GC53D:
Coupled Natural Human System Research Across Scales: From Emulators of Global Climate Model Output to Local-Scale Processes and Feedbacks II

Session ID#: 2896

Friday, 19 December 2014: 1:40 PM-3:40 PM
3005 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Claudia Tebaldi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States and Tom P Evans, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Primary Convener:  Claudia Tebaldi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Boulder, CO, United States
Co-conveners:  Tom P Evans, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, Brian C O'Neill, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Darren L Ficklin, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Claudia Tebaldi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Virtual Option?: No
Swirl Theme: Characterizing Uncertainty

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

GC53D-01
Emulating Future Climate Projections from Global Climate Models: Methodologies and Challenges (Invited) (6831)
James Michael Murphy, Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom and Claudia Tebaldi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
GC53D-02
Beyond Pattern Scaling: Statistical Emulation and its Implications for ScenarioMIP (Invited) (15787)
Peter Graham Challenor, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4, United Kingdom and Danny Williamson, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
GC53D-03
User Perspectives on the Application of Pattern-Scaled and Emulated Projections for Climate Change Impact Analysis (Invited) (21651)
Timothy Robert Carter, Finnish Environment Institute, Climate Change Programme, Helsinki, Finland
GC53D-04
Toward a Simple Probabilistic GCM Emulator for Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Impacts (16839)
Ian Sue Wing, Boston University, Earth & Environment, Boston, United States, Claudia Tebaldi, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Douglas W Nychka, Colorado School of Mines, Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Golden, United States and Jordan Winkler, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
GC53D-05
Estimating megadrought risk from the CMIP5 archive using model emulators (29453)
Toby Ault, Cornell University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Science, Ithaca, NY, United States
GC53D-06
Impacts of Agricultural Decision Making and Adaptive Management on Food Security in Africa (Invited) (20576)
Kelly K Caylor1, Tom P Evans2, Lyndon D Estes3, Justin Sheffield4, Beth A Plale5 and Shahzeen Attari5, (1)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, (3)Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States
GC53D-07
Linking Climate Risk, Policy Networks and Adaptation Planning in Public Lands (Invited) (4788)
Mark Lubell, Mark Schwartz and Casey Peters, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
GC53D-08
Socio-Hydrologic Modeling: Characterizing the Dynamics of Coupled Human-Water Systems Using Natural Science Methods (Invited) (4157)
Murugesu Sivapalan, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Urbana-Champaign, United States, Yasmina Elshafei, The University of Western Australia, School of Earth and Environment, Perth, Australia and Veena Srinivasan, Ashoka Trust for Research in Ecology and the Environment, Royal Enclave, Sriramapura, Jakkur Post, Bangalore, India
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