Comparative Analysis of Carbon Dioxide Emissions across Large Urban Areas in the U.S.

Abstract:

Carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions from fossil fuel combustion represents the single largest net annual flux of carbon into the atmosphere. Even though urban areas cover only 2% of the earth’s surface, they contribute about 70% of global carbon emissions. We aim to conduct a comparative analysis of fossil fuel CO₂ (FFCO₂) emissions in three large urban areas across different regions in the U.S. based on our spatially-explicit Hestia approach, called the ‘Hestia Project’. This research effort is the first to use bottom-up methods to quantify all FFCO₂ emissions down to the scale of individual buildings, road segments, and industrial/electricity production facilities on an hourly basis for an entire urban landscape. The Hestia method relies on a large swath of input data such as criteria pollutant emissions reporting, stack monitoring, census data, tax assessor parcel data and traffic monitoring. The urban areas quantified with the Hestia approach include Indianapolis, Salt Lake City, and the Los Angeles Basin (encompassing over 80 cities). A comparative analysis will provide a better understanding of how and why FFCO₂ emissions differ across time and space. We examine various factors such as heating/cooling degree days, population, GDP, industrial profile and building age. The study seeks to answer the following questions: 1) How and why do FFCO₂ differ across the cities/regions? 2) What drives the different temporal profile of urban emissions? and 3) How do these vary across and within the urban landscape? The results from the study will benefit city planners and other stakeholders in managing urban development and greenhouse gas emissions mitigation.