A51K:
Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Theory, Modeling, and Observations I

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 33428

Session Description:
There is a growing need to understand how extreme weather phenomena will change in the future under climate change. Such a goal requires insight into how such phenomena, including but not limited to severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme precipitation, emerge within the climate system in general. This session seeks novel research bridging the gap between climate and extreme weather with an emphasis on understanding both the underlying climate physics that generate such events and the mechanisms by which their statistics vary across climate states, including global warming. Analyses employing a wide range of methodologies are welcome, including idealized and high-resolution climate modeling, observational and historical data analysis, and theory.
Primary Convener:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Convener:  Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States
Chairs:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3329 Mesoscale meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Changing duration and spatial extent of midlatitude precipitation extremes across different climates (Invited) (206607)
Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States and John G Dwyer, Dia&Co, New York, United States
Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate (246409)
Angeline G Pendergrass, Cornell University, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Ithaca, NY, United States, Reto Knutti, ETH Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, Flavio Lehner, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Clara Deser, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States and Benjamin M Sanderson, Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo, Oslo, Norway
Using Empirical Orthogonal Teleconnections to Analyze Interannual Precipitation Variability in China (253875)
Claudia Stephan1, Nicholas P Klingaman1, Pier Luigi Vidale2, Andrew G Turner3, Marie-Estelle Demory4 and Liang Guo1, (1)NCAS Climate, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, and National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (3)National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)ETH, Zurich, Switzerland
The response of tropical cyclone activity to tropospheric aerosols, greenhouse gases and volcanic eruptions (Invited) (229800)
Suzana J. Camargo, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States, Prof. Lorenzo M Polvani, PhD, Columbia University, Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States, Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States and Michael J Previdi, Columbia University, Lamont‐Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States
Northern Plains Blizzards in Past and Future Climates (224269)
Aaron D Kennedy, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND, United States and Alex Trellinger, University of North Dakota, Atmospheric Sciences, Grand Forks, ND, United States
Finding Snowmageddon: Detecting and quantifying northeastern U.S. snowstorms in a multi-decadal global climate ensemble (263504)
Colin M. Zarzycki, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate & Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States

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