OS43A:
Numerical Model Performance Metrics II Posters

Submit an Abstract to this Session



Session ID#: 35258

Session Description:
With advances in numerical modelling of ocean and atmosphere particularly for operational forecasting products, there is clearly a need to include model metrics that portray the certainty of these products.  The reality is that numerical prediction will never be perfect, but there are increasing demands from operational users on metrics of forecast accuracy.  As well, model performance of certain parameters may be key to understanding how models handle certain processes or how sensitive certain state variables are to these processes.  This session addresses methods for assessing model state variables as well as derived products regarding predictions of a variety of conditions including weather, flooding, ocean surge, ocean surface waves, marine boundary layer effects, deep ocean structure, and ocean acoustics, just to name a few.  Time scales present its own challenges be it from a few hours to climate scales.  Spatial scales include littoral to global domains.  Metric methods may address deterministic and ensemble forecasting.  Attention may also be paid to the assessment of tightly coupled modelling systems.
Primary Convener:  James D Dykes, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States
Conveners:  James G Richman, Florida State University, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL, United States, Andrea C Mask, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and James L Kinter, George Mason University Fairfax, Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, Fairfax, VA, United States
Chairs:  James D Dykes, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States and James G Richman, Florida State University, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Andrea C Mask, Naval Oceanographic Office, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
Index Terms:

0550 Model verification and validation [COMPUTATIONAL GEOPHYSICS]
1922 Forecasting [INFORMATICS]
3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4263 Ocean predictability and prediction [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

A Preliminary Evaluation of the GFS Physics in the Navy Global Environmental Model (225296)
Ming Liu1, Rolf Langland1, Matus Martini1 and Kevin Viner2, (1)Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, (2)NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States
Simulating Freak Waves in the Ocean with CFD Modeling (240547)
Michail Manolidis, NRC Postdoc, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Mark Orzech, Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences, Stennis Space Center, United States and Julian Simeonov, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, United States
Quantifying High Frequency Skill and Relative Cost of Two Physics Packages for an Operational Spectral Wave Model (241773)
Kacey L Edwards, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Sunni Siqueira Schoenauer, Vencore Services and Solutions, Inc., Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and W. Erick Rogers, Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
On the Development of a Probabilistic Metric for Wave Model Performance Evaluation (243532)
David W Wang1, James D Dykes2 and Sergio DeRada1, (1)Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)Naval Research Laboratory SSC, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Temperature-salinity structure of the AMOC in high-resolution ocean simulations and in CMIP5 models (300334)
Fuchang Wang1, Xiaobiao Xu2 and Eric Chassignet1, (1)Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (2)Florida State University, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL, United States
Validation of the Fully-Coupled Air-Sea-Wave COAMPS System (215753)
Travis Smith, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Timothy J Campbell, Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Sue Chen, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Monterey, CA, United States, Sasa Gabersek, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, United States, Justin Tsu, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, UCAR Visiting Scientist, Monterey, CA, United States and Richard Arthur Allard, John C. Stennis Space Center, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Evaluation of Model Performance over the Maritime Continent (216126)
Carolyn A. Reynolds, U.S. Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, United States, Neil P Barton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States, Sue Chen, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Monterey, CA, United States, Maria K. Flatau, Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States, James A Ridout, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, Matthew Janiga, US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States, Tommy G Jensen, Naval Research Lab Stennis Space Center, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, James G Richman, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States, E. Joseph Metzger, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Darek Baranowski, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Variability of the interactions between wind, SST and the thermocline depth in the SW Indian Ocean (218064)
Ebenezer S Nyadjro, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA, United States, Tommy G Jensen, Naval Research Lab Stennis Space Center, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, James G Richman, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States and Jay F Shriver, US Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves and the MJO in Subseasonal Forecasts from Global Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Models: Activity and Predictive Skill (218639)
Matthew Janiga, US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States, James A Ridout, Naval Research Lab Monterey, Marine Meteorology, Monterey, CA, United States, Carl J Schreck III, North Carolina State University, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies (NCICS), Asheville, NC, United States, Maria K. Flatau, Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States, Neil P Barton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States, William Komaromi, US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, United States and Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA, United States
Comparison of Two Global Ocean Reanalyses, NRL Global Ocean Forecast System (GOFS) and U. Maryland Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) (222287)
James G Richman, Florida State University, COAPS, Tallahassee, FL, United States, Jay F Shriver, US Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, E. Joseph Metzger, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, Patrick J Hogan, Naval Research Laboratory, Oceanography Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Ole Martin Smedstad, John C. Stennis Space Center, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
Evaluating the Ocean Component of the US Navy Earth System Model (240727)
Luis Zamudio, Florida State University, Tallahassee, United States
Validation of Heat fluxes Derived from the Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) Project. (284564)
Silvia Gremes-Cordero, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA, United States, Jackie C May, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, United States, Charlie N. Barron, Naval Research Laboratory SSC, Stennis Space Center, United States, E. Joseph Metzger, Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States and Jan M Dastugue, Naval Research Laboratory SSC, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States

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