A33B:
Bridging the Gap from Climate to Extreme Weather: Theory, Modeling, and Observations II


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 58223

Session Description:
There is a growing need to understand how extreme weather phenomena will change in the future under climate change. Such a goal requires insight into how such phenomena, including but not limited to severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and extreme precipitation,  emerge within the climate system in general. This session seeks novel research bridging the gap between climate and extreme weather with an emphasis on understanding both the underlying climate physics that generate such events and the mechanisms by which their statistics vary across climate states, including global warming. Analyses employing a wide range of methodologies are welcome, including idealized and high-resolution climate modeling, observational and historical data analysis, and theory.
Primary Convener:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Convener:  Kevin A Reed, Stony Brook University, School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook, United States
Primary Liaison:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
Chairs:  Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Kevin A Reed, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Kevin A Reed, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
Index Terms:

1620 Climate dynamics [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4301 Atmospheric [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Is the Rapidly Warming Arctic a Player or a Spectator in the Escalation of Extreme Weather in Middle Latitudes? (418851)
Stephen J Vavrus, University of Wisconsin Madison, Nelson Institute Center for Climatic Research, Madison, WI, United States
How credible are model projections of changes to precipitation extremes? (457320)
Naomi L Goldenson1, Chad William Thackeray2, Daniel L Swain3,4, Alexander D Hall2 and Neil Berg1, (1)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)University of California Los Angeles, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, United States, (4)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
Subtropical stationary waves: a bridge connecting the frequency of hydrological extremes with global warming in boreal summer (352627)
Dr. Jiacan Yuan, Rutgers University New Brunswick, Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Brunswick, NJ, United States, Robert E Kopp, Rutgers University New Brunswick, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, Wenhong Li, Duke Univ-Nicholas School, Durham, United States and Yi Deng, Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States
Quasi-Geostrophic Analysis of Changes in Vertical Velocities in Extratropical Precipitation Extremes (409263)
Ziwei Li, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States and Paul A O'Gorman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States
Strong influence of eddy length on extreme precipitation intensity projections (354884)
Neil F Tandon, York University, Department of Earth and Space Science and Engineering, Toronto, ON, Canada, Ji Nie, Peking University, Beijing, China, Xuebin Zhang, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada and Adam H Sobel, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory and Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, United States
Large-scale flow regimes associated with long-duration extreme precipitation events in Northern California (449696)
Benjamin J Moore1,2, Allen B White3, Paul J Neiman4 and Daniel Gottas2, (1)University of Colorado, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, CO, United States
Lessons from the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) (361009)
Christine A Shields, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Jonathan J Rutz, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States and Ashley Elizabeth Payne, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
Large-scale controls and latitudinal dependence of North Pacific atmospheric rivers across a CESM2 hierarchy (406617)
James J Benedict, University of Miami, RSMAS, Miami, FL, United States, Amy C Clement, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, United States and Brian Medeiros, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, United States

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