A43K:
Extreme Precipitation in Past, Present, and Future Climates II

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 33392

Session Description:
Precipitation extremes, including heavy snowfall and rainfall, may occur on different time scales ranging from minutes, days to seasons. These extremes can be associated with severe impacts such as flooding, but are also important for water supply as individual events can substantially raise the levels of water reservoirs. This session will focus on precipitation extremes, including their driving dynamic and thermodynamic processes, external drivers, impacts, statistical properties, and changes in their occurrence related to climate variability and climate change.
Therefore contributions are invited that investigate precipitation extremes and their impacts under past, present and future climate conditions. This includes studies that aim to understand individual events, the spatial and temporal variability in the occurrence of precipitation extremes, and long term changes, based on observational data and climate models including atmospheric models at very high resolution. Contributions are also invited that link precipitation extremes with environmental and socio-economic impacts.
Primary Convener:  Markus Donat, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Earth Sciences Department, Barcelona, Spain
Conveners:  Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States and Erich M Fischer, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Chairs:  Markus Donat, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Erich M Fischer, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
OSPA Liaison:  Erich M Fischer, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

Cross-Listed:
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

1854 Precipitation [HYDROLOGY]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3354 Precipitation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Global intensification in observed short-duration rainfall extremes (Invited) (264728)
Hayley J Fowler1, Elizabeth Lewis2, Selma Guerreiro2, Stephen Blenkinsop3, Renaud Barbero4, Seth Westra5, Geert Lenderink6 and Xiaofeng Li7, (1)Newcastle University, School of Engineering, Newcastle, United Kingdom, (2)Newcastle University, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom, (3)Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom, (4)IRSTEA, Montpelier, France, (5)University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia, (6)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, (7)Institute of Soil and Rock Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Institute of Soil and Rock Mechanics, Wuhan, China
Scaling and Intensification of Extreme Precipitation in Convection-Resolving Climate Change Simulations (258011)
Nikolina Ban, ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland, Nico Kröner, South Pole, Zürich, Switzerland, Zurich, Switzerland, David Leutwyler, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, Daniel Lüthi, ETH Zurich, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland and Christoph Schar, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Evolution of Precipitation Extremes in Three Large Ensembles of Climate Simulations - Impact of Spatial and Temporal Resolutions (280071)
Jean-Luc Martel1, François Brissette1, Alain Mailhot2, Raul R. Wood3, Ralf Ludwig3, Anne Frigon4, Martin Leduc5 and Richard Turcotte6, (1)École de Technologie Supérieure, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique, Eau-Terre-Environnement, Québec, QC, Canada, (3)Ludwig Maximilians University of Munich, Geography, Munich, Germany, (4)Ouranos - Consortium on Regional Climatology and Adaptation to Climate Change, Montreal, QC, Canada, (5)Ouranos, Montreal, QC, Canada, (6)MELCCFP, Quebec, QC, Canada
Predictive Power of Extreme Precipitation Scaling Formulas Across Spatial and Temporal Scales (248168)
Benjamin Fildier, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Ecole Normale Supérieure, Paris, France, Hossein Parishani, University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States and William Drew Collins, Berkeley Lab and UC Berkeley, Berkeley, United States
On the Threshold Behavior of Extreme Precipitation-Temperature Relationships and Potential Future Changes (300640)
Guiling Wang, University of Connecticut, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Groton, CT, United States, Kevin E Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States, Dagang Wang, Sun Yat-sen University, School of Geography and Planning, Guangzhou, China and Amir Erfanian, University of Connecticut, Civil & Environmental Engineerign, Storrs, CT, United States
Using Extreme Tropical Precipitation Statistics to Constrain Future Climate States (226333)
Matthew Igel, University of California Davis, Department of Land, Air and Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States and Joseph A Biello, University of California Davis, Department of Mathematics, Davis, CA, United States
Significantly Increased Extreme Precipitation Expected in Europe and North America from Extratropical Storms (212571)
Kevin Hodges1, Matt Hawcroft2, Ella Walsh3 and Giuseppe Zappa1, (1)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)University of Exeter, CEMPS, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Understanding the Scaling of Extreme Precipitation Using a WRF Squall Line Case (243938)
Xin Zhou, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States and Marat Khairoutdinov, Stony Brook University, School of Marine & Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, NY, United States

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