H51F:
Multihypothesis Modeling and the Role of Process Representations in Prediction of Ecological and Hydrological Systems II Posters

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 31453

Session Description:
Ecological and hydrological systems are composed of many inter-connected processes. Often, there are multiple competing hypotheses about how these processes operate, how they are inter-connected and thus how they can be represented in computational models. For example, stomatal conductance can be modeled using Jarvis, Leuning or Ball-Berry representations. Multiple hypotheses for multiple system processes can lead to many ways to simulate a given system. Alarmingly when modeling these complex systems, model users and even model developers often do not know the full consequences of the selection of a particular process representation. Software tools and statistical methods are evolving that have the potential to make multi-hypothesis modeling more transparent. Here we invite contributions from those who are imagining, developing and using tools and methods needed to that clearly demonstrate the trade-offs associated with different process representations and to realize more transparent multi-hypothesis modeling of ecological and hydrological systems.
Primary Convener:  Anthony P Walker, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
Conveners:  Christa Kelleher, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States, Chaopeng Shen, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University Park, United States and Martin Gerard De Kauwe, University of Bristol, School of Biological Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom
Chairs:  Martin Gerard De Kauwe, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Christa Kelleher, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States, Chaopeng Shen, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University Park, United States and Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Christa Kelleher, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • C - Cryosphere
  • EP - Earth and Planetary Surface Processes

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Dan Lu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, Daniel M Ricciuto, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States and Katherine J Evans, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, United States
Jing Yang, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand, Christian Zammit, NIWA National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Auckland, New Zealand, James Griffiths, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, Christchurch, New Zealand, Catherine Moore, GNS Science-Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences Ltd, Lower Hutt, New Zealand and Ross A Woods, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom
Stephen B Shaw, SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Department of Environmental Resources Engineering, Syracuse, NY, United States and Christa Kelleher, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States
Anthony P Walker1, Dan Lu1, Daniel M Ricciuto2, Alistair Rogers3, Dr. Shawn Serbin, BA, MS, PhD4, Ming Ye5 and Xueming Zheng6, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental and Climate Sciences Department, Upton, United States, (4)Brookhaven National Laboratory, Environmental Science and Technologies Department, Upton, United States, (5)Florida State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, United States, (6)Florida State University, Tallahassee, United States
Andreas J Hartmann, University of Freiburg, Chair of Hydrological Modeling and Water Resources, Freiburg, Germany and Andrew M Ireson, Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
Sina Khatami, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, Murray Cameron Peel, The University of Melbourne, Department of Infrastructure Engineering, Parkville, VIC, Australia, Timothy J Peterson, Monash University, Department of Civil Engineering, Melbourne, VIC, Australia and Andrew William Western, Melbourne University, Melbourne, Australia
Hui Zheng, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Ahmad A Tavakoly, University of Texas at Austin, Center for Integrated Earth System Science, Austin, TX, United States, Peirong Lin, Jackson School of Geosciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, Jiangfeng Wei, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, Lingcheng Li, University of Texas at Austin, Department of Geological Sciences, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States, Wen-Ying Wu, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Atmospheric, Earth, & Energy Division, Livermore, United States, Long Zhao, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States and Shu Wang, State Key Laboratory of Operation and Control of Renewable Energy and Storage Systems, Beijing, China
Yu Zhang, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, Wenhong Li, Duke Univ-Nicholas School, Durham, United States and Ge Sun, USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Raleigh, NC, United States
Heidi Needham, University of Hawaii at Manoa, C-MORE/SOEST, Honolulu, HI, United States, Thomas W Giambelluca, University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, Hawaiʻi Sea Grant, Honolulu, United States and Ryan J Longman, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Geography and Environment, Honolulu, United States
Giacomo Bertoldi1, Elisa Bortoli1,2, Georg Wohlfahrt3 and Matteo Camporese4, (1)EURAC, Institute for Alpine Environment, Bolzano, Italy, (2)University of Padova, Padova, Italy, (3)University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria, (4)University of Padova, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Padova, Italy
Heng Dai1, Xingyuan Chen2, Ming Ye3, Xuehang Song4 and John M Zachara4, (1)Jinan University, Guangzhou, China, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (3)Florida State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Tallahassee, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States

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