A new methodology for predicting major earthquakes based on the brittle failures of multiple locked segments in a seismogenic fault system


Si-qing Qin1, Lei Xue2, Bai Cun Yang1, Hong-ran Chen3 and Ke Zhang4, (1)Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (2)College of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, Beijing, China, (3)Key Laboratory of Shale Gas and Engineering, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Innovation Academy for Earth Science,CAS, Beijing, China, (4)Key Laboratory of Shale Gas and Engineering, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences; the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences; Innovation Academy for Earth Science,CAS, Beijing, China