A53E:
Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability IV


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 58620

Session Description:
Tropical cyclones are one of the most destructive weather systems on Earth and have significant social and economic impacts. In this session, we solicit abstracts on observational analysis and numerical modeling studies that help to advance our understanding of the physics, dynamics, and predictability of tropical cyclones. In particular, abstracts are encouraged on tropical cyclone formation, structure, intensity change and extratropical transition.
Primary Convener:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Climate, Meteorology, & Atmospheric Sciences (CliMAS), Urbana, United States
Conveners:  Melinda Peng, Naval Research Lab, Monterey, CA, United States, Patrick Harr, Jupiter Intelligence, San Mateo, United States and Scott A Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, United States
Primary Liaison:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States
Chairs:  Scott A Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, United States and Erin Munsell, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 612, Greenbelt, MD, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

3315 Data assimilation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3360 Remote sensing [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Tropical Cyclone Forecasts at GFDL—Past, Present and Future (Invited) (398136)
Jan-Huey Chen1, Morris Bender2, Shian-Jiann Lin3, Lucas Harris1, Matt Morin4, Timothy Marchok5 and Kun Gao1, (1)NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States, (2)NOAA Princeton, Princeton, NJ, United States, (3)NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)NOAA GFDL, Princeton, United States
Real-time Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in 2018 using GFDL High-Resolution Global Coupled Model (397668)
Hiroyuki Murakami, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Princeton, NJ, United States, Thomas L Delworth, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, United States and Rich Gudgel, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
Advances in state of the art in tropical cyclone forecasts for storm size and structure using operational HWRF (375456)
Avichal Mehra, NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States, Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States, Zhan Zhang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States, Bin Liu, NOAA Camp Springs, Camp Springs, United States, Sergio Abarca, National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States and HWRF
NASA Unified Weather Research and Forecasting (NU-WRF) Model Simulations for the Brown Ocean Effect: A Case Study of Tropical Cyclone Kelvin (2018) (466772)
Jinwoong Yoo, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center / University of Maryland College Park, College Park, United States, Joseph A Santanello Jr, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, United States, Sujay V Kumar, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Patricia Lawston Parker, College of Marine and Earth Studies, Manassas, VA, United States and Marshall Shepherd, The University of Georgia, Athens, United States
Dynamics of Lower-tropospheric Vorticity in Idealized Simulations of Tropical Cyclone Formation (356057)
Yaping Wang1, Christopher A Davis2 and Dr. Yongjie Huang, PhD1, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States
Barotropic Instability across the Moat and Inner Eyewall Dissipation: A Numerical Study of Hurricane Wilma (2005) (435828)
Tsz-Kin Lai, Konstantinos Menelaou and Peter M Yau, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada
Emerging Airborne Observational Strategies for Improved Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Prediction (454520)
Peter G Black, I. M. Systems Group, Inc., Camp Springs, MD, United States, Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, United States, Avichal Mehra, NOAA, National Weather Service, Ocean Prediction Center, College Park, United States, Jason Sippel, Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States, Jason Dunion, University of Miami and NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, United States, Ryan Torn, University at Albany, State University of New York, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States, Gary A Wick, NOAA Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, United States and Amber E Emory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States

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