The study geomagnetic field variability describing the growth of the GIC in electric power lines
Abstract:
It is commonly accepted the models in which the auroral electrojet is a main driver of GIC at high latitudes. On the base of this notion it is considered that GIC are dangerous only for the east-west elongated technological lines. However our detail analyses of the GIC, B, dB/dt, E variations shows that small-scale vortex ionosphere currents have a great contribution to rapid GIC growth. The contribution of dY/dt to the GIC growth is comparable and sometimes lager than dX/dt contribution. The rapid jumps of the dB/dt for the time distribution can’t be explained by the slow changing auroral electrojet intensity. So the GIC are dangerous for the technological lines elongated in north-south direction as well.
Contrary to classic point of view it is found that noticeable GIC can better correlate with geomagnetic field variations B than with dB/dt (see Fig.). So the great GIC values may be caused not only by the temporal variations of the geomagnetic field but also by the spatial variation of the vortex-like ionosphere current systems connected with the field-aligned currents in the magnetosphere.
The analysis of the spatial distribution of the geomagnetic field variations and dB/dt shows that its maximums do not coincide in latitude-MLT coordinated. Therefore the maximum amplitude of the geomagnetic field disturbances will not correspond to the maximum of GIC. So the problem of GIC prediction is a wider than AE index prediction.