GC33H:
The Emerging Science of Climate Attribution, Detection, and Trend Analysis I

Session ID#: 2719

Wednesday, 17 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
3005 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Stephanie Herring, NOAA Boulder, National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, CO, United States, Andrew Hoell, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
Primary Convener:  Chris C Funk, UC Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, United States; University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States
Co-conveners:  Dáithí A Stone, Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, Computational Research Division, Berkeley, CA, United States, Andrew Hoell, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Stephanie Herring, NOAA Boulder, National Centers for Environmental Information, Boulder, CO, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Chris C Funk, University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1632 Land cover change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4321 Climate impact [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Computational Methods across Scales: Personal to High Performance Platforms

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

Developments in detection and attribution methods and their implications for impact attribution (Invited) (4952)
Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
Detection of Environmental Trends: What can we control? (30229)
Elizabeth C Weatherhead, U. Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States
Linking Southwest U.S. Drought to the Hiatus in Global Warming (Invited) (4241)
Martin P Hoerling, NOAA Boulder, ESRL, Boulder, CO, United States; NOAA, Physical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, Xiao-Wei Quan, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States and Ben Livneh, University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, Boulder, United States
Diagnosing Possible Anthropogenic Contributions to Heavy Colorado Rainfall in September 2013 (3533)
Pardeep Pall1, Christina M Patricola2,3, Michael F Wehner3, Dáithí A Stone3, Christopher J Paciorek4 and William Drew Collins5, (1)San José State University, San José, CA, United States, (2)Texas A & M University, College Station, TX, United States, (3)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States, (4)University of California, Berkeley, CA, United States, (5)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Earth and Environmental Science, Berkeley, CA, United States
Quantifying the influence of observed global warming on the probability of unprecedented extreme climate events (Invited) (5472)
Noah S Diffenbaugh1, Bala Rajaratnam2,3, Allison Charland3, Matz A Haugen2,3, Daniel E Horton4, Deepti Singh3, Daniel L Swain5 and Michael Tsiang6, (1)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States, (2)Stanford University, Los Altos Hills, CA, United States, (3)Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (4)Northwestern University, Earth, Environmental, and Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States, (5)Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, (6)Stanford Earth Sciences, Environmental Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States
Decadal Modulation of Global Surface Temperature By Internal Climate Variability (9709)
Aiguo Dai, University at Albany, SUNY, Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States, John C Fyfe, Environment Canada, Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada, Shang-Ping Xie, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States and Xingang Dai, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Beijing, China
Atmospheric controls on northeast Pacific temperature trends and variations, 1900-2012 (24745)
Nathan J Mantua, NOAA Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa, CA, United States and James A. Johnstone, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Joint Institute for the Study of Atmosphere and Ocean, Seattle, WA, United States
Attributing Changes in Gross Primary Productivity from 1901 to 2010 (18363)
Christopher Schwalm1, Deborah N Huntzinger2, Anna M Michalak3, Robert B Cook4, Dr. Bassil El Masri5, Daniel J Hayes6, Maoyi Huang7, Andrew R Jacobson8, Atul K. Jain5, Huimin Lei9, Chaoqun Lu10, Hanqin Tian11, Kevin M Schaefer12 and Yaxing Wei4, (1)Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (2)Northern Arizona University, School of Earth Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (3)Google Research, Mountain View, United States, (4)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (5)University of Illinois at Urbana, Urbana, United States, (6)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, United States, (7)National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Office of Science and Technology Integration, Silver Spring, MD, United States, (8)NOAA, Global Monitoring Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (9)Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, (10)Auburn University at Montgomery, Montgomery, AL, United States, (11)Auburn University, Auburn, United States, (12)National Snow and Ice Data Center, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, U.S.A, Boulder, United States