorth, IRF Swedish Institute of Space Physics Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden
Chi Wang, NSSC National Space Science Center, CAS, Beijing, China
Elsayed R Talaat, NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Douglas Alan Biesecker, Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO, United States, Terrance G Onsager, NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, United States and Robert Rutledge, NOAA/NWS/SWPC, Boulder, CO, United States