GC21E:
Climate Extremes: Patterns, Mechanisms, and Attribution Posters


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 58021

Session Description:
Extreme water cycle events such as droughts and floods represent the greatest impacts of climate variability and change on the coupled energy-water-land systems, and consequently on our environment and society. Thus, understanding and predicting single and compound extreme events related to the water cycle is critical for securing water, energy, and food supply and for effective decision-making. However, this presents significant scientific challenges due to gaps in mechanistic understanding, limitations in modeling approaches, and lack of observations. This session invites contributions that advance understanding of water cycle extremes from weather to climate timescales and/or their impacts on the coupled energy-water-land systems, including theoretical research, data analysis, numerical modeling, and/or data-model integration. This session also welcomes studies in relevant areas such as convection processes and modeling, impacts of climate variability and change on water cycle extremes, surface/subsurface water interactions, managed and unmanaged ecosystems, and environmental and societal impacts of extreme events.
Primary Convener:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States; U.S. Geological Survey EROS Center / FEWS NET, Sioux Falls, United States
Conveners:  Daniel Mitchell, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, Andrew Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Hailong Wang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
Primary Liaison:  Hailong Wang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
Chairs:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States; U.S. Geological Survey EROS Center / FEWS NET, Sioux Falls, United States, Daniel Mitchell, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, Andrew Hoell, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Hailong Wang, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States; U.S. Geological Survey EROS Center / FEWS NET, Sioux Falls, United States
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Attributing extreme events in China (406124)
Nicolas Freychet, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9, United Kingdom, Simon FB Tett, University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, Sparrow Sarah, Oxford e-Research Centre, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom, Gabriele C Hegerl, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, David Wallom, University of Oxford, OeRC, Oxford, United Kingdom, Claire Burke, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK, Exeter, United Kingdom, Buwen Dong, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, Fangxing Tian, University of Reading, Meteorology, Reading, United Kingdom and Jun Wang, Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia (RCE-TEA), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
An Intensified Mode of Variability Modulating the Summer Heat Waves in Eastern Europe and Northern China (346117)
Kaiqiang Deng, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China, Song Yang, Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Guangzhou, China and Mingfang Ting, Columbia Climate School, New York, United States
Attribution of Extremes in Regional North American Precipitation Using an RCM Large Ensemble (391466)
Megan Kirchmeier-Young, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Research Division, Toronto, Canada and Xuebin Zhang, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada
Chance Rather than Trends in the Unusual 2017 California Wet Season (452563)
Travis Allen O'Brien, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, United States, Mark Daniel Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Sciences Area, Berkeley, CA, United States, John Patrick OBrien, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, United States; Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA, United States, Christina M Patricola, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States and William Drew Collins, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Science, Berkeley, CA, United States; University of California, Earth and Planetary Sciences Department, Berkeley, CA, United States
Changes in North American and European Heatwave Characteristics (454521)
Szandra A. Peter, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, Miami, FL, United States and Benjamin P Kirtman, University of Miami - RSMAS, Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, FL, United States
Detection and attribution of Southern European cold spells via a statistical Mechanics Approach (374292)
Miriam D'Errico1, Davide Faranda2, Pascal Yiou2 and Cesare Nardini3, (1)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (2)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (3)SPEC Service de Physique de l'État Condensé, Saclay, France
Drought variability and trends over the Central United States (373251)
Kingtse C Mo, NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Dennis P Lettenmaier, UCLA, Department of Geography, Los Angeles, United States
Dry and Wet Spells in California and Western Coastal US (381959)
Soham Saha, Mission San Jose High School, Fremont, CA, United States
Exploring the Dynamics of Sea Surface Temperature Change over the Past Four Decades (402515)
Xinru Li, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada and Simon D Donner, University of British Columbia, Department of Geography, Vancouver, BC, Canada
Extreme high temperature events of the “Belt and Road” (408357)
Yuanhuang Zhuang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China and Jingyong Zhang, IAP Insititute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Extreme Sub-daily Winter Precipitation vs. Model Resolution in the Upper Mississippi River Valley (380185)
Jacob R Spender1, William J Gutowski Jr1, Raymond W Arritt2 and Melissa S Bukovsky3, (1)Iowa State University, Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States, (2)Iowa State Univ, Ames, IA, United States, (3)Haub School of Environment and Natural Resources, Laramie, Wyoming, United States
Future changes of the most extreme atmospheric river driven storm events over the U.S. west coast with multi-scale simulations (462396)
Xingying Huang, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Daniel L Swain, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States and Alexander D Hall, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States
Heatwave trends and the affected population over china in the 21st century using ensemble high spatial resolution CMIP5 Projections (385259)
Zhansheng Li1, Yuan Yang2 and Yang Hong1, (1)Tsinghua University, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Beijing, China, (2)University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, La Jolla, CA, United States
Heatwaves intensification in Australia: a consistent trajectory across past, present and future (426396)
Ralph Trancoso1, Jozef Syktus2, David Ahrens3, Nathan Toombs3, Kenneth Wong3 and Ramona Dalla Pozza3, (1)University of Queensland, Global Change Institute, St Lucia, QLD, Australia, (2)University of Queensland, Schoolf of the Environment, St Lucia, QLD, Australia, (3)Queensland Government, Department of Environment and Science, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
How Climate Change Is Intensifying U.S. Heatwaves during Droughts in CESM1 (374817)
Linyin Cheng, University of Arkansas, Department of Geosciences, Fayetteville, AR, United States, Martin P Hoerling, NOAA, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Zhiyong Liu, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China and Jon Eischeid, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Increases in surprising ocean temperatures will challenge the limits of ecosystems and people to adapt (409227)
Andrew J Pershing1, Nicholas Record2, Bradley S. Franklin1, Brian K. Kennedy1, Katherine Mills1, Andrew Thomas3, Michael A Alexander4 and James D Scott5, (1)Gulf of Maine Research Institute, Portland, ME, United States, (2)Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences, East Boothbay, Maine, United States, (3)University of Maine, Orono, ME, United States, (4)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (5)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, United States
Mechanisms of Meteorological Drought over São Paulo, Brazil (406457)
Abayomi Abiodun Abatan, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States; University of Edinburgh, Department of Geosciences, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, Simon FB Tett, University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, Buwen Dong, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, Humberto Rocha, USP University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Christopher A Cunningham, Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais, São José dos Campos, Brazil, Conrado Rudorff, Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais, Brazil, Brazil, Brazil, Nicholas Klingaman, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, UK, Reading, United Kingdom and Rafael de Abreu, Universidade de São Paulo, Brasil, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Brazil, Brazil
North Atlantic Centers of Action and Temperature Variability in the Eastern United States (466190)
Mahmoud Osman, Benjamin F Zaitchik and Hamada S Badr, Johns Hopkins University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Baltimore, MD, United States
Quantifying human contribution to the 2017 earliest summer onset in Korea (367303)
Yeon-Hee Kim1, Seung-Ki Min2, in-Hong Park3, Donghyun Lee3, Sparrow Sarah4, David Wallom5 and Dáithí A Stone6, (1)POSTECH Pohang University of Science, Pohang, Korea, Republic of (South), (2)POSTECH, Pohang, Korea, Republic of (South), (3)POSTECH, Pohang, South Korea, (4)Oxford e-Research Centre, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom, (5)University of Oxford, OeRC, Oxford, United Kingdom, (6)Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Computational Research Division, Berkeley, CA, United States
Reduced Exposure to Extreme Precipitation from 0.5°C Less Warming in Global Land Monsoon Regions (382309)
Wenxia Zhang1,2, Tianjun Zhou3, Liwei Zou4, Lixia Zhang5 and Xiaolong Chen5, (1)Beijing, China, (2)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, LASG, Beijing, China, (3)Inst of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China, (4)IAP Insititute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (5)Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Return Periods of Extreme Rainfall for the Miño-Sil Basin (392475)
Manuel Fernández-González1, Juan A. Añel1, Xavier Labandeira2 and Laura de la Torre Ramos1, (1)Universidade de Vigo, EPhysLab, Ourense, Spain, (2)Grupo Rede, Universidade de Vigo, Vigo, Spain
Risk of concurrent day and nighttime heatwaves in India under 1.5, 2.0, and 3.0ºC warming worlds (429399)
Mishra Vimal, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Department of Civil Engineering, Gandhinagar, India and Sourav Mukherjee, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, India
Temperature Variability as an Indicator of Impending Abrupt Climate Shifts (379135)
Dr. Christine Ramadhin, PhD and Chuixiang Yi, CUNY Queens College, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Flushing, NY, United States
Temporal trends in absolute and relative extreme temperature events across North America (347421)
Scott C Sheridan and Cameron C Lee, Kent State University Kent Campus, Kent, OH, United States
The Impact of Rising CO2on the Spatial Footprint of Extreme Heat Events (436645)
Christopher B Skinner, University of Michigan Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Dr. Danielle E Touma, PhD, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States, Deepti Singh, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States and Christopher J Poulsen, University of Oregon, Earth Sciences, Eugene, United States
The impact of vapor pressure deficit in the development of droughts over South America (421022)
Armineh Barkhordarian, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, Ali Behrangi, University of Arizona, Department of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, Sassan Saatchi, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, United States, Paul C Loikith, Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States and Carlos R Mechoso, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, United States
The joint occurrence of extreme temperature and precipitation patterns associated with the synoptic systems activity over the Mediterranean (430020)
Dr. Maria Hatzaki1, Iliana D. Polychroni2, Panagiotis TH Nastos2, John Kouroutzoglou3, Helena A. Flocas4 and Irina Rudeva5, (1)National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, Athens, Greece, (2)National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Department of Geology and Geoenvironment, Laboratory of Climatology and Atmospheric Environment, Athens, Greece, (3)Hellenic National Meteorological Service, Athens, Greece, (4)National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Department of Physics, Sector of Atmospheric Physics-Meteorology, Athens, Greece, (5)School of Earth Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia

See more of: Global Environmental Change