GC53G:
Toward Better Understanding of the Impacts of Climate Variability on Agricultural Decision-Making and Longer-Term Adaptation Posters


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 48447

Session Description:
Climate variability (CV) is a critical driver of year-to-year impacts on agricultural systems. To properly understand its ecological impacts, it is necessary to quantify how managed ecosystems have historically responded to CV, and to characterize the uncertainty in projected biophysical impacts. In agricultural systems, assessing impacts of CV also requires understanding dynamics of farmer decision-making and adaptation in the face of both biophysical and economic uncertainty. Here we seek new efforts to quantify both historical and future impacts of CV on different types of agricultural systems varying by crop, farm size/intensification and climate/soils, including: i) empirical/process-based methods for estimating CV impacts across multiple spatiotemporal scales; ii) methods for forecasting the impact of CV on agricultural response at relevant scales; iii) translating forecasts into useful decision support for farmers and policy-makers; iv) attributing farmer responses to CV with respect to socioeconomic and ecological circumstances.
Primary Convener:  Amor V M Ines, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
Convener:  Dr. Eunjin Han, Ph.D., USDA Beltsville Agricultural Research Center, Adaptive Cropping Systems Laboratory, Beltsville, United States
Primary Liaison:  Sharon Gourdji, National Institute of Standards and Technology Gaithersburg, Gaithersburg, MD, United States
Chairs:  Sharon Gourdji, National Institute of Standards and Technology Gaithersburg, Gaithersburg, MD, United States and Dr. Eunjin Han, Ph.D., USDA Beltsville Agricultural Research Center, Adaptive Cropping Systems Laboratory, Beltsville, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Dr. Eunjin Han, Ph.D., USDA Beltsville Agricultural Research Center, Adaptive Cropping Systems Laboratory, Beltsville, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • H - Hydrology
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1807 Climate impacts [HYDROLOGY]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Applying Land Data Assimilation to Simulate Days Suitable for Fieldwork for Agricultural Decision-Making (451929)
Jennifer Kennedy, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Xin-Zhong Liang, University of Maryland, College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science & Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, United States
Quantifying the Impacts of Early and Late Growing Season Precipitation on Midwestern US Corn Production: A Downscaling and Modeling Approach (442199)
William J Baule1, Prakash KUMAR Jha2 and Amor V M Ines2, (1)Michigan State University, Department of Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States, (2)Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
A Network Analysis of Household Food Sharing in Zambia (378344)
Rachel Marie von Gnechten, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, IL, United States, Megan Konar, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Urbana, United States, Nicole D Jackson, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Urbana, United States, Katherine Baylis, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Agriculture and Consumer Economics, Urbana, IL, United States, Patrese Anderson, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, United States, Stacey Giroux, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, United States and Tom P Evans, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Assessment of future global crop failure for maize and soybeans based on the DSSAT simulation (426851)
Ryuhei Yoshida, Fukushima University, Fukushima, Japan, Masashi Okada, NIES National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan and Masayuki Yokozawa, Waseda University, Tokorozawa, Japan
Seasonal Climate variability Impacts Tea Production across Tea Regions of Sri Lanka (468399)
Ashara Nijamdeen1, Lareef Zubair2, Rushdha Salih3, Ruchira Lokuhetti4, Tuan Hadgie4 and Mahasen Randiwela4, (1)Tropical Climate Guarantee, Kandy, Sri Lanka, (2)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, United States, (3)Foundation for Environment, Climate and Technology, Akurana, Sri Lanka, (4)Foundation for Environment, Climate and Technology, Digana Village, Sri Lanka
The Impacts of the U.S. Warming Hole on Agricultural Yields (384317)
Trevor Partridge, Dartmouth College, Department of Earth Sciences, Hanover, NH, United States, Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States, Erich C Osterberg, Dartmouth College, Department of Earth Sciences, Hanover, United States, David W Hyndman, University of Texas at Dallas, Department of Geosciences, School of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Richardson, United States, Bruno Basso, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States and Anthony D Kendall, Michigan State University, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States
Damage Assessment of bacterial leaf blight on rice crop utilizing remote sensing in Indonesia (382707)
Chiharu Hongo1, Yusuke Takahashi2, Gunardi Sigit3, Rani Yudarwati4 and Eisaku Tamura1, (1)Center for Environmental Remote Sensing, Chiba University, Chiba, Japan, (2)Chiba Universiy, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, 1-33 Yayoi-cho, Inage-ku, Chiba, Japan, (3)Regional Office of Food Crops Service West Java Province, Bandung, Indonesia, (4)Bogor Agricultural University, Department of Soil Science and Land Resources, Faculty of Agriculture, Jl Raya Dramaga, Bogor, West Java, Indonesia
Analysis of Decadal Variation of Plant Root-water Uptake for Winter Cropping of Wheat and Berseem (366079)
Kaushika Gujjanadu Suryaprakash, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India and K.S. Hari Prasad, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Department of Civil Engineering, Roorkee, India
Assessing Spatiotemporal Trends of Long Term Temperature over Kharun Watershed Chhattisgarh, India (405031)
Ayush Chandrakar1, Radha Krishan1, Deepak Khare2 and Santosh S Palmate1, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Water Resource Department and Mangement, Roorkee, India
Projections of maize and rice yield in the Rufiji Basin, Tanzania (367825)
Nathan J Moore, Michigan State University, Geography, Environment, and Spatial Sciences, East Lansing, United States, Jennifer Olson, Michigan State University, Communication Arts and Sciences, East Lansing, MI, United States, Gopal Alagarswamy, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States and Nafiseh Haghtalab, Michigan State University, Geography, Environment, and Spatial Science, East Lansing, MI, United States
Understanding the Impact of Climate Variability on Agricultural Water Requirement (406839)
Bhumika Uniyal and Jörg Dietrich, Leibniz University Hannover, Institute of Hydrology and Water Resources Management, Hannover, Germany

See more of: Global Environmental Change