GH14A:
Climate Influences on Infectious Disease Dynamics and the Potential for Transnational Outbreaks I


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 60103

Session Description:
Infectious disease dynamics can be impacted by climate in several ways. Mean annual climate conditions can broadly define the spatial extent of a disease. On finer scales, local climate and weather can influence the abundance of both disease organisms and hosts, leading to changes in disease transmission and incidence. When environmental conditions are favorable, disease vectors combined with human behavior may cause localized outbreaks which can cross international borders. Climate change may exacerbate these impacts, possibly shifting the geographical distribution or incidence of infectious diseases and creating more favorable conditions for outbreaks. Recent Ebola and Zika virus outbreaks demonstrated how infectious diseases have strong environmental controls that could be helpful in predicting their reemergence and spread. We are seeking research focused on connections between the environment and infectious disease dynamics and forecasts of emerging pandemic threats. We encourage submissions from all disciplines, including public health, environmental, social, and political sciences.
Primary Convener:  Anthony L Nguy-Robertson, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, United States
Conveners:  Jesse Bell, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, United States and Jean-Paul Chretien, Defense Intelligence Agency, National Center for Medical Intelligence, Frederick, MD, United States
Primary Liaison:  Anthony L Nguy-Robertson, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, United States
Chairs:  Anthony L Nguy-Robertson, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, United States and Jesse Bell, Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites North Carolina State, Asheville, NC, UNITED STATES
OSPA Liaison:  Jesse Bell, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, United States

Cross-Listed:
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • GC - Global Environmental Change
  • H - Hydrology
  • NH - Natural Hazards
Index Terms:

0230 Impacts of climate change: human health [GEOHEALTH]
0232 Impacts of climate change: ecosystem health [GEOHEALTH]
0240 Public health [GEOHEALTH]
0245 Vector born diseases [GEOHEALTH]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Estimating the impact of climate change on directly-transmitted infections (Invited) (399915)
Rachel Baker, Ayesha S Mahmud and Jessica Metcalf, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
Large-scale mechanistic modelling of hydro-epidemiological processes under climate change (439593)
Thorsten Wagener1, Ludovica Beltrame2, Hannah Rose3, Josephine Walker4, Eric Morgan5,6 and Peter Vickerman4, (1)University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, (2)University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, BS8, United Kingdom, (3)University of Liverpool, Institute of Infection and Global Health, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (4)University of Bristol, Bristol Medical School, Bristol, United Kingdom, (5)Queen’s University Belfast, School of Biological Sciences, Belfast, United Kingdom, (6)Queens University Belfast, School of Biological Sciences, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom
Relation of 2017 Chikungunya Outbreak in Dhaka, Bangladesh with Climatic Variables (349236)
Tanzeem Hossain, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh, Dewan Mohammad Enamul Haque, University of Dhaka, Department of Disaster Science and Management, Dhaka, Bangladesh and Dr. Md. Iqbal Kabir, National Institute of Preventive and Social Medicine, Department of Epidemiology, Dhaka, Bangladesh
Inter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China (405888)
Rachel J Oidtman1, Shengjie Lai2, Zhoujie Huang2, Amir Said Siraj3, Robert Reiner4, Andrew Tatem5, T Alex Perkins1 and Hongjie Yu2, (1)University of Notre Dame, Biological Sciences, Notre Dame, IN, United States, (2)School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China, (3)Insel Hiddensee, Germany, (4)Institute for Health and Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States, (5)WorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
Expanding a seasonal forecast of US West Nile virus for 21st century disease projections (427454)
Morgan E. Gorris1, Charles S Zender2, James Tremper Randerson3, Devin W. Goodsman4, Chonggang Xu5 and Carrie Manore5, (1)University of California Irvine, Irvine, United States, (2)Univ California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, United States, (3)University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (4)Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, Canada, (5)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
Rift Valley fever Outbreak in East Africa: Signature of Climate Extremes (409019)
Assaf Anyamba, USRA & NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, Greenbelt,, United States, Radina P Soebiyanto, Universities Space Research Association Greenbelt, Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Jennifer L. Small, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Greenbelt, MD, United States, Kenneth James Linthicum, USDA-ARS, Center for Medical, Agricultural and Veterinary Entomology (CMAVE), Gainesville, United States, Brett Forshey, Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch, Global Emerging Infections Surveillance (GEIS), Silver Spring, United States, Christne F. Toolin, Armed Forces Health Surveillance Branch, Global Emerging Infections Surveillance (GEIS), Silver Spring, MD, United States, Wassila Mamadu Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD, United States, Jean-Paul Chretien, Defense Intelligence Agency, National Center for Medical Intelligence, Frederick, MD, United States and Compton J Tucker, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Earth Science Division, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Optimizing surveillance for Ebola virus spillover across space, seasons, and species. (Invited) (467125)
Barbara A. Han1, Sean P Maher2, John M Drake3 and John Paul Schmidt3, (1)Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY, United States, (2)Missouri State University, Springfield, United States, (3)University of Georgia, Athens, United States

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