C12B:
Polar Climate: Processes and Predictability II

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 34162

Session Description:
Accurate polar climate prediction on seasonal to multidecadal timescales could benefit a wide range of stakeholders, from local residents to governmental policy makers. Yet few modeling studies have predicted recent changes in the Arctic or Antarctic with fidelity. In this session, we seek studies that identify sources of predictability, evaluate causes of variability, and characterize uncertainty in polar climate prediction. We also welcome studies that link polar climate predictability to extrapolar phenomena. This session aims to connect scientists across a wide range of disciplines – those studying land ice, sea ice, ocean, atmosphere, and their coupling – whose research has furthered our understanding of Arctic or Antarctic climates.
Primary Convener:  Hansi Alice Singh, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, United States
Conveners:  Cecilia M Bitz, University of Washington, Atmospheric and Climate Science, Seattle, United States, Sarah G Purkey, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Jeremy Garmeson Fyke, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Chairs:  Jeremy Garmeson Fyke, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States and Hansi Alice Singh, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Sarah G Purkey, University of California San Diego, San Diego, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

0738 Ice [CRYOSPHERE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3349 Polar meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4207 Arctic and Antarctic oceanography [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Understanding the Sharp Decline of Antarctic Sea Ice in Austral Spring 2016 (273892)
Julie Arblaster1,2, Guomin Wang3 and Harry Hendon3, (1)Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere & Environment, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (3)Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
Localized Rapid Warming of West Antarctic Subsurface Waters by Remote Winds (212808)
Stephen Matthew Griffies, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, Paul Spence, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Ryan Holmes, University of New South Wales, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Andrew M Hogg, Australian National University and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Kial Douglas Stewart, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Matthew H England, Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Assessing the role of internal climate variability in Antarctica's contribution to future sea-level rise (262931)
Chii-Yun Tsai, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States, Chris E Forest, The Pennsylvania State University, Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, University Park, United States and David Pollard, Pennsylvania State University, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, PA, United States
Reducing the biases in simulated polar climate by incorporating realistic surface spectral emissivity into the global climate model (212318)
Prof. Xianglei Huang1, Xiuhong Chen2, Mark Flanner2, Ping Yang3, Daniel Feldman4 and Chaincy Kuo4, (1)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, (2)University of Michigan, Department of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, United States, (3)Texas A & M University, College Station, United States, (4)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
Climate in the absence of ocean heat transport (284407)
Brian E J Rose, University at Albany State University of New York, Department of Atmospheric & Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States
The Southern Ocean's role in ocean circulation and climate transients (Invited) (260611)
Andrew F Thompson, CALTECH California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, Andrew Stewart, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, Sophia Hines, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Marine Chemistry & Geochemistry, Woods Hole, United States and Jess F Adkins, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States

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