NH43C:
Extreme Sea Levels: Statistics, Impacts, and Adaptation Posters


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 45350

Session Description:
Extreme sea levels can lead to hazardous events with wide-ranging environmental, societal, and economic consequences, as recently experienced during the record setting 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. In combination with sea-level rise and potential changes in storminess, dynamic wave contributions, and tidal dynamics, the adverse consequences of extreme oceanographic events are in many regions projected to escalate. Integrated impact assessments can guide decisions on adaptive responses to these changes in the coupled natural human system. This session seeks contributions that: examine present-day and future extreme sea levels at local-to-global scales by employing advanced numerical and/or statistical modelling techniques; assessed the different types of impacts associated with extreme sea levels such as flooding, beach/dune erosion, salt water intrusion, or ecosystem degradation; took an integrated approach to evaluate adaptation options in the presence of deep uncertainty; or report  outcomes of interdisciplinary collaborations between engineers, natural, social, and economic scientists, stakeholders, and policy makers.
Primary Convener:  Thomas Wahl, University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States
Conveners:  Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Corvallis, United States, Ivan David Haigh, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom and William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
Primary Liaison:  Thomas Wahl, University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States
Chairs:  Thomas Wahl, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, University of Central Florida, Orlando, United States and William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Corvallis, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4328 Risk [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4534 Hydrodynamic modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Changing Coastal Flood Hazards in Jamaica Bay, New York, Induced by the Mid and Late 21st Century Sea Level and Tropical Cyclone Climatology (419670)
Reza Marsooli, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Ning Lin, Princeton University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, United States
Investigating Connection between Decadal Mean Sea Level Variations and Extreme Sea Levels on the Norwegian West Coast (377252)
Ulpu Leijala1, Jan Even Øie Nilsen2, Oda Ravndal3, Hilde Sande3 and Leon Chafik4, (1)Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland, (2)Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Reserch, Bergen, Norway, (3)Hydrographic Service, Norwegian Mapping Authority, Stavanger, Norway, (4)University of Bergen, and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Advancing Best Practices for the Analysis of the Vulnerability of Military Installations in the Pacific Basin to Coastal Flooding under a Changing Climate (380507)
John J Marra1, William Sweet2, Eric W Leuliette3, Curt Daron Storlazzi4, Peter Ruggiero5, Dylan Anderson6, Mark A Merrifield7, Janet M Becker8, Ian Robertson9, Matthew J Widlansky10, Ayesha S Genz11, Fernando J. Mendez12, Ana Rueda13, Jose A.A. Antolinez13, Laura Cagigal14, Melisa Menendez15, Hector Lobeto16 and Jayantha Obeysekera17, (1)NOAA NCEI, Honolulu, HI, United States, (2)NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States, (3)NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (4)US Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, Santa Cruz, United States, (5)Oregon State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Corvallis, United States, (6)Oregon State University, Civil and Construction Engineering, Corvallis, OR, United States, (7)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, (8)Univ of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, United States, (9)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Honolulu, HI, United States, (10)University of Hawaii at Manoa, CIMAR, Honolulu, HI, United States, (11)Univ Hawaii, Hilu, HI, United States, (12)Universidad de Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, (13)University of Cantabria, Ciencias y Tecnicas del Agua y del Medio Ambiente, Santander, Spain, (14)University of Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, (15)IHCantabria - Instituto de Hidráulica Ambiental de la Universidad de Cantabria, Santander, Spain, (16)IH Cantabria, Santander, Spain, (17)Florida International University, Sea Level Solutions Center, Institute of Environment, Miami, United States
The Impact of Waves on Future Changes in Extreme Sea Levels at Coastal Sites with Sandy Beaches (389699)
Erwin Lambert1, Jeremy Rohmer2, Goneri Le Cozannet2 and Roderik van de Wal3, (1)Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands, (2)BRGM, Orléans, France, (3)Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Impacts of sea level rise and ocean warming on storm surge and coastal inundation in the mid and late 21st century (423924)
Ming Li1, Fan Zhang1, Samuel Barnes2 and Xiaohong Wang2, (1)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory, Cambridge, MD, United States, (2)Salisbury University, Mathematics and Computer Science, Salisbury, MD, United States
Time-varying emulator for short- and long-term analysis of coastal flooding: TESLA flood (425558)
Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States, Dylan Anderson, Oregon State University, Civil and Construction Engineering, Corvallis, OR, United States, Fernando J. Mendez, Universidad de Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, Ana Rueda, University of Cantabria, Ciencias y Tecnicas del Agua y del Medio Ambiente, Santander, Spain, Laura Cagigal, University of Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, Mark A Merrifield, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States and John J Marra, NOAA Honolulu, Honolulu, HI, United States
Deep Neural Network Model to Assess Storm Surge Flood Risk from Extreme Weather Events (447381)
Mohammad Keshtpoor, Austen Blair and Richard M Yablonsky, AIR Worldwide Boston, Boston, MA, United States
Mortality during Hurricane Sandy: the Effects of Waterfront Flood Protection on Staten Island, New York (448478)
Fanglin Zhang, Stevens Institute of Technology, Union City, NJ, United States, Philip M Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental & Ocean Engineering, Union City, NJ, United States, Malgosia Madajewicz, Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, The Climate School, Palisades, United States, Roham Bakhtyar, NOAA / Office of Water Prediction / National Water Center, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States and Sarath Jagupilla, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ, United States
THE CAPE POINT WAVE RECORD, EXTREME EVENTS AND THE ROLE OF LARGE-SCALE MODES OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY (449163)
Jennifer Anne Veitch, South African Environmental Observation Network, Pretoria, South Africa, Christo Rautenbach, South African Weather Service, Cape Town, South Africa, Juliet Hermes, South African Environmental Observation Network, Cape Town, South Africa and C.J.C Reason, Oceanography Dept, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, Cape Town, South Africa
Spatiotemporal Trends in Annual High Water Extremes in the Gulf of Maine (451976)
Hannah Elizabeth Baranes, Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, United States, Jonathan D Woodruff, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Earth, Geographic, and Climate Sciences, Amherst, United States, Stefan A Talke, California Polytechnic State University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, San Luis Obispo, California, United States and Richard D Ray, NASA, Greenbelt, MD, United States

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