GC33H:
The Rate of Global Warming on Decadal to Multidecadal Timescales: Hiatus Events, Surge Events, and Climate Sensitivity Posters
Submit an Abstract to this Session
Session ID#: 50677
Session Description:
Improved understanding of the historical record plays an essential role in constraining climate projections, estimating climate sensitivity (ECS), and providing policymakers with more robust mitigation and adaptation choices.
In this session, we invite studies that focus on advancing understanding of the processes that drive global climate, particularly large scale temperature, on decadal and multi-decadal time scales. This includes climate system processes that are involved in decadal periods of accelerated or reduced global warming (so-called hiatus and surge events) in atmosphere and ocean, and processes that cause decadal variations in forcing. This session also invites contributions separating forced and internal variability and detection and attribution of climate change, estimating climate sensitivity from the historical record, understanding mechanisms and consequences of time-dependent feedbacks, and how the historical period can be used to constrain future climate projections and the climate sensitivity range.
Primary Convener: Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Conveners: Rowan Sutton, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom, Piers Forster, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom and Bablu Sinha, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
Primary Liaison: Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Chairs: Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom and Piers Forster, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom
OSPA Liaison: Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
Cross-Listed:
Abstracts Submitted to this Session:
Piers Forster, University of Leeds, Priestley International Centre for Climate, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom, Christopher James Smith, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, School of Earth and Environment, Exeter, United Kingdom, Leighton Anunda Regayre, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, Amanda Maycock, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, Anja Schmidt, University of Cambridge, Department of Chemistry, Cambridge, United Kingdom, Andrea Dittus, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, Ramiro Checa-Garcia, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany, Keith P Shine, Univ Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, Michaela Imelda Hegglin, Unversity of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom and Ed Hawkins, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom
Fangxing Tian1, Buwen Dong2, Jon Robson3, Rowan Sutton3 and Laura Wilcox4, (1)University of Reading, Meteorology, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (3)University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom
Andrea Dittus1, Christopher James Smith2, Laura Wilcox1, Ed Hawkins3, Rowan Sutton3 and Piers Forster4, (1)University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, School of Earth and Environment, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom
Natalie Paige Thomas1, Sumant Nigam2, Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas1, Scott Weaver3 and Vishal Ravi4, (1)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (3)NIST, Gaithersburg, MD, United States, (4)University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Benjamin Birner, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, Jeffrey P Severinghaus, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, Laure Resplandy, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Ralph F Keeling, Univ California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States
Jianjun Yin1, Jonathan T Overpeck2, Cheryl Peyser1 and Ronald J Stouffer3, (1)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, United States, (3)US Govt NOAA, Princeton, NJ, United States
Vaughan R Pratt, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Freya Garry1, Paul Richard Halloran2, David Reynolds3, Ian R Hall4, Nick J Dunstone5, Jonathan Tinker5, Matthew D Palmer5, Sarah Ineson5, Matthew Menary5, Richard A. Wood5 and James Scourse6, (1)University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4, United Kingdom, (2)University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)University of Arizona, Laboratory of Tree Ring Research, Tucson, AZ, United States, (4)Cardiff University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff, CF24, United Kingdom, (5)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (6)University of Exeter, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Penryn, United Kingdom
Wesley George Parker, University of Cincinnati, Geology, Cincinnati, United States, Yurena Yanes, University of Cincinnati, Geology, Cincinnati, OH, United States, Donna M Surge, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, United States and Eduardo Mesa Hernandez, Universidad de La Laguna, Departamento de Prehistoria, Antropología e Historia Antigua, San Cristobal de La Laguna, Spain
Mariia Alex Romanovskaya1, Tatyana V. Kuznetsova2 and Nikita M Krilkov2, (1)Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia, (2)Lomonosov Moscow State University, Geological, Moscow, Russia
