GC23F:
Integrated Human-Earth Systems Modeling for Vulnerability and Risk Assessment, Adaptation, and Resilience I

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 32501

Session Description:
Reliable science-based information for vulnerability and risk assessment, adaptation, and resilience requires integrated Human-Earth systems models. These models need to accommodate temporal and spatial scales ranging from short-term and local, to long-term and global. The development of models, and analysis of information from these models, requires engagement from many disciplines, including climate science, public policy, engineering, economics, sociology, psychology, communications, infrastructure design, and risk management. This integrated framework for Human-Earth system modeling and science-based knowledge development poses many challenges such as bringing together multiple models across multiple disciplines and engaging the required science, engineering, technology and communication experts, but also offers many opportunities for the these communities to join forces to respond to chronic problems and rapidly emerging needs with science-based actionable information. This session seeks to bring together efforts from the scientific community that seek to address these challenges and opportunities, in the spirit of science serving society.
Primary Convener:  Robert W Barron, University of Kansas, Department of Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States
Conveners:  C Adam Schlosser, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States, Ghassem Asrar, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States and Lawrence Buja, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
Chairs:  C Adam Schlosser, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States and Robert W Barron, University of Kansas, Department of Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Robert W Barron, University of Kansas, Department of Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States
Index Terms:

1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

A Community Framework for Integrative, Coupled Modeling of Human-Earth Systems (Invited) (256355)
C Michael Barton1, Gerald Charles Nelson2, Gregory E Tucker3, Allen Lee1, Cheryl Porter4, Isaac Ullah1, Eric Hutton5, Gerrit Hoogenboom4, Kimberly G Rogers and Calvin Pritchard7, (1)Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States, (2)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, United States, (4)University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States, (5)Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System, Boulder, United States, (6)Inuvialuit Regional Corporation, Inuvik, Canada
Roughing in Human Replumbing of the Water Cycle: Challenges, Opportunities, and Progress in Capturing the Influence of Water Management in Regional Models of Hydrology and Climate (Invited) (256087)
Alejandro N Flores1, Kendra Elena Kaiser2, Amy Steimke3, Andrea Leonard3, Katelyn FitzGerald3, Shawn Benner1, Vicken Hillis4, Kellie B Vache5, John Bolte6 and Bangshuai Han7, (1)Boise State University, Department of Geosciences, Boise, ID, United States, (2)University of Idaho, Moscow, United States, (3)Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States, (4)Boise State University, Human-Environment Systems, Boise, ID, United States, (5)Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States, (6)Oregon State University, Biological and Ecological Engineering, Corvallis, United States, (7)Ball State University, Department of Environment, Geology, and Natural Resources, Muncie, United States
A National Energy-Water System Assessment Framework (NEWS): Synopsis of Stage 1 Research Strategy and Results (Invited) (288998)
Charles J Vorosmarty1,2, Ariel Miara3,4, Jordan Macknick5, Robin L Newmark6, Stuart Michael Cohen6, Yinong Sun6, Vincent Carroll Tidwell7, Fabio Corsi8,9, Jerry M Melillo10, Balazs M Fekete2, Alexander A Proussevitch11, Stanley Glidden12 and Sangwon Suh13, (1)Advanced Science Research Center at the Graduate Center, CUNY, Environmental Sciences Initiative, New York, NY, United States, (2)CUNY City College of New York, New York, NY, United States, (3)CUNY Advanced Science Research Center at The Graduate Center, Environmental Sciences Initiative, New York, United States, (4)National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Denver, United States, (5)National Laboratory of the Rockies, Golden, United States, (6)National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Golden, CO, United States, (7)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (8)CUNY Advanced Science Research Center at The Graduate Center, Environmental Sciences Initiative, New York, NY, United States, (9)CUNY City College of New York, New York, United States, (10)Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (11)University of New Hampshire, Durham, United States, (12)University of New Hampshire, Earth Systems Research Center, Durham, United States, (13)University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Variance decomposition shows the importance of human-climate feedbacks in the Earth system (229452)
Katherine V Calvin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States, Ben P Bond-Lamberty, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Andrew D Jones, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, United States, Xiaoying Shi, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Science Institute, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, Alan V Di Vittorio, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Berkeley, CA, United States and Peter E Thornton, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, United States
ON THE CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND ENERGY DEMANDS FOR INDOOR HUMAN COMFORT LEVELS IN TROPICAL URBAN ENVIRONMENT (277378)
Rabindra Pokhrel, CUNY City College of New York, New York, NY, United States, Luis Enrique Ortiz, George Mason University, Virginia Climate Center, Fairfax, United States, Jorge E. E. Gonzalez-Cruz, University at Albany State University of New York, Albany, United States and Nazario D. Ramírez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico-Mayagüez, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico 00680, Mayaguez, PR, United States
Modeling Urban Energy Savings Scenarios Using Earth System Microclimate and Urban Morphology (228449)
Melissa R Allen Dumas1, Amy Rose2, Dr. Joshua R New2, Jiangye Yuan2, Olufemi Omitaomu3, Linda Sylvester2, Marcia L Branstetter2, Thomaz M Carvalhaes4, Matthew Seals2 and Andy Berres2, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Urban Sciences, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (4)Oak Ridge National Lab, Oak Ridge, United States
Implications of sustainable development considerations for comparability across NDCs (279638)
James Edmonds1,2, Gokul Iyer3, Katherine V Calvin4, Corinne Hartin2, Haewon C McJeon5 and Leon Clarke3, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (2)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (3)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (4)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (5)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Integrating Urban Infrastructure and Health System Impact Modeling for Disasters and Mass-Casualty Events (291253)
John M. Balbus, National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States, Thomas Kirsch, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States and Judith Mitrani-Reiser, National Institute of Standards and Technology Gaithersburg, Gaithersburg, MD, United States

See more of: Global Environmental Change