GC34B:
Improving the Simulation of Climate Impacts on Agriculture: AgMIP and Related Research I


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Session ID#: 59036

Session Description:
Agricultural models simulate the effects of climate on crop yields, farm income, and trade, making them important tools for examining food security. This session will focus on research at the interface of climate, agriculture, and economics, including results from the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). Topics of particular interest include the creation of climate and socioeconomic scenarios for agricultural projections, the representation of soils in crop simulations, interactions between food, extreme events, and society, assessments of drought risk and strategies for drought resilience, the food-energy-water nexus, remote sensing of agricultural lands and data assimilation, coordinated global and regional biophysical and economic agricultural assessments, seasonal crop monitoring and forecasting, and agricultural research in support of Sustainable Development Goals, Nationally Determined Contributions, and National Adaptation Plans.
Primary Convener:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
Conveners:  Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, New York, NY, United States, Bruno Basso, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States and Jose Roberto Lopez Bobeda, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, United States
Primary Liaison:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
Chairs:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States, Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, New York, NY, United States and Bruno Basso, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jonathan Winter, Dartmouth College, Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • H - Hydrology
Index Terms:

0402 Agricultural systems [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Climate Change and the Food System: Production, Supply Chains, and Demand (Invited) (351373)
Cynthia Rosenzweig, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States
The Global Gridded Crop Model Inter-Comparison Project Phase II: assessing response surfaces of crop yields to changes in temperature, water, carbon dioxide, and nitrogen (367871)
James A Franke, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, IL, United States, Joshua Wright Elliott, University of Chicago, Department of Computer Science, Chicago, IL, United States, Alexander C Ruane, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, Christoph Müller, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, Abigail Snyder, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Jonas Jägermeyr, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, United States; University of Chicago, Department of Computer Science, Chicago, United States and Elisabeth J Moyer, University of Chicago, Department of the Geophysical Sciences, Chicago, United States
Estimating the Impact of Climate Change on Brazil's Soy Production (423883)
Marluce da Cruz Scarabello1, Marcia T Zilli1, Aline Soterroni2, Aline Mosnier3, Hugo Valin2, Alexandre Carvalho4 and Fernando Ramos1, (1)INPE National Institute for Space Research, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil, (2)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (3)Sustainable Development Solutions Network, Paris, France, (4)Institute of Applied Economic Research, Brasília, Brazil
Measuring the Impact of Human Decision Making through Utilization of a Coupled Crop Simulation and Economic Land-Use Model (444905)
Jon Starr, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND, United States, Haochi Zheng, University of North Dakota, Earth System Science and Policy, Grand Forks, ND, United States, Jianglong Zhang, U of N Dakota-Atmos Sciences, Grand Forks, ND, United States and Jeffrey S. Reid, Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, United States
Sensitivity of maize yields to sub-seasonal rainfall distribution and extremes in the United States (346148)
Corey Samuel Lesk, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, United States, Ethan Coffel, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States and Radley M Horton, Columbia University, Climate School, New York, United States
Estimating Future Agricultural Yield and Irrigation Water Demand in the United States: 9 Crops, 225 Counties, 4 Climate Scenarios (398709)
Jeffrey Mullen, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United States and Niyun Chen, University of Georgia, Agricultural and Applied Economics, Athens, GA, United States
Spatial Patterns of Crop Yield Change by Pollutant (380963)
Drew T Shindell, Duke University, Nicholas School of the Environment, Durham, United States, Gregory Faluvegi, Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States, Prasad S Kasibhatla, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States and Rita Van Dingenen, European Commission Joint Research Centre, Directorate for Energy, Transport and Climate, Ispra, Italy

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