GC43E:
GHG Pathways for the Paris Climate Agreement Posters


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 51315

Session Description:
The 2015 Paris Agreement aims to limit the rise in global mean surface temperature to 1.5°C above the preindustrial level, with an upper limit of 2.0°C (at 50% probability). To meet this target will require significant reduction in current GHG emission levels requiring new policies, individual actions, and technological developments.  This session will focus on quantification of the future emission and concentration trajectories that would be needed to achieve either the Paris target or upper limit. In this session, we invite studies using integrated human-Earth system models, general circulation models, energy balance models, or empirical analyses based on either the modern or paleoclimate records.  Additionally, we invite research that broadly discusses model development, scenarios, or societal implications of projections that achieve the Paris climate goals.
Primary Convener:  Ross J Salawitch, University of Maryland College Park, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, College Park, United States
Conveners:  Dr. Melissa A Kenney, PhD, University of Minnesota, Institute on the Environment, St. Paul, United States and Steven Smith, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Primary Liaison:  Ross J Salawitch, University of Maryland College Park, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, College Park, United States
Chairs:  Ross J Salawitch, University of Maryland College Park, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, College Park, United States and Dr. Melissa A Kenney, PhD, University of Minnesota, Institute on the Environment, St. Paul, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Steven Smith, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Index Terms:

0498 General or miscellaneous [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
6349 General or miscellaneous [POLICY SCIENCES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Analyzing the Implications of Emission Control Norms for Indian Power Plants in Near Term scenarios Using TIMES Framework (383185)
Pankaj Kumar, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, Trupti Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Shailesh. J. Mehta School of Management, Mumbai, India and Rangan Banerjee, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Centre for Climate Studies, Department of Energy Science and Engineering, Mumbai, India
Assessment on the aerosol emissions impact on the 1.5◦C pathways (355394)
Anca Ioana Hienola1, Antti-Ilari Partanen1, Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen1, Declan O'Donnell1, Hannele Korhonen1, Damon Matthews2 and Ari Laaksonen1, (1)Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland, (2)Concordia University, Department of Geography, Planning and Environment, Montreal, QC, Canada
Climate Watch – A data and visualization platform for emissions, countries climate targets (NDCs), linkages to sustainable development (SDG's) and scenarios to inform implementation of the Paris Agreement. (445892)
Roman Julius Hennig1, Johannes Friedrich1, Katie Lebling1, Aleksandra Arcipowska1, Mengpin Ge2, Alexander Tankou1, Emily Mangan1 and Rexon Carvalho3, (1)World Resources Institute, Washington D.C., DC, United States, (2)World Resources Institute, Washington D.C., United States, (3)World Resources Institute, Washington, DC, United States
Committed emissions from existing energy infrastructure (421969)
Dan Tong, Department of Earth System Science,Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, Qiang Zhang, Tsinghua University, Department of Earth System Science, Beijing, China, Yixuan Zheng, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, Ken Caldeira, Gates Ventures, Kirkland, United States, Christine Shearer, CoalSwarm, San Francisco, CA, United States and Steven J Davis, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
Contrasting impacts of methane from anthropogenic and natural sources in meeting the Paris Climate Agreement. (464135)
Garry Hayman1, Edward Comyn-Platt2, Chris Huntingford1, William Collins3, Christopher Webber4, Stephen Sitch5, Eleanor J Burke6, Sarah Chadburn5, Nicola Gedney7, Jason A. Lowe8, Anna B Harper9, Tom Powell10, Peter Michael Cox11 and Joanna House12, (1)Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (2)Center for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, (3)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)University of Reading, Meteorology, Reading, United Kingdom, (5)University of Exeter, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, Exeter, United Kingdom, (6)Met Office Hadley Centre, Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Team, Exeter, United Kingdom, (7)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (8)Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (9)University of Exeter, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Exeter, United Kingdom, (10)University of Exeter, Global Systems Institute, Exeter, United Kingdom, (11)University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom, (12)University of Bristol, School of Geographical Science, Bristol, United Kingdom
Infrastructural inertia in energy-emissions scenarios (426819)
Robert Fofrich, University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, Dan Tong, Department of Earth System Science,Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, Joeri Rogelj, IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria and Steven J Davis, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States
Methane Mitigation Achievable Lever to Limit Warming in Near- and Long-term (351761)
Ilissa Ocko, Environmental Defense Fund DC, Washington, DC, United States, Steve Hamburg, Environmental Defense Fund, New York, United States, Drew T Shindell, Duke University, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, United States and Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, United States
Paris Agreement zero emissions goal is not always consistent with 2°C and 1.5°C temperature targets (405605)
Katsumasa Tanaka, NIES National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan and Brian O'Neill, University of Denver, Denver, CO, United States
Paris-consistent peak CO2 concentrations in Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios (451190)
Christopher James Smith, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, School of Earth and Environment, Exeter, United Kingdom, Piers Forster, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom and Kate Scott, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
Pathways to the Paris Agreement targets are narrow and rapidly closing (381545)
Jonathan Lamontagne, Tufts University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Medford, United States, Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, Giacomo Marangoni, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, United States, Klaus Keller, Dartmouth College, Thayer School of Engineering, Hanover, United States and Gregory George Garner, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Probability of Limiting Future Warming to 1.5°C and 2.0°C for Various Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Trajectories of Future GHG Abundances (395651)
Laura McBride1, Austin Patrick Hope2, Ross J Salawitch3,4, Timothy P Canty5, Walter Robert Tribett2 and Brian Francis Bennett2, (1)Science and Technology Corporation, Columbia, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, College Park, MD, United States, (3)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, College Park, United States, (4)University of Maryland, College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, College Park, MD, United States, (5)University of Maryland, College Park, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, College Park, United States

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