GC24A:
Climate Drivers of Infectious Disease: Past, Present, and Future I

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 32433

Session Description:
Climate change will likely impact the incidence of infectious diseases through multiple pathways. The range and location of vector-borne diseases are altered by the climate, the transmission of airborne diseases is affected by local weather, and the extent to which human beings carry pathogens to new locations is a function of climate-driven migration and displacement. The potential effect of these changes on human health is severe, necessitating interdisciplinary efforts to understand and mitigate these risks. We invite presentations that explore both historic and projected future relationships between climate and disease, as well as methods for predicting and preparing for climate-related disease outbreaks of endemic and/or emerging pathogens. Submissions are encouraged from a wide variety of disciplines including but not limited to weather, climate, public health, medicine, history, biology, and policy.
Primary Convener:  Rachel Baker, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Conveners:  Jane Wilson Baldwin, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Ayesha S Mahmud, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Gabriel Andres Vecchi, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Chairs:  Rachel Baker, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Gabriel Andres Vecchi, NOAA / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Ayesha S Mahmud, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • NH - Natural Hazards
  • PA - Public Affairs
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4322 Health impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4323 Human impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

The Use of Ambient Humidity Conditions to Improve Influenza Forecast (Invited) (224116)
Jeffrey L Shaman1, Sasikiran Kandula2, Wan Yang2 and Alicia R Karspeck3, (1)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Columbia University of New York, New York, NY, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
Assessing the impact of model and climate uncertainty in malaria simulations for the Kenyan Highlands. (254909)
Adrian Mark Tompkins, Abdus Salam International Center for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy and Madeleine C Thomson, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Environmentally-driven ensemble forecasts of dengue fever (282140)
Teresa K Yamana, Columbia University of New York, Environmental Health Sciences, Palisades, NY, United States and Jeffrey L Shaman, Columbia University of New York, Mailman School of Public Health, Department of Environmental Health Sciences, New York, United States
Predictive modeling of mosquito abundance and dengue transmission in Kenya (246349)
Jamie Caldwell, Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology, Kaneohe, HI, United States, Amy Krystosik, Stanford University, School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States, Francis Mutuku, Technical University of Mombasa, Mombasa, Kenya, Bryson Ndenga, Kenya Medical Research Institute, Kisumu, Kenya, Desiree LaBeaud, Stanford University, Department of Medicine, Stanford, CA, United States and Erin Mordecai, Stanford University, Department of Biology, Stanford, CA, United States
Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rates through its effects on reproduction numbers and generation intervals. (212985)
Amir Said Siraj1, Rachel J Oidtman1, John H Huber2, Moritz U Kraemer3, Oliver J Brady4, Michael A Johansson5 and T Alex Perkins1, (1)University of Notre Dame, Biological Sciences, Notre Dame, IN, United States, (2)University of Notre Dame, Applied and Computational Mathematics and Statistics, Notre Dame, IN, United States, (3)University of Oxford, Department of Zoology, Oxford, United Kingdom, (4)London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London, United Kingdom, (5)Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, San Juan, PR, United States
Understanding hydro-climatic drivers of infectious diarrheal diseases in South Asia and their projected risks from regional climate models (292011)
M. Alfi Hasan, University of Rhode Island, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Kingston, RI, United States, Ali S Akanda, University of Rhode Island, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Narragansett, RI, United States, Dr. Antarpreet Singh Jutla, PhD, University of Florida, Environmental Engineering Sciences, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, Anwar Huq, University of Maryland College Park, Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, College Park, United States and Rita R Colwell, University of Maryland College Park, Institute of Advanced Computer Studies, College Park, United States
Predicting Climate-sensitive Infectious Diseases: Development of a Federal Science Plan and the Path Forward (289342)
Juli Trtanj, NOAA, Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, United States, John M. Balbus, National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States, Claudia Brown, Center for Disease Control, National Center for Environmental Health, Atlanta, GA, United States and Mark Mocettini Shimamoto, American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, United States

See more of: Global Environmental Change