V51D:
Quantitative Volcanic Hazard Assessment and Uncertainty Analysis in Satellite Remote Sensing and Modeling Posters


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 47277

Session Description:
Volcanic eruptions can be both effusive, through outpouring of lava onto the ground, and explosive, through dispersion of ash in the atmosphere. Each type of eruptive process can produce its associated hazards, from lava flows that can impact local population to dispersing ash clouds that can lead to aviation impacts. To deal effectively with these crises, a strategy based on the integration of field data, satellite observations and physical models is emerging to forecast eruptive scenarios and quantify volcanic hazards in real-time. Understanding and quantifying uncertainties surrounding model inputs, the modeling process, and model outputs is thus central to make the modeling of volcanic hazards effective. Characterizing uncertainties will allows more confidence in interpretations of final model simulations and applications of model results for improved decision support systems. To achieve this, the session seeks to bring together the remote sensing, modelling and hazard response communities with a volcanic hazard focus.
Primary Convener:  Ciro Del Negro, INGV - National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Etna Volcano Observatory, Catania, Italy
Conveners:  Alexis Hérault, Conservatoire des Arts et Métiers, Laboratoire Modélisation Mahématique et Numerique, Paris, France, Prof. Michael S Ramsey, PhD, University of Pittsburgh, Department of Geology and Environmental Science, Pittsburgh, United States and Matthew Watson, University of Bristol, Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom
Primary Liaison:  Ciro Del Negro, INGV - National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Etna Volcano Observatory, Catania, Italy
Chairs:  Ciro Del Negro, INGV - National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Etna Volcano Observatory, Catania, Italy and Alexis Hérault, Conservatoire des Arts et Métiers, Laboratoire Modélisation Mahématique et Numerique, Paris, France
OSPA Liaison:  Prof. Michael S Ramsey, PhD, University of Pittsburgh, Department of Geology and Environmental Science, Pittsburgh, United States
Index Terms:

4316 Physical modeling [NATURAL HAZARDS]
8485 Remote sensing of volcanoes [VOLCANOLOGY]
8488 Volcanic hazards and risks [VOLCANOLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Characterizing ash-atmosphere interactions for better hazard prediction from explosive volcanic eruptions (398293)
Alexander A Proussevitch, University of New Hampshire Main Campus, Earth Systems Research Center, Durham, NH, United States, Christopher Michael White, University of New Hampshire Main Campus, Mechanical Engineering Department, Durham, NH, United States, Larry G Mastin, US Geological Survey Cascades Volcano Observatory, Vancouver, WA, United States and Dork L Sahagian, Lehigh University, Earth & Environmental Sciences, Bethlehem, PA, United States
Calculating Volcano Explosivity Index (VEI) in real time during an eruption (361092)
Dork L Sahagian1, Leslie Tintle2 and Candace M Wygel1, (1)Lehigh University, Earth & Environmental Sciences, Bethlehem, PA, United States, (2)Lehigh University, Earth & Environmental Sciences, Bethlehem, United States
Investigating the stability of the Laguna del Maule magmatic systemby modeling the stress state using data assimilation (371235)
Yan Zhan, Carnegie Institution for Science, Earth and Planets Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States, Patricia M Gregg, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States and Hélène Le Mével, Carnegie Institution for Science, Washington, DC, United States
Modeling Concentrations of Resuspended Volcanic Ash (419803)
Alice Crawford1, Christopher Loughner2 and Ariel F Stein1, (1)NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland College Park, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, United States
Building a Model of Collapse and Debris Flow Hazards at Mt. Ruapehu with Remote Sensing (388591)
Stuart Mead, Massey University, School of Agriculture and Environment, Palmeston North, New Zealand, Gabor Kereszturi, Massey University, School of Agriculture and Environment, Palmerston North, New Zealand, Craig Andrew Miller, GNS Science-Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences Ltd, Lower Hutt, New Zealand and Lauren N Schaefer, University of Canterbury, Department of Geological Sciences, Christchurch, New Zealand
Probability of Vent Opening: a Long-term Volcanic Hazard Assessment of Harrat Lunayyir, Saudi Arabia (388203)
Khaled Eid Rahimi, University at Buffalo, Department of Geology, Buffalo, NY, United States and Marcus I Bursik, University at Buffalo, Department of Earth Sciences, Buffalo, NY, United States
The 2011 eruption of Nabro volcano: a retrospective analysis through the combined use of satellite data and lava flow modelling (415298)
Ciro Del Negro1, Gaetana Ganci2, Annalisa Cappello2, Vito Zago3, Giuseppe Bilotta2 and Alexis Herault4, (1)INGV - National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Etna Volcano Observatory, Catania, Italy, (2)National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Catania, Italy, (3)National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Rome, Italy, (4)Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, Paris, France
Study of seismic activity of the Lascar and Nevados de Chillan volcanoes in Chile using the LANSAT images by applying the lineament analysis (426597)
Alonso A Arellano-Baeza, University of Santiago Chile, Department of Metallurgical Engineering, Santiago, Chile
The First Volcanic Hazard Maps in South Korea : Jeju Island and Ullueng Island (414720)
Cheolwoo Chang, Pusan National University, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South) and Sung-Hyo Yun, Pusan Natl Univ, Busan, Korea, Republic of (South)
The VolSatView for Satellite Monitoring and Kamchatkan Volcanoes Study (358489)
Olga Girina and Evgenii I Gordeev, Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, Petropavlovsk Kamcha, Russia
Thermal Infrared Spectroscopy of Volcanic Glasses: Toward Improving Eruption Monitoring (408984)
Rachel Lee, State University of New York at Oswego, Department of Atmospheric and Geological Sciences, Oswego, NY, United States, Penelope Lineton King, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Prof. Michael S Ramsey, PhD, University of Pittsburgh, Department of Geology and Environmental Science, Pittsburgh, United States

See more of: Volcanology, Geochemistry and Petrology