NH41A:
Extreme Sea Levels: Statistics, Impacts, and Adaptation


Submit an Abstract to this Session


Session ID#: 62876

Session Description:
Extreme sea levels can lead to hazardous events with wide-ranging environmental, societal, and economic consequences, as recently experienced during the record setting 2017 Atlantic hurricane season. In combination with sea-level rise and potential changes in storminess, dynamic wave contributions, and tidal dynamics, the adverse consequences of extreme oceanographic events are in many regions projected to escalate. Integrated impact assessments can guide decisions on adaptive responses to these changes in the coupled natural human system. This session seeks contributions that: examine present-day and future extreme sea levels at local-to-global scales by employing advanced numerical and/or statistical modelling techniques; assessed the different types of impacts associated with extreme sea levels such as flooding, beach/dune erosion, salt water intrusion, or ecosystem degradation; took an integrated approach to evaluate adaptation options in the presence of deep uncertainty; or report  outcomes of interdisciplinary collaborations between engineers, natural, social, and economic scientists, stakeholders, and policy makers.
Primary Convener:  Thomas Wahl, University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States
Conveners:  Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Corvallis, United States, William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States and Ivan David Haigh, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom
Primary Liaison:  Thomas Wahl, University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States
Chairs:  Thomas Wahl, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, University of Central Florida, Orlando, United States, Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Corvallis, United States and William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Peter Ruggiero, Oregon State University, Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Corvallis, United States
Co-Organized with:
Natural Hazards, and Ocean Sciences

Cross-Listed:
  • OS - Ocean Sciences

Proposed Co-Organized Session with:
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
Index Terms:

3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4328 Risk [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4534 Hydrodynamic modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Separability of hurricane surge and sea level rise adaptation (Invited) (390434)
Philip M Orton1, Craig Bond2, Kim Fisher3, Eric Wayne Sanderson3, Fanglin Zhang1, Ziyu Chen1 and Stefan A Talke4, (1)Stevens Institute of Technology, Union City, NJ, United States, (2)RAND Corporation, Washington, DC, United States, (3)Wildlife Conservation Society, Bronx, NY, United States, (4)California Polytechnic State University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, San Luis Obispo, California, United States
Global Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Generation Under Present and Future Climate Conditions (Invited) (358830)
Nadia Bloemendaal, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Ivan David Haigh, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom, Sanne Muis, Free University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands, Rein Haarsma, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, Hans de Moel, Institute for Environmental Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands and Jeroen Aerts, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands
Measuring the impact of high-tide floods on local economic activity (361220)
Miyuki Hino, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, Christopher B Field, Stanford University, Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford, United States, Samanthe Tiver Belanger, Stanford University Graduate School of Business, Stanford, CA, United States, Alexander R Davies, US Naval Academy, Oceanography Department, Annapolis, MD, United States and Katharine J Mach, Stanford University, Stanford Environment Assessment Facility, Stanford, CA, United States
When Floods Hit the Road: Commute Disruption due to Coastal Flooding and Sea Level Rise in the San Francisco Bay Area (455411)
Ian Avery Bick1, Indraneel Kasmalkar2, Katherine Serafin3, Jenny Suckale1, Leonard Ortolano1, Derek Ouyang4, Yufei Miao1, Arnav Mariwala5, Gitanjali Bhattacharjee5 and Jack W Baker6, (1)Stanford University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, United States, (3)University of Florida, Department of Geography, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, (4)Stanford University, Department of Geophysics, Stanford, CA, United States, (5)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (6)Stanford University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, United States
Assessing and updating a probabilistic framework to predict sea-level rise impacts (424082)
Erika E Lentz, U.S. Geological Survey, Woods Hole, United States, Nathaniel G Plant, USGS, Saint Petersburg, FL, United States, Sara L Zeigler, U.S. Geological Survey, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, St. Petersburg, United States, Elizabeth A Pendleton, US Geological Survey, Woods Hole, MA, United States and William Sweet, NOAA National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, United States
On the prediction of tropical cyclones wind wave footprint using satellite data and neural networks (399249)
Laura Cagigal1,2, Fernando Javier Méndez Incera3, Ana Rueda3 and Giovanni Coco4, (1)Universidad de Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, (2)University of Cantabria, GeoOcean, Santander, Spain, (3)University of Cantabria, Ciencias y Tecnicas del Agua y del Medio Ambiente, Santander, Spain, (4)University of Auckland, School of Environment, Auckland, New Zealand
An extreme sea level indicator for the US coastline (350233)
Md Mamunur Rashid, The Nature Conservancy, Global Science, Arlington, United States and Thomas Wahl, University of Central Florida, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, FL, United States
Spatially-varying Non-Stationarity in Estuarine Extreme Sea Levels (459741)
Stefan A Talke, California Polytechnic State University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, San Luis Obispo, California, United States, David A Jay, Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States, David K Ralston, WHOI, Department of Applied Ocean Physics & Engineering, Woods Hole, United States, Philip M Orton, Stevens Institute of Technology, Department of Civil, Environmental & Ocean Engineering, Union City, NJ, United States and Ramin Familkhalili, PhD, NOAA-NCCOS, Norfolk, United States

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