GC31D:
Regional Decadal Prediction and Challenges in Early Warning Systems for Climate Change I

Session ID#: 3184

Wednesday, 17 December 2014: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
3005 (Moscone West)
Chairs:  Ritesh Gautam, Environmental Defense Fund, New York, United States and Sebastian Mieruch-Schnuelle, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
Primary Convener:  Sebastian Mieruch-Schnuelle, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
Co-conveners:  Ritesh Gautam, Environmental Defense Fund, New York, United States, Yoshimitsu Chikamoto, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States and Zinta Amanda Zommers, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Sebastian Mieruch-Schnuelle, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • A - Atmospheric Sciences
  • B - Biogeosciences
  • OS - Ocean Sciences
  • SI - Societal Impacts and Policy Sciences
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1627 Coupled models of the climate system [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1637 Regional climate change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Virtual Option?: No

Abstracts Submitted to this Session:

GC31D-01
Initialized Decadal Climate Predictions of the Observed Early-2000s Hiatus of Global Warming (Invited) (5607)
Maria J Molina, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Haiyan Teng, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States and Julie Arblaster, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
GC31D-02
Regional downscaling of decadal predictions (Invited) (3008)
Hendrik Feldmann, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe, Germany
GC31D-03
Activities of the Climate Forecast Unit (CFU) on regional decadal prediction (15387)
Chloé Prodhomme1, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes1, Virginie Guemas1, Danila Volpi1,2, Louis-Philippe Caron1, Melanie Davis1, Martin Menegoz3, Ramiro I Saurral4, Omar Bellprat1 and Climate Forecasting Unit, (1)Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain, (2)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (3)LGGE Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de l’Environnement, Saint Martin d'Hères, France, (4)Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera (CONICET-UBA), UMI IFAECI/CNRS, Buenos Aires, Argentina
GC31D-04
Do seasonal to decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world? (15185)
Rosemary Eade1, Doug M Smith2, Adam A Scaife3, Emily Wallace3, Nick J Dunstone3, Leon Hermanson3 and Niall Robinson3, (1)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, EX1, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom
GC31D-05
Improved Rainfall Estimates and Predictions for 21st Century Drought Early Warning (Invited) (2429)
Chris C Funk1,2, Pete Peterson3, Shraddhanand Shukla4, Gregory J Husak5, Martin Francis Landsfeld6, Andrew Hoell3, Diego H Pedreros7, Jason B Roberts8, Franklin R Robertson8, Tsegaye Tadesse9, Benjamin F Zaitchik10, James Rowland11 and James P Verdin12, (1)UC Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, United States, (2)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, United States, (3)University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (4)UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (5)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Geography Department, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (6)University of California Santa Barbara, Climate Hazards Center, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, (7)USGS, Baltimore, MD, United States, (8)NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, United States, (9)National Drought Mitigation Center, School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, United States, (10)Johns Hopkins University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Baltimore, MD, United States, (11)U.S. Geological Survey, Sioux Falls, United States, (12)University of Maryland, Boulder, United States
GC31D-06
The Poleward Migration of Tropical Cyclone Peak Intensity (Invited) (2529)
James P Kossin, NOAA Asheville, Asheville, NC, United States, Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States and Gabriel Andres Vecchi, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States
GC31D-07
Early Warning Systems at Different Time Scales (Invited) (7248)
Caroline Bain, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
GC31D-08
Climate Change Implications and Use of Early Warning Systems for Global Dust Storms (Invited) (3005)
Lindsey Harriman, Contractor, USGS EROS, Sioux Falls, SD, United States
See more of: Global Environmental Change