GC23A:
Estimating the Economic and Physical Impacts of Climate Change Through Econometrics and Other Methods in Support of Policy Analysis I


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 58867

Session Description:
Estimating the impact of climate change on both the natural and socio-economic environment plays an important role in informing a range of national and international policies, including energy, agriculture and health. This role is typified by the use of the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC) by the US federal government since 2008.

A wide range of methods exist to evaluate this impact including econometric methods of time series, panel and spatial analysis, and process models. These methods allow for the exploration of anthropogenic impact upon climate and vice versa and improved understanding of the drivers of climate change by addressing problems often neglected in traditional time series analysis, from spurious correlations to the detection of changes in trends.

This session will focus on papers that advance the state of the science in estimating the economic and physical impacts of climate change, and hence support improvements to future policy analysis.

Primary Convener:  Kevin Joseph Rennert, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States
Conveners:  David Anthoff, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Luke P Jackson, National Oceanography Center, Liverpool, United Kingdom and Sam Heft-Neal, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Sam Heft-Neal, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
Chairs:  Kevin Joseph Rennert, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC, United States and Michael L Mann, George Washington University, Department of Geography, Washington, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Luke P Jackson, National Oceanography Center, Liverpool, United Kingdom
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1986 Statistical methods: Inferential [INFORMATICS]
6304 Benefit-cost analysis [POLICY SCIENCES]
6615 Legislation and regulations [PUBLIC ISSUES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Valuing the Global Mortality Consequences of Climate Change Accounting for Adaptation Costs and Benefits (Invited) (440727)
Tamma Carleton1, Michael Delgado2, Michael Greenstone3, Solomon M Hsiang4, Andrew Hultgren5, Amir Jina6, Robert E Kopp7, Kelly E McCusker8, Ishan Nath9, James Rising10, Ashwin Rode1, Samuel Seo9, Justin Gerard Simcock11, Arvid Viaene9, Dr. Jiacan Yuan12 and Alice Tianbo Zhang13, (1)University of Chicago, Economics, Chicago, IL, United States, (2)Rhodium Group, Oakland, United States, (3)University of Chicago, Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, Chicago, United States, (4)University of California, Berkeley, Goldman School of Public Policy, Berkeley, United States, (5)University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Agricultural and Resource Economics, Urbana, United States, (6)University of Chicago, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, Chicago, IL, United States, (7)Rutgers University New Brunswick, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Brunswick, United States, (8)Rhodium Group, Seattle, WA, United States, (9)University of Chicago, Economics, Chicago, United States, (10)Columbia University in the City of New York, New York, NY, United States, (11)Rhodium Group, Oakland, CA, United States, (12)Peking University, Beijing, China, (13)Princeton University, Princeton, NY, United States
Detecting and Quantifying Structural Breaks in Climate (363101)
Neil R Ericsson, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States, Mohammed H. I. Dore, Retired, St Catherines, ON, Canada and Hassan Butt, Self-Employed, St Catherines, ON, Canada
Beyond Temperatures: An Econometrically-Estimated Damage Function of 21st Century Climate Impacts using Extreme Climate Indicators (379993)
Felix Pretis, University of Victoria, Department of Economics, Victoria, BC, Canada and Moritz Schwarz, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Effects of Long-term Climate Change on Global Building Energy Expenditures (422333)
Bryan Mignone1, Leon E Clarke2, Jiyong Eom3, Elke Hodson4, Russell Horowitz5, Page Kyle6, Robert P Link5, Anupriya Mundra5 and Yuyu Zhou7, (1)ExxonMobil Research and Engineering Company, Annandale, NJ, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, United States, (3)KAIST Business School, Graduate School of Green Growth, Yuseong, Daejeon, Korea, Republic of (South), (4)DOE, Washington, DC, United States, (5)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, (6)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), College Park, United States, (7)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States
Linking Physical Climate Research and Economic Assessments of Mitigation Policies (405620)
Raphael Calel, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, United States and David Alan Stainforth, London School of Economics, Grantham Research Institute, London, United Kingdom
The relation between local temperature and local forcing: a panel analysis (375029)
Robert Kaufmann, Boston University, Boston, United States
Incorporating the Economic Damages from Armed Conflict into the Social Cost of Carbon (368250)
Elisabeth Gilmore1, Håvard Hegre2, Frederick Hoyles2, Kristina Petrova2 and Gudlaug Olafsdottir2, (1)Clark University, Worcester, MA, United States, (2)Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden

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