GC31F:
Estimating the Economic and Physical Impacts of Climate Change Through Econometrics and Other Methods in Support of Policy Analysis Posters


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 58855

Session Description:
Estimating the impact of climate change on both the natural and socio-economic environment plays an important role in informing a range of national and international policies, including energy, agriculture and health. This role is typified by the use of the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC) by the US federal government since 2008.

A wide range of methods exist to evaluate this impact including econometric methods of time series, panel and spatial analysis, and process models. These methods allow for the exploration of anthropogenic impact upon climate and vice versa and improved understanding of the drivers of climate change by addressing problems often neglected in traditional time series analysis, from spurious correlations to the detection of changes in trends.

This session will focus on papers that advance the state of the science in estimating the economic and physical impacts of climate change, and hence support improvements to future policy analysis.

Primary Convener:  Kevin Joseph Rennert, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States
Conveners:  David Anthoff, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Luke P Jackson, National Oceanography Center, Liverpool, United Kingdom and Sam Heft-Neal, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Sam Heft-Neal, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Chairs:  Kevin Joseph Rennert, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States and Michael L Mann, George Washington University, Department of Geography, Washington, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Luke P Jackson, National Oceanography Center, Liverpool, United Kingdom
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1986 Statistical methods: Inferential [INFORMATICS]
6304 Benefit-cost analysis [POLICY SCIENCES]
6615 Legislation and regulations [PUBLIC ISSUES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Improving the Representation of Ecosystem Damages in the Social Cost of Carbon (397184)
Bernardo Bastien-Olvera, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Frances Claire Moore, University of California Davis, Department of Environmental Science & Policy, Davis, CA, United States
A probabilistic assessment of climate change-driven economic losses from tropical cyclones and sea level rise in the United States (399687)
Ian Wesley Bolliger1, Michael Delgado2, Michael Greenstone3, Trevor Houser2, Solomon M Hsiang4, Robert E Kopp5 and Moon Limb2, (1)University of California Berkeley, Energy and Resources Group, Berkeley, CA, United States, (2)Rhodium Group, Oakland, United States, (3)University of Chicago, Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, Chicago, United States, (4)University of California, Berkeley, Goldman School of Public Policy, Berkeley, United States, (5)Rutgers University New Brunswick, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Brunswick, United States
Applying Econometric Impact Functions to Climate-related Financial Risks (453115)
Terence Randall Thompson, The Climate Service, Durham, NC, United States
Impacts of climate change on internal migration in South Africa through an inferential network analysis approach (398017)
Tingyin Xiao, Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, United States, Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton University, School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, United States, Xiaogang He, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States and Marina Mastrorillo, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Economic and Social Development Department, Rome, Italy
Impacts of climate warming on aviation fuel consumption (344251)
Diandong Ren, Hohai University, School of Oceanography, Nanjing, China and Lance M Leslie, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, United States
Impacts on winter wheat yield in Germany at 1°, 1.5°, 2°, 2.5° and 3° global warming (378061)
Michael Peichl1, Stephan Thober2, Luis Samaniego3, Bernd Hansjürgens2 and Andreas Marx1, (1)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany, (2)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, (3)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research GmbH – UFZ, Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
Net costs associated with various temperature stabilization targets under heightened estimates of economic damage from climate change (460143)
Patrick T Brown, Carnegie Institution for Science Stanford, Stanford, CA, United States and Ken Caldeira, Gates Ventures, Kirkland, United States
Step or Trend? Detecting and Analyzing Structural Breaks in the Evolution of Arctic Open Water (420141)
Michael Goldstein, Babson College, Finance Division, Babson Park, MA, United States, Amanda H Lynch, Brown University, Department of Earth, Environmental, and Planetary Sciences, Providence, United States, Andras Zsom, Brown University, Computing and Information Services, Providence, RI, United States, Andres Chang, Brown University, Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Providence, RI, United States and Florence M Fetterer, Univ Colorado, National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO, United States
The Analysis of the Performance of Global Climate Projects in Developing Countries: focused on CTCN Technical Assistance Projects (388429)
Youngsun Kim, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT), Goyang, South Korea and Un Ji, Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT) & University of Science and Technology (UST), Goyang-Si, South Korea
The long-term relationship between sectoral emissions and economic growth for SO2，CO2, and BC (439781)
Muye Ru, Duke University, Earth and Ocean Science, Durham, NC, United States, Drew T Shindell, Duke University, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, United States, Karl Seltzer, US EPA, Durham, NC, United States, Shu Tao, Peking University, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China and Qirui Zhong, Peking University, Beijing, China
The multifaceted relationship between extreme weather events, displacement and conflict: New insights from Somalia (420031)
Lisa Thalheimer1 and Felix Pretis1,2, (1)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (2)University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Victoria, BC, Canada
What We Know And Don't Know About The Influence Of Weather on Indian Agriculture (458753)
Esha Zaveri, The World Bank, Washington DC, United States and Anthony D'Agostino, Mathematica, Oakland, United States

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